last start winners

[nickhanlon]

Can anyone tell me the Strike Rate and Profit/Loss results for mules that won their last start within 7 days/14 days/21 days.I'm asking about all tracks,all days,any odds,any class.I read somewhere that it comes something like 22%S.R. and 7 % P.O.T. but i need confirmation.
Yours in punting,
Nick.

[Chrome Prince]

7 Days = 18.89% S/R -0.57% POT
14 Days = 15.46% S/R -14.29% POT
21 Days = 14.79% S/R -15.28% POT

[Sportz]

Sorry Chrome, I think you've mentioned this before and you did base one of your systems around it but can you tell me the stats on this:

Saturdays,
Metro tracks,
LSW exactly 7 days ago.

[Chrome Prince]

Sorry Chrome, I think you've mentioned this before and you did base one of your systems around it but can you tell me the stats on this:

Saturdays,
Metro tracks,
LSW exactly 7 days ago.


20.03% S/R

2.19% POT :D

Maximum win dividend $47.70 :(

[nickhanlon]

Thanks C.P.Was the P/L scenario arrived at using one of the TABS or some other source?
What happens when we place a price filter of $3.00 and over on the 7 days bracket?
And lastly,what about requiring the nag to have a strike rate of 30% AND be a winner within the last 168 hours(7 days}?

[Duritz]

OK let's see if we can get a winning sys built here. Who can run these rules for me? Any track, just follow these rules, who's got stats?

1 - LS winner
2 - back within 7 days
3 - NOT 2nd up
4 - todays race NOT a class 1

Have I cracked it? Is this the system we've been waiting for??!?!!?

I'll wait patiently with my glass of beer for a result from one of the stats men.

Duritz.

[Sportz]

How about:

Saturdays only
Metro tracks only
LSW exactly 7 days ago
Last start on a Metro track
At least 2 starts since a spell
At least 1200m
At least $3

Today just one runner - Belmont R8-5 Miss Castaway WON 3.10/1.60

[Duritz]

How come not all tracks though? The handicapper takes care of class differencs for us. Sportz what happens to the results if you eliminate the metro today and metro LS aspect of your rules there?

I completely agree with the $3 rule and the 1200m rule though.

Duritz

[Sportz]

Well, today there weren't any selections at the non metro tracks.

Of those that won at non metro tracks last start, there were 4 of them today for just 1 placing.

Chrome Prince will probably be able to help you with overall figures, but I'd suggest that sticking to metro tracks is best. He had a system going using similar rules and I think he stuck to metro tracks. I can actually remember a few good winners which had won at country/provincial tracks the previous Saturday, but somehow I don't think there were enough to pay for the losers.

[Duritz]

Righto ta. So not time to start punting up just yet....