A very simple system

[nickhanlon406]

This has got more to do with value over S/R.
First,buy The Australian or a paper with the pre-post odds displayed.
Second,identify the top 4 chances.As you know,the top 4 win approx. 80% of the time.
Third,only bet on horses which are double the pre-post odds.
Eg. 1.40 becomes 2.80.{Yes,I know your profit is 4.5 times the pre-post odds,but that's precisely my point.}
I've been out of the country for a while so I've never actually tried it but if someone is willing to test it then good on you.Anyway,remember always to have fun,or sanook as we say in Thailand.
Nick.

[partypooper]

nickhanlon406

Even using the VERY best ratings services the double overlay (working at the track) only just makes a profit, according to the Punters Choice mag or at least that was the case the last time I bought it. So I doubt very much that the pre-post market could turn a profit.

By the way...... was that SA Nooky??

[kenchar]

I dunno about a SAnooky, but a NSWnooky is 100 mg of viagra have a shower, wait half an hour and WOOPEE :grin:

[Mr. Logic]

If the ratings were accurate - eg even money means winning 50% of the time, then getting 2/1 on an even money chance should return a solid profit on turnover.

Eg on 2 $100 bets you outlay $200 and get back $300 for 50% POT.

What it shows is that the ratings are inaccurate. I reckon some pricing services (all?)probably deliberately put prices short so they can claim an 8/1 winner rated 2/1 etc..

[partypooper]

Kenchar, good on ya, didn't work for me..... I mean NUTH'IN!!????

Mr Logic that didn't work iether!!

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: partypooper on 2004-07-07 18:49 ]</font>

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: partypooper on 2004-07-07 18:51 ]</font>