origin openers

[rabbitz]

NSW $1.62
QLD $2.25

[Paddy]

Currently on SportsTab

NSW $1.65
QLD $2.20

Queensland (+3.5) $1.90 might be worth a little investment.

[goldmember]

On sportstab:
NSW opened @ $1.70
QLD opened @ @2.10
NSW firmed to $1.68 and then to $1.65
QLD eased to $2.15 and are now $2.20

[Paddy]

Currently on SportsTab

NSW $1.60 (in from $1.65)
QLD $2.25 (out from $2.20)

Queensland (+3.5) $2.00 (out from $1.90)

[Paddy]

Currently on SportsTab

NSW $1.60 (steady)
QLD $2.25 (steady)

Queensland (+3.5) $2.00 (also steady)

[Floydyboy]

I dont know how its all calculated but those points start dont seem to correspond ...ie
to my way of thinking those prices should be closer or the points start higher....am I off the mark ????
Can someone explain to me how it goes
Is it just the bookies tightening the market for themself

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: Floydyboy on 2004-07-05 17:18 ]</font>

[goldmember]

Floydyboy, weight of money, over $300,000 has been put on NSW.Unlike some other betting agencies sportstab dont adjust their starts, only theie prices.

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: goldmember on 2004-07-05 17:24 ]</font>

[Floydyboy]

No no Im not betting on the match (never do)as an aside id probably be interested in some of those first try ht/ft hdtohd etc sorry I digress What i mean for instance if there lumping on the blues and there price comes in and qld out wouldnt the points start vary accordingly

[Floydyboy]

oh ok you answered my question with your edit....Yeah I see what your getting at I had a look at Betfair they have 4.5 start I suppose it will stay that way o matter where the win market ends up.... cheers

[goldmember]

I never bet H2H either,i normally barrack for qld because everyone tips nsw, in the 1st game i tipped qld[loser]but won with qld try @ $2.90,in the 2nd game i tipped nsw[loser] but won on nsw try @ $2.70 & $2.65 , but this time i've got a multi still going into nsw @ $2.66 with federer,roddick and bris lions already winning, GO THE BLUES, SPECIALS!!!

[rabbitz]

blues 13 +

[Floydyboy]

Whoa Thats a big call Rabs
Carn the BLUEEEEES

[Paddy]

Interesting comparisons head to head:

sportsbet
New South Wales $1.50
Queensland $2.60

Tab SPORTSbet
New South Wales $1.48
Queensland $2.45

sportsTAB
New South Wales $1.55
Queensland $2.35

[Paddy]

Likewise handicap betting

sportsbet
New South Wales –5.5 $1.85
Queensland +5.5 $1.95

Tab SPORTSbet
New South Wales –5.5 $1.80
Queensland +5.5 $1.90


sportsTAB
New South Wales –3.5 $1.72
Queensland +3.5 $2.05

[sportznut]

Amazed by those odds on TAB Sportsbet. Usually they have Qld shorter than the NSW Tab. I'm sure all those faithful Qld punters will force those odds in tomorrow.

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-07-06 08:54 ]</font>

[Paddy]

If you're right sportznut, now's the time for Qld supporters to get onboard.

[sportznut]

I hardly ever back Qld (don't want to jinx them). Especially not when they're playing in Sydney. I guess they've got to break their Telstra Stadium hoodoo some time and now is as good a time as any.

If they go out and use the same style of play that they used in the 2nd half of game 2 then they have a chance. Unfortunately, when Hagan was interviewed after the game, he seemed very happy with the way they were playing in the first half and I get the feeling he'll be telling them to go out and play the same way. If they do, they'll probably get beaten.

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-07-08 07:25 ]</font>

[Paddy]

On 2004-07-06 09:26, sportznut wrote:
I guess they've got to break their Telstra Stadium hoodoo some time and now is as good a time as any.

If they go out and use the same style of play that they used in the 2nd half of game 2 then they have a chance. Unfortunately, when Hagan was interviewed after the game, he seemed very happy with the way they were playing in the first half and I get the feeling he'll be telling them to go out and play the same way. If they do, they'll probably get beaten.


So you're tipping a draw at the end of normal time then sportznut :smile:

_________________
May the luck of the Irish be with you!

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: Paddy on 2004-07-06 09:32 ]</font>

[rabbitz]

State of origin
Time of first try
0-8 mins=$2.90
8-16mins=$2.90
16-24mins=$4
24-32mins=$9
32-40mins=$11
Second half=$15
No Try=$201
Interesting
Cheers

[sportznut]

Oh no, couldn't go through that damn Golden point again. Queensland teams don't have a clue how to play that.

No Paddy, I think NSW will win, but I'm a bit more confident of a Qld upset before this game than I was before Game 1. As far as the punting side goes, I still have a bet riding on NSW winning the series, so I'll probably just leave it at that and hope against hope that I lose my bet. :smile:

[horsewithnoname]

Qld 5 1/2 start for me.

[Paddy]

Current head to head markets:

sportsbet
New South Wales $1.48 (was $1.50)
Queensland $2.65 (was $2.60)

Tab SPORTSbet
New South Wales $1.50 (was $1.48)
Queensland $2.40 (was $2.45)

sportsTAB
New South Wales $1.50 (was $1.55)
Queensland $2.50 (was $2.35)

[Paddy]

Current handicap markets:

sportsbet
New South Wales –6.5 (was –5.5) $1.90 (was $1.85)
Queensland +6.5 (was +5.5) $1.90 (was $1.95)

Tab SPORTSbet
New South Wales –5.5 $1.80 (no movement)
Queensland +5.5 $1.90 (no movement)


sportsTAB
New South Wales –3.5 $1.65 (was $1.72)
Queensland +3.5 $2.15 (was $2.05)

[Mr J]

The +6.5 is the best value there.

The fact that it's half a point better than a key number is quite attractive.

BTW, pinnacle has +5.5 +102. Not sure about the value of each point in SOO but it has to be worth more than in NRL so the +6.5 might be slightly better.

[rabbitz]

I am thinking seriously about taking NSW -9.5 at $2.28,just to be safe because I think it could be a blowout,especially with the homeground advantage
cheers
P.S. Ht/Ft double NSW-NSW $2.05 is also good

[sportznut]

As I already had a bet riding on NSW winning the series, I didn't have to have another bet last night, but when you think about it, NSW at Telstra Stadium should be a goldmine for serious punters. Qld simply can't win there. That's 8 wins and a draw for NSW from 9 games there, so anyone backing Qld to win is going right against the odds. I'm sure Qld will eventually win there, but at the moment it simply doesn't look like it.

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-07-08 07:52 ]</font>