rabbitz
25th August 2004, 08:03 AM
Hello boys
Just been doing a bit of early browsing around the ladder and percentages between
St Kilda and Brisbane.
On for and against
Brisbane 2277f-1726a=551
St Kilda 2331f-1826a=505
Thats a difference of 46 points
Now lets look at a couple of scenarios
Both teams you would agree are expected to win comfortably,o.k.
Both teams are playing at exactly the same time.So you would expect a bit of close observation of each others scores.
Brisbane can come out and belt the kangas
by 70-80 points,which means that St Kilda would have to win by 120-130 at least to get the upper hand(percentage wise and second spot on ladder).Now we all know that St Kilda are very capable at the Dome and brisbane capable at the gabba,so it makes for interesting matches doesnt it.
What does this mean for the roll your line punter,it means that you can probably go over the offered starts quite readily and expect to collect big time.
Now at the head to head looking at the opening prices Brisbane $1.08 you would probably get around -42.5,and saints $1.14
(-37.5),so you could go to say lions -71.5(12 goals)($4.35) and saints -65.5(11 goals)($4.16)quit easily.These are only examples so I think instead of taking four teams in an all up I'll just concentrate on those too.
Cheers
P.S. Sorry it sounds longwinded,what do you all think of them apples.
Just been doing a bit of early browsing around the ladder and percentages between
St Kilda and Brisbane.
On for and against
Brisbane 2277f-1726a=551
St Kilda 2331f-1826a=505
Thats a difference of 46 points
Now lets look at a couple of scenarios
Both teams you would agree are expected to win comfortably,o.k.
Both teams are playing at exactly the same time.So you would expect a bit of close observation of each others scores.
Brisbane can come out and belt the kangas
by 70-80 points,which means that St Kilda would have to win by 120-130 at least to get the upper hand(percentage wise and second spot on ladder).Now we all know that St Kilda are very capable at the Dome and brisbane capable at the gabba,so it makes for interesting matches doesnt it.
What does this mean for the roll your line punter,it means that you can probably go over the offered starts quite readily and expect to collect big time.
Now at the head to head looking at the opening prices Brisbane $1.08 you would probably get around -42.5,and saints $1.14
(-37.5),so you could go to say lions -71.5(12 goals)($4.35) and saints -65.5(11 goals)($4.16)quit easily.These are only examples so I think instead of taking four teams in an all up I'll just concentrate on those too.
Cheers
P.S. Sorry it sounds longwinded,what do you all think of them apples.