Best odds on Makybe Diva?

[sportznut]

Did anyone get great odds about Makybe Diva by betting early?

I don't like to bet REALLY early. I prefer to wait until just before the Caulfield Cup and then have a go. This year I backed Makybe Diva the night before the Caulfield Cup and I got $12. About 24 hours later after her great 2nd, she was about half that price!


<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-11-02 20:57 ]</font>

[rabbitz]

Congrats sportz
You must be the luckiest bloke i know
$12!!!!!!!!!!
My wife wanted to back Zazzman for a place and i told her it had no hope so now im nearly in the doghouse because it paid $32
for a place
From now on I reckon Sportz should publicly broadcast all prepost bets whether it be on racing afl whatever.I also remember you saying you backed Port Adelaide at $7.50 and Lions at $3.80 and then they end up in the grandfinal.
I backed DISTINCTION about 6 times and got odds ranging from $13-$21 but it only finished 6TH
Cheers :cool:

[sportznut]

Rabbitz,

It wasn't that brilliant, because she wasn't the only one I had. I also backed Vinnie Row and She's Archie at the same time, so I got 1st, 2nd and last with 3 bets.

Even though the odds were shorter today, I backed up again on Makybe Diva and Vinnie Roe because I was pretty confident one of the two would win with rain expected

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-11-02 21:23 ]</font>

[sportznut]

Actually Rabbitz, I am kicking myself a bit, because I liked Elvstroem a LOT in the Caulfield Cup and I could have had the double but I decided against it.

[moeee]

Well done Sportznut.
Getting $12 on Caulfield Cup Eve.
Funny,2 months ago I could only get $11

Just goes to show not to bet too early.

[sportznut]

Yeah, I don't like betting 2-3 months out. Too much chance for things to go wrong.

I started trying this idea in 2001 when I got Ethereal at $18 the week before she won the Caulfield Cup. I think she ended up paying about 9 dollars on the day. I didn't do any good in 2002, but that didn't matter too much because Media Puzzle was my big bet on the day. And last year I was VERY confident about Makybe Diva but I didn't get a big advantage there because I got $10 and she paid about 9 on the day. Being a pretty cautious punter, I've never been one for taking cups doubles, but I might have to start because in 3 of the last 4 years, I would have won. I could have got around $50 for this year's double.


<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-11-03 07:44 ]</font>

[topsy99]

my wife made me back zazzman for a place for her i think because it was number 12.
i will have to remember that selection method.

(its the same day as her birthday)

[sportznut]

Yeah, great system! Wonder what the people do whose birthday is from the 25th to the 31st. Add the two numbers together??? :smile:

[topsy99]

they do what good punters do.
they sit the race out.

[Northerly]

I was lucky enough to get $19.50 on Makybe Diva on the 1st of August on Betfair.
If I hadn't been so greedy I could of got $21, but I tried to get $23 then missed the $21 and had to take the $19.50.
A friend got $23, late July on BF.

I did back a total of 10 runners back in August, 7 of them ran yesterday. Unfortunately the rain put paid to a few of their chances (Pacific Dancer @ $60, Hugs Dancer @ $28, Mummify @ $42) and She's Archie (@ $65) got injured.

Layed off most of my risk so had none of my selections won I would only lose a small amount.
Almost like a free bet.

[smidgin]

Betfair ? How can that be?
Once they know you are from Oz doesn't that stop you betting on Australian races?

[Northerly]

only if you live in NSW or WA.

This is the 1st year I've done this and I made money on both Caulfield Cup & Melb Cup.
Back them, then Lay them to reduce your risk.
Only won $150 on Caulfield Cup (with no risk on the day) & $550 on Melb Cup (risk of $36). Next year will bet bigger now I know what I'm doing.
This year all I did was put $20-$40 on horses and then lay them when the race was about 2 weeks away or whenever I felt comfortable, when MOST not all, had shortened (eg She's Archie, backed @ $65 for $15, then layed @ $9 for $75)

Give it a go next year.