Sports Betting - Tip of the Day

[Betsy]

I remember a tip of the day thread in the horseracing forum being rather successful and thought why not try it but with sports betting...

Now, this is a thread where we put our best bet for the day, one which we think has a mixture of good value and a strong chance of getting up. We'll track how the thread goes as a whole at tipping winners, lets hope its a success!

My tip for today is in Game 8 in the VB series (AUS vs. PAK)
Im not too keen on the $1.26 on offer for Australia as of yet but with the live match betting we may get value

- My thoughts are that you should wait for Australia to get into early trouble (if it doesnt happen don't bet) then take an increased price such as ~$1.60 as the Aussies have huge depth in their batting lineup and the tail is very strong

[Chuck]

SnAntnio vs NewOrlns - Total Points O/u
Over 176.5
$1.95

Good value i think

Or possibly:
Adam Gilchrist - Runs
51-99 Runs
$3.60

[Floydyboy]

your not gunna believe this I was sitting here thinking what i might invest on this arvo for an interest and was wondering what every one else ws backing so i thought thats a good idea ill start a thread, tip of the day ,one tip thats all ,opens the web site and bugger me if isnt the bloody first thing I see tip of the day .........Im gunna scratch down some lotto numbers
Anyway mines later on I think Bolton will win tonite @1.65 or thereabouts

[knowledge]

Juventus
AC Milan
Real Madrid
Werder Bremen
Palermo(tiny bet)


if Juventus don't win I'll eat PORRIDGE for breakfast for next 4 weeks. Ok???

[Betsy]

SnAntnio vs NewOrlns - Total Points O/u
Over 176.5
$1.95

Haha, thats unbelievable 93-83 - missed it by a bees dick

[Betsy]

Juventus
AC Milan
Real Madrid
Werder Bremen
Palermo(tiny bet)


if Juventus don't win I'll eat PORRIDGE for breakfast for next 4 weeks. Ok???
That really doesnt seem like TIP of the day.. more like tips of the day, which one you think is the best value knowledge?

[knowledge]

the first 3 will all definitely win. put them in a multi if u want.

werder will win im quite sure but palermo is definitely not safe.

[Chuck]

SnAntnio vs NewOrlns - Total Points O/u
Over 176.5
$1.95

Good value i think

Or possibly:
Adam Gilchrist - Runs
51-99 Runs
$3.60

That reflects me as a punter i guess!!

San Antonio + New Orleans racked up only 176 pts, and Gilly got 47

[mug punta]

The last one day international.
I haven't been punting much but when I heard Lara was out I can't believe I got the Paki's at $1.80 H2H ON tab sportsbet(vic)
Looks like super value to me so have had a bit of lash.

Scratch that LARA is actually out. I just heard a report he will probly play even with his injured wrist. Shit, now I have to beware the wounded tiger!!

[Jack Daniels]

Turned out to be a good bet Mug.

Paki's got up!

[Jack Daniels]

At 8:11pm Sportstab had the Paki's at a hell of a price $2.70

[Floydyboy]

My best bet for Tues(or wed depending how you look at it)
Portsmouth v MIDDLESBOROUGH @2.80

[knowledge]

my tip is crystal palace to beat wba.

interesting:
onthepunt predicts PORTSMOUTH to win. BettingZone (sportal) predicts M'boro to win.

draw, anyone?

[Mr ed]

Sandown rc 3 No.2 Escolta looks all over the winner after being trapped out wide and sticking on gamely last start, drops 2kg and draws (1) against very similar opposition, should lead all the way. Sorry i know this is a sports betting thread but i didn't want to start a thread on the other forum just for my little old tips, can we just have the odd racing tip here if we are very confident?

Cheers ED

[knowledge]

yes ed no problem! please continue giving us ur tips!! :)

[sparkus8]

I have a tennis double for Delray Beach later today.

Wessels over Van Scheppingen
Saulnier over Gambill

You should get around $2 for that.

Hope you are right about Palace K-man, any win they have I will greet happily!! :)

[Sportz]

I have a tennis double for Delray Beach later today.
Wessels over Van Scheppingen
Saulnier over Gambill


Geez, a BIG letdown after the OZ Open!

[mug punta]

Sandown rc 3 No.2 Escolta looks all over the winner after being trapped out wide and sticking on gamely last start, drops 2kg and draws (1) against very similar opposition, should lead all the way. Sorry i know this is a sports betting thread but i didn't want to start a thread on the other forum just for my little old tips, can we just have the odd racing tip here if we are very confident?

Cheers ED

ED, Ihave no probs with you tipping in this forum at all. You are a top judge of equine flesh. Does the horse like the wet? It's been raining all day in Melbourne.

[mug punta]

At 8:11pm Sportstab had the Paki's at a hell of a price $2.70

I was watching the odds last nite and the flucs were absolutely unbelievable as you coud have got the Pakis at $3.50 at one stage when Chanderpaul and Sarwan were batting so well and I don't know what price the Windies ever got to but im sure there were stages they would have payed $4-5.
I guess when it's a great pitch like that both teams looked like they would win easily at different stages. Shows how volatile one day cricket can be and what a great betting medium it is.

[Mr ed]

Mug Punta, sorry i didn't check this post till after the race, her form had a second at Geelong on the heavy at her second start, but beaten 4 lengths, she's much improved since then and i still thought she was a pretty safe bet. I think now i can safely say after 2 heart attacks, she probably doesn't like it this wet, her class still got her home and it was a good win with the weight advantage Pugnacious had but i suspect if it was dry she would have romped in. Very short price, ended up getting $1.90 (minus deduction of course) and tote even shorter but hey, we cant go broke making a profit.

Cheers ED.

[sparkus8]

Mate I was counting the cash and then heard that dreaded siren and just about shat myself when I heard a protest had been lodged! I was very relieved when it was dismissed about 15mins later.

[Mr ed]

Yeh i knew he would protest after looking at the head on but was always pretty confident as Pug never headed Esc they had a ding dong battle, both had their chance and the best horse won.

[Mr ed]

Doomben rc 7 No. 9 Noble Gent has won his last 4 impressively all at 1000 m, tommorow he steps up to the 1010 but i think he might handle it. He easily accounted for a weaker lot last start and has been running very good times. He should get across and lead from (2) with Picardi Run (who gets back a bit) drawn inside him or he may take a sit behind Masindor. He's rated $4.50 in Winning Post and i would be v. happy with that.

[Jack Daniels]

Paki's are still showing $4.10 on sportstab after the completion of Australia's lacklustre performance with the bat. Australia only scored 237. I think the Paki's are a good chance to win this match requiring only 4.76 per over to win.

Well that didn't last long. Paki's now $2.45 - Aust $1.50 :mad:

[Sportz]

You obviously mustn't have refreshed the prices or something Jack. Surely there's no way they would have been $4.10 at that stage.

[Sportz]

Doomben rc 7 No. 9 Noble Gent has won his last 4 impressively all at 1000 m, tommorow he steps up to the 1010 but i think he might handle it.

Yeah, I think he should be able to run another ten metres!!! :D

Seriously though, he's been running brilliantly at Eagle Farm. Just has to reproduce that at Doomben.

[Mr ed]

He'll probably lead all the way and get knocked off with 5m to go now, haha. Yeh he has been very impressive, there are some good quality gallopers in the race, but you'd have to say he has the wood on Helter Skelter, despite the weight difference (4kg) after sitting outside it last start and winning easily. Helter Skelter was a good thing beaten by Gullcatcher the start before that. Picardi Run and Algorythym look the only dangers but one is first up from a long spell and the other has to give 3.5kg to Noble Gent and also drops back in distance, which probably doesn't suit. As for him handling Doomben i hope that helps his odds increase, but fast horses run fast anywhere, and his form has improved out of site since his last trip to Doomben.

[knowledge]

ok mate. :)

whenever i read ur tips i call up my friends, cousins, 2nd cousins, 3rd cousins, overseas relatives, and even people on the street and I say....

BACK THIS HORSE! :D

u're a great tipster my friend. keep em coming!!!!!

[Mr ed]

Cheers mate, that's the reason they're paying so short it's them bloody overseas relatives!. Pressures really on Noble Gent now.

Anyway mate looks like you're a fair judge of the soccer yourself, have never bet on the sport myself but it looks like you do fairly well off it.

[Floydyboy]

If you want some soccer links try Gooners Guide dot com and scroll to the very bottom of the page............... the whole site is worth a look includes reviews for brit and euro soccer

[knowledge]

floydy is not a bad soccer punter either. in a competition on a link of the gooners website he came 3rd out of like 50, getting a prize of what was it? 21 euros?

how did u manage to receive those funds, floydy?????

[Floydyboy]

It was english pounds
When you bet with some bookies over there they use a thing called MONEYBOOKERS(for the transfer of money ... small fee attatched to withdrawls $3) to deposit into moneybookers you use the persons email address that they use for that site (moneybookers)
Anyway tonite I fancy a M'borough-Arsenal double @3.24(with Arsenal being my main one @1.75)

[Floydyboy]

Nope sorry it was euros

[knowledge]

well my tip of the day is Juventus away to PALERMO.

[knowledge]

:(
my luck with horses is cursed

[Sportz]

Did you bet on Noble Gent?

[Betsy]

Noble Gent was the only dissapointment on an otherwise successful day for me, with 3 winners (Taken, Fastnet Rock & Charnwood Green - all at Flem) from 4 races

[Floydyboy]

juve ..inter..... real ... theyre all 3star sucker bets...... I swore off plonkin on em last year thank god .... I threw Juve in tonight in a multi but it was a longshot and they cost me bugger all, shakeyshalke and stuttgart went down in the same multi ...... reals leading 2nil after 35 Well good on em they can keep there 1.40 price tag

[Floydyboy]

Jeez it gets quiet in here sometimes ......do you blokes actually have a life.I dont know about thrusting clarke in the openers spot ......I t just gives me the feeling that it may bring him unstuck........Im probably wrong but i just get that feelin .....Mr Gilly 3 balls 2 boundaries ...... hope he keeps it up

[sparkus8]

Is it just me or does it seem like every time the Aussies get off to a flier they have a middle order collapse and every time we start poorly there is a middle order fightback. For once could they just put it all together and put up a massive score.

[Sportz]

I dont know about thrusting clarke in the openers spot ......I t just gives me the feeling that it may bring him unstuck........Im probably wrong but i just get that feelin .....

Interesting that when he was just a fill in opener, he played brilliantly, but now that he's in there on his merits, he's struggled a bit.

[william]

Haha, thats unbelievable 93-83 - missed it by a bees dick

"A bee's dick": An expression for an exceptionally small amount :)

Regards
William

[knowledge]

"A bee's dick": An expression for an exceptionally small amount :)

Regards
William

that was very insightful of you.

[Floydyboy]

Tonite I like Chelsea (too short) Barca (too short) So Im going for ......

Anderlecht@ 1.83(Belgium)

[Sportz]

Chaanel 9 are making me sick. Well, sicker than usual. Their Cricket coverage lately seems to be one long advertisement for other Channel 9 shows. Poor old Richie Benaud was trying to talk about how wonderful Starstruck was this afternoon when he was rudely interrupted by a wicket falling. And when they're not doing ads for Channel 9 shows, they're doing ads for all that hugely overpriced 'memorabilia'. And of course, when they do concentrate on the Cricket, it's replay after replay after replay........

[Floydyboy]

Yeah well advertising makes the world go round these days ...Quite frankly I find offensive and an insult to what intellegence Ive retained....the way they present things as you say in the middle of something entertaining and when the commercials come on the bloody volume goes up 10 or 20 percent ......Maybe Im just getting old and cranky but I really get cheesed at this dollar driven world we live in and the way we have things thrust at us in the name of THE BUCK..............tomorrow morning is a perfect example of crass in your face commercialization ...THE SUPERBOWL as you might have guessed by my vitriol that i was a teen in the late 60s and 70s and Ive retained some of those values ....but I can quite happily live with that stamp
AAAAHHHHHHHH that was good to get off my chest

[Mr ed]

Noble Gent ran like a cut cat, prick of a thing, Sorry guys. Yeh Floydy, knowledge i think the key to successful gambling is sticking to the thing you know best for you guys it's soccer, i love the horses (maybe i should re-evaluate however). That's why this thread could be successful, if everyone sticks to what they know best, and pool this knowledge, all could benefit. I think the only problem here can be people tipping just for the sake of giving a tip, it doesn't matter if we only give one tip a month as long as its an informed, value-bet we are contributing.

[maverick1993]

looking at the video Mr Ed and Noble Gent did a cop a few bumps....i wouldnt be writing him off jus yet......speaking of sprinters i heard just before that Star of Florida flew in a barrier trial...would love to see these two in a match race.....

[Betsy]

My best bet tonight is J Johansson to beat Ferrero at $1.30
He's been playing faultless tennis and has only lost 1 match this season (if you don't count his retirement against Mirnyi at Sydney) and that 1 match was against Agassi, who he took a set off and took two of the three losing sets to tiebreaks. His big hitting should be too much for a out of form Ferrero and at 1.30 i think the value is there.

[Betsy]

expanding on what mr ed said, i think he's right on the money with certain ppl sticking to their favoured sports, as it is very hard to keep up to date and give tips for multiple sports at one time - i myself will be covering tennis, so ill try and nab a few decent wins - as a whole this thread should do well if we stick to our preffered area of expertice and dont post bets willy nilly...


Happy punting

[knowledge]

i fully agree with the comment about sticking to ur sports.

in NBA and NBL i lose so much god damn money. but now i've quit and only sport i bet on is soccer. and i make money.

damn i spoiled so much profit betting on sports i know little about.

[Floydyboy]

NBA.... I Dont like it,dont watch it, and dont bet on it....from what Ive seen on this forum re NBA theres to many people left with theyre mouths agape at "shock results" I know it happens in all sports It just seems to me on face value to be goin on night after night.......my thought is that when you get a sport where there are so many points scored (ie175-220)and 10 points would be considered a decent winning margin you will always be flirting with danger ...shoot me down in flames if you want but they wont get any of my cash....Id prefer to lose mine on other sports lol

[Mr ed]

Johansson straight sets, nice one Betsy.

[Jack Daniels]

I like England $1.93 to bounce back against a South Africa $1.80 tonight. Coverage on Fox from 23:30. Particularily if England win the toss and bat making South Africa have to chase.

Forecast for Today: Overcast with showers at times. High 73F. Winds SW at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 60%.


5th ODI: South Africa v England at East London, 9 Feb 2005

South Africa squad:

*GC Smith
AB de Villiers
JH Kallis
HH Gibbs
JM Kemp,
AG Prince
+MV Boucher
SM Pollock
N Boje
M Ntini
A Nel
JA Rudolph
AJ Hall
AM Bacher.

England squad:

ME Trescothick
+GO Jones
*MP Vaughan
AJ Strauss
KP Pietersen
IR Bell
PD Collingwood
AF Giles
Kabir Ali
D Gough
SJ Harmison
VS Solanki
JM Anderson
AG Wharf
MJ Hoggard
GJ Batty

Good Luck.

[sparkus8]

I hate to be unpatriotic but I think the South Africans are a great price to beat the Socceroos tonight.

We are without most of our attacking options while SA will be near full strength. The $2.10+ is too good to refuse.

Also one for the tennis fans - Clement to beat Stepanek.
Stepanek is coming off a long week in Milan and will be playing a fresh Clement in front of his home fans and I think the $2 about the Frenchman is pretty good value.

[knowledge]

I also believe that SA has a generous price at 2.20.

[Sportz]

What price a draw??? ;)

[Sportz]

England squad:

ME Trescothick
+GO Jones
*MP Vaughan
AJ Strauss
KP Pietersen
IR Bell
PD Collingwood
AF Giles
Kabir Ali
D Gough
SJ Harmison
VS Solanki
JM Anderson
AG Wharf
MJ Hoggard
GJ Batty


Geez, this Pietersen must be some player. Bet the South Africans hate him, seeing as he could have played for them.

[Searay]

Gday guys, new member here and avid follower of most sports, with a keen punting eye on the gallops, NRL,NBL and AFL with the cricketgetting a look
in on the odd occasion. Interesting to read all of your thoughts and look forward to good conversation with u all.

Try to stick to the gallops wednesdays and satrurdays with a total combined
6-7 bets. Im pretty switched on about the NRL and that is where my awesome
POI skyrockets at that time of year. My recent strategies have been encouraging in the NBL, and the AFL last year was a success as well.

Back to the GIGI's, love an odds on pop and keen to take any advice or tips on board. Also an avid big stakes place better where i have found to be more profitable with less bets, and higher stakes.

Just finishing, any 'MORALS' today Thursday 10-2-05?

[Betsy]

I took ancic at 1.55 today guys against Berdych - wish him home for me !!! im pretty sure he's startin soon

[discipline pays]

best sports bet today would be a near full strength Qld bulls at 1.48 to pump WA in ING. i think for memory Qld made 400 in same match last season....

and a small double QLD into South Africa at 2.52 . England are ready for home after long tour and pietersen has an injury cloud hovering.

[Mr ed]

I know your an avid fan of the QLD GiGi's and was wondering what your thoughts were on the C5 over 1800 at G Coast on saturday. What got me interested in the race was Miss La Tar's barnstorming run to win a couple of weeks ago, but was it that good?, the time from the C3 wasn't that good and i think the step up to a C5 may test her. I think she will be ruling favourite in the race and that may leave some value for my selection, Super Imprint has been racing in much better class (narrowly defeated in a C6 last start) over 1820, in a time much better then Miss La Tar's race, he hit the line very hard that day and a repeat of that performance would win i think. He has raced over the 1800 at the G coast before and finished 3l behind the winner who also clocked a time much faster then Miss La Tar. He rises in weight here but drops dramatically in class, whereas Miss rises in weight (no claim this weekend) and class. I don't rate anything else in the race near these two. Your thoughts?

[Searay]

ED- I believe u r spot on with your assesment as i am an avid follower of the QLD giddy-ups. Miss La Tars win was ok , time not flash, and the rise in class for me will be the telling factor. I thought that the better gate and N.Day on board will make Super Imprint VERY hard to beat. Early market has him at 3.5, and maybe around 1.60 for the drum. I think he is place bet of the day in any state.
Definatly the rise in weight might just tell with Miss La Tar and D J Browne is a concern.

REMEMBER- Think first before saying nothing.

[mug punta]

My tip of the day is Vijhay Singh to score better than Luke Donald in rd2 of the tournament played in the states at the moment. He scored 1over par in the 1st round and being the defending champ I expect him to bounce back and at $1.56 I reckon he's good value.

[sparkus8]

My tip for today is Anna Lena Groenefeld to beat Alonya Bondarenko at the Indian WTA event. They played last week and Groenefeld smashed her in straight sets and went on to make the final of that tournament.

She is paying $1.45 on SportsTab and I think that is pretty good value.

I also like Melbourne to beat Brisbane in the NBL tonight at $1.53 on SportsTab. You are getting real value there especially since Centrebet and other agencies have them at $1.45 or less.

[Betsy]

I'm taking Johansson, once again, against Karol Beck. I believe the $1.31 on offer is very good value

I also took:

Moya
x
Johansson
x
Ancic

~$2+

[Floydyboy]

Nice v Reims (French Cup)
Nice @1.50

[Sportz]

Nice if they win, not so nice if they don't.

[maverick1993]

Hi Mr ed
i find it hard to rate the race all together,,,there seems to be a lack of speed and even a comfortable leader,,,its hard to do a speed map.....Miss la tar's win the other day was good because she copped a bit of interference as well and looked well out of it......it seems alot of these horses including your Super Imprint like to run on ..the class drop suits though..if it rains which it has tonight and the track is dead or slow i'd be backing King Latarmiss..
other than that i think Super Imprint is a good show..but if they walk up front i'm not sure he can sprint with Miss La Tar....
sorry mate ...just to hard a race for me.
I like the other Latarmiss...La Tar in the 7th..they trotted up front in his last race and he came home from last on the turn,,,there's speed in the race and the distance suits...
also Strategic Plan looks good as well ..but i'm worried about radar O'reilly who has bit of ability...
good luck

[Mr ed]

Cheers Mav, The possibility of the wet track really worries me and will probably turn out a no bet race for me, just thought there might be some value. Might just go the whole weekends capital and put it on the Regal Roller - Dance Hero all up, Dance Hero just wins at the weights and he is brilliant. Regal Roller also looks close to a good thing. Nothing challenges him at all, from my form analysis, he will boot away on the turn and win this easily if right, and stable thinks he's better then ever. $5 for the all up is great value. The rain here in Melbourne will only enhance his chances.

[Jack Daniels]

After a loss on the cricket the other night I was a little reluctant to post a tip for you lot but after a couple of good bets on the tennis and soccer friendlies I thought I'd post my thoughts for a small multi You might like to try.


Roddick $1.14 Vs Enqvist
Agassi $1.13 Vs Melzer
S.Williams $1.08 Vs Safina
Acasuso $1.55 Vs Almagro
Valencia $1.70 Vs Deportivo
A Madrid $1.57 Vs Levante
Chelsea +0.5 $1.14 Vs Everton
Arsenal $1.13 Vs Crystal Palace

Total: $7.41 x $55.00 = $407.55 (where I have put my money where my mouth is anyway)

Good Luck :D

:cheers:

[Jack Daniels]

ps....... Odds as per sportstab nsw as at now. Like I said good luck to any or all that follow this tip. :)

Looks good on paper!

[Floydyboy]

Nice if they win, not so nice if they don't.
HaHa very good sportz
Well it wasnt nice but not too bad I had them in a Now deceased Multi with Man U and my Best bet for the night LIVERPOOL
So Ill try to recoup some of my losses taking

ManU-LIVERPOOL @4.00

Draw-LIVERPOOL @7.90

[mug punta]

My tip of the day is Vijhay Singh to score better than Luke Donald in rd2 of the tournament played in the states at the moment. He scored 1over par in the 1st round and being the defending champ I expect him to bounce back and at $1.56 I reckon he's good value.


VIJHAY shot back to back 73's. I sure can stop 'em. When was the last time he missed a cut!!. Oh, well I still think the thought process was pretty sound.

[Mr ed]

Nah that wasn't a bad bet Mug.

[knowledge]

my tip of the day is under 2.5 goals in everton-chelsea.

[Betsy]

Had a good win today with SA beating Tassie, will be taking the 1.40 on offer (once again) tonight for J Johansson - I think we all know my reasons for taking this serving machine to beat Lopez

[sparkus8]

Geez that's gutsy Betsy. Both guys have big serves and there will more than likely be at least one tie break.

I'm saving my money for Acasuso. He is in top form at the moment and playing in front of his home fans will make him very hard to beat. I got him at $1.40, but I think the bookies have reeled him in a little bit since then.

[Mr ed]

What a prick of a day. i did me left and right.

[Betsy]

J Johansson is struggling losing the first 7-6 - worrying signs however because he's not firing on all cylinders - his first serve % was somewhere around 30% in the middle of the set !!!!! If current form keeps up looks liek Feli is through

Ah well the money ive already made on jj far outweighs the money ill lose tonight :)

[Betsy]

Johansson won it in three after losing the first in a breaker, probably not his best night of tennis - but even when he's playing below par he is still a big danger, definately believe he will beat a tired ljubicic tonight if he can get his returns going

[Betsy]

Bad luck with acasuso Spark, always gonna be little in it - Puerta coming back to his 2000 form and riding high from a win over Moya and acasuso who is always at home on clay... Who will you be taking in the final (Gaudio v Puerta)..? Or steering clear of it?

[sparkus8]

You'd think it would be Gaudio, but who knows after all the upsets this week over there.

Still can't believe Acasuso lost, he had chances in both sets but didn't play the big points very well at all.

Congrats with Johansson, I thought he was a goner after the first set.

[knowledge]

forget tennis, i goddamnm hate it

soccer is the money maker for me..

tonight JUVE is the bet.

[knowledge]

1-0 juve after 40 seconds.

hope u all followed!

[Betsy]

Tumbleweed time?

Theres not much action in this thread...

Anyone had any good wins lately? I've been stayin away from the tennis for the last week or so, only put one bet on and that was on molik (i know that goes against my WTA tour no bet strategy, but Molik plays like a man anyway) at 1.40 last night against maleeva, but yeah that wasnt very convincing whatsoeva, but ah well a wins a win

Anyone have any thoughts on tonights matches in Memphis and Rotterdam?

[sparkus8]

Tough round of matches in Rotterdam tonight.

Federer should beat Davydenko, but his price is way too short to justify a bet.

I like Ancic ($2.30) to cause an upset over Henman. If he plays anything like he did when they met at Wimbledon last year Henman wont have a chance.

Johansson ($1.88) also has to be a good chance of beating Stepanek after he had a convincing win over his countryman JJ last night. If he returns well he will have too much for the Czech.

Ljubicic has been playing quite well over the last few weeks, but I am going to stay away from this match because Iam working on the theory that he has to get tired sooner or later and also because Srichaphan is very unpredictable at the moment.

Dont really like the look of anything in Memphis. Maybe Haas ($1.33) to beat Malisse, but that's it.

Like you Betsy i don't like to bet on the WTA too often anymore, but I like the look of Venus ($1.50) over Clijsters tonight. Kimmy should still be a little rusty after her long layoff and that will be a problem against Venuses powerful hitting.

[Floydyboy]

Lierse v Anderlecht
.............................1.50 Anderlecht
Monaco v Lyon
.............................2.90 Lyon
Total......................4.35

[thefan]

Tip? Charity Shield.. Well the weathers gonna play a part. I'll take the handicap for the Dragons. I still cant see a new rabbitohs outfit defeating the dragons.

[Jack Daniels]

Tough round of matches in Rotterdam tonight.

Federer should beat Davydenko, but his price is way too short to justify a bet.

I like Ancic ($2.30) to cause an upset over Henman. If he plays anything like he did when they met at Wimbledon last year Henman wont have a chance.

Johansson ($1.88) also has to be a good chance of beating Stepanek after he had a convincing win over his countryman JJ last night. If he returns well he will have too much for the Czech.

Ljubicic has been playing quite well over the last few weeks, but I am going to stay away from this match because Iam working on the theory that he has to get tired sooner or later and also because Srichaphan is very unpredictable at the moment.

Dont really like the look of anything in Memphis. Maybe Haas ($1.33) to beat Malisse, but that's it.

Like you Betsy i don't like to bet on the WTA too often anymore, but I like the look of Venus ($1.50) over Clijsters tonight. Kimmy should still be a little rusty after her long layoff and that will be a problem against Venuses powerful hitting.

Jeez mate a multi on that would have given you a starting mark of just under $15.00

Federer 1.07
x
Ancic 2.20
x
Johnasson 1.88
x
Ljubicic 1.63
x
Hass 1.33
x
V.Williams 1.50

= $14.39 :cool:

[karla909]

I am new to this site and think the idea of a bet a day is wonderful. For 5 years I have compilled a database of all ATP players and results. This year I have had 24 bets for 22 winners and have 20% profit. Select favourites obviously.


Anyway thought I would like to contribute to this section.

Today Moya to beat Lapentti at Mexico. Got $1.22 at Ladbrokes.

[karla909]

My tip for Moya over Lapentti was successful today.

Tomorrow I like Canas over Devilder at Mexico.

Canas is a genuine clay courter who according to himself wants to finish in the top 8 this year. His South American season is only 1-1 this year, so he needs to get some ATP points. I think he really wants to do well here and against the qualifier Devilder should move on in the tournament. Having not played last week he should be refreshed and ready to go.

Haven't put my bet on yet as some of the places haven't put up their odds yet.

He is 1.25 at Centrebet

[knowledge]

my tip today is PORTO to win an upset against Inter. 3.00 I think is the best price available.

[karla909]

Canas was succesful for me today. I posted 1.25 but I only got $1.22.

Tomorrow I like Volandri over Montanes.

Volandri is an up and coming youngster with good clay court form over the last 6 months.
After a first round debacle last week, he has returned to form with wins over Zabaleta and Martin.

Montanes has had 8 straight first round defeats on clay before getting 2 easy matches to get to the quarters.

In their last 2 encounters, both in 2004 Volandri won 2+3 at $1.14 and 3+1 at $1.20.

The price is very short but he should come through.

Canbet = $1.25

karla

[knowledge]

tip today is Middlesnrough to beat Grazer and Newcastle to beat Herenveen.

[Sportz]

I've never even heard of Grazer and Herenveen.

[knowledge]

I've never even heard of Grazer and Herenveen.

well they both lost.

[karla909]

will move my tips to ATP thread for what its worth

[Jack Daniels]

Aust to beat NZ in cricket @ $1.40 NSW sportstab!!!!

[Mr ed]

Wangaratta Rc 4 No. 2 Perusen

I have been waiting a long time for this one to pop up again. I was on the horse it beat Stuff Up about 5 weeks ago, it looked all over the winner but Perusen absolutely flew and got him on the line. I think Perusen is a very promising galloper, he has had a few injuries but is on the way up now. The race over a mile he is in tommorow features the highly spruiked San Antonio, who won well last start so i think it could let Perusen get out to decent odds, the step up in distance looks ideal, drawn barrier 2, i think he will go very, very close. Ironically Stuff Up is in as well, both his runs have been enormous, he however is dropping 300m in distance and expect him to be very short if Perusen happens to get up.

[Betsy]

Perusen currently at around $14.00 on the tote (STAB) with less than 30 mins to race - any late thoughts Mr ED?

[Betsy]

Shortened to $10

[Betsy]

Ran 2nd - beaten by a neck

[sparkus8]

I dont know about you guys but if it gets a clear run in the striaght it probably would of snuck home - thems the breaks.

[karla909]

I agree - great pick Mr Ed but bad luck. I would like to have a look in slow motion at the corner and straight. might have got chopped out in the course of running.

e/w it was a great sight.

Do you think its worth following?

Ta
Karla

[Mr ed]

Yeh that was a very nice run, i thought he was a little unlucky but had his chance and as stated 'Thems the breaks', and yes he definately is one to follow. He showed promise as a younger horse, and he's been racing really well this prep. Would have been nice to get up but money back with the eachies so i can put it on him next time.

Cheers ED

[Mr ed]

If you didn't take him at the eachies, Steelworker Rc 4 No 1 tommorow night looks all over the winner. He is ultra consistent and his formlines around Lyrical Bid look outstanding now. He gets into this race ridiculously well after the claim as he'll end up only three over the limit, he carried 3kg more then Lyrical last time and was beaten 1/2 length. Drawn perfectly in three, this looks his race, however i'm clearly stating the obvious he will be very short, wont take odds on but any morcel of black and white i will pounce on.

[mug punta]

Aust vs NZ 1st test.
Slapped the aussies at $1.55. Looks like money for jam for mine.

[discipline pays]

Have to agree with aussies being good things. Generally I like to wait to opposition has a spirited session and aussies get out a bit, but not sure that will happen. best to get on now.... what is weather forecast?

[mug punta]

Mostly fine, but there may be the odd shower. You know what nz is like!!

[Sportz]

Yeah, NZ showers can be very odd and last for 2 days! :D

On face value though, if you could be sure of the weather, $1.55 would look pretty good. Australian teams just don't draw Test Matches, unless there is an absolute downpour.

[Sportz]

Aust vs NZ 1st test.
Slapped the aussies at $1.55. Looks like money for jam for mine.

Oh dear. May still get up, but $1.55 doesn't look so good now.

I stuck with my usual system of backing the opposition pre-test and just waiting for Australia to blow out. I must admit I wasn't that confident that Australia WOULD blow out in the betting in this game, but in any case, the odds on NZ were simply too big to not have a small interest wager on them at least.

[Betsy]

Oh dear. May still get up, but $1.55 doesn't look so good now.

I stuck with my usual system of backing the opposition pre-test and just waiting for Australia to blow out. I must admit I wasn't that confident that Australia WOULD blow out in the betting in this game, but in any case, the odds on NZ were simply too big to not have a small interest wager on them at least.
What happens if its a draw? Have you covered yourself or just going with the general idea that one of the two sides will stumble?

[Sportz]

Well, normally I hardly even consider a draw when Australia's playing. However, I must admit that this time I didn't trust the kiwi weather or NZ's ability to bowl us out twice, so I decided to also have a small bet on the draw pre-test. I will still make a small loss if it ends in a draw though. If Australia wins I'll make a small profit and if NZ wins a bigger profit.

[Floydyboy]

I layed australia @1.65

[Floydyboy]

hey the roll your owns are back at spodds yeeehhaaaaaaa
Saints +15.5...@1.55

[Floydyboy]

hey the roll your owns are back at spodds yeeehhaaaaaaa
Saints +15.5...@1.55

[Sportz]

We heard ya the first time. :)

[mug punta]

Current market Aus vs NZ
End of DAY 2
Nz All out for 430 odd
Aus 3-141

aus -$2
Draw- $2.45
nz- $5.75

If it wasnt Aus you would laugh at that market, but, they have done it so many times.

[mug punta]

Whata difference a day makes!!

Lunch DAY 4
NZ 5-80, in all sorts!!

Current market
Aus $1.17
NZ $15
Draw $7.5.

My $1.55 is suddenly looking like overs again. UNBELIEVABLE!!

[Jack Daniels]

Ain't that the truth.

Kiwi's all out for 131, lead by 132. Australia's target 133.

Aussies currently 22/0. Need 111 to win.

Should be all over this arvo!!! :D

Now I just need to get the Sydney Kings to win the Grand Final series and my multi as shown in the champions league thread will be home.

Of course Australia has to win here though. :fingerscrossed:

[Sportz]

Yep. I should have done as I usually do and just forget all about the draw when Australia's playing. That way I would have got a bigger profit. Anyway, well done to Australia. You can be on top of them for large periods of the game, but you have to keep that up for 5 days.

[knowledge]

JUVENTUS to beat Chievo Verona today in Serie A.

[Floydyboy]

Cercle Brugge v ANDERLICH @ 1.55
Borr. Dort. v STUTTGART @ 3.00
Chievo v JUVENTUS @ 1.60
NEC v AJAX @ 1.57

TOTAL..11.68

[Floydyboy]

good ol Juve done it to me again 0-0

[Floydyboy]

There was a mix up with livescore juve win 1-0 .....Im still not happy... they give me heartburn ......i knew I was on the right track when I left Real Madrid out of the equation .......well thats made the weekend even brighter

Cercle Brugge v ANDERLICH @ 1.55 >>>WIN..3-1
Borr. Dort. v STUTTGART @ 3.00 >>>WIN..2-0
Chievo v JUVENTUS @ 1.60 >>>WIN..1-0(just)
NEC v AJAX @ 1.57 >>>WIN..1-0

TOTAL..11.68
YEEHHAAA

[Betsy]

Are Sydney Kings a sound bet at $1.40 tonight? Never really followed NBL however appears to be a safe bet with the last two matches 20+ pt wins to the Kings, however I've heard many complaints from ppl losing money on NBL, whats the story, 1.40 value or steer clear???

Cheers

Betsy

[Jack Daniels]

A bit late I know, but the Kings where specials in my book last night.

Basically because I needed them to win to complete my 8 leg multi that returned odds of $128.80.

Seriously though, they won the first GF game by 20+, 2nd game away by 20+
and ended up winning easily last night.

In my multi they where $1.63 to win the GF series!!!


My tip for today is Newcastle Knights to get the wooden spoon in 2005, curently $8.00 with TABSportsbet.

Beting is suspended until the end of this weeks round, Johns is having scans for a suspected hip injury, if they lose him they will struggle against the bye next weekend. ;) They will not beat the Cowboys at Dairy Farmers the following week and the onlty 2 points after four rounds will have come from the bye. No Andrew Johns = a loss to Souths in week 5 also.

If they lose Johns to injury, even for a week or two their price will surely shorten.

[Betsy]

Anyone like Phili +2.5 line over Lakers? LA on a 7 match slide whereas the new combination of Cwebb and Iverson is working wonders for the sixers

[mug punta]

76er's are flying. Loks a great bet to me.

[mug punta]

Thanks Betsy . LOaded up with a double on Philly and the Doggies and cleaned up. Cheers

[Floydyboy]

My best for tonight is
Sheffield Wednesday X Yeovil Town double
@3.36 (Spodds)

[Mr ed]

Thursday, Cranbourne Rc 2 No 5-Chronic Addiction. Each Way or Place bet.

Have been doing video analysis of maidens in recent times and this looks one of the best propositions of yet. Her run the other day @ Echuca was enormous after jumping well from (11) she got caught wide the whole way, went for inside runs in the straight but got chopped out but still finished gamely for 5th 4 lengths behind the winner. Form out of the race has also been first class; the winner hasn't raced of yet but the second horse Any Dane Now's next start was a C1 win and she has been nominated for the Valley Saturday, 3rd horse Skaters Waltz next start returned a maiden win (very nice run), and 4th placegetter Caberat Lady was also a next start maiden winner. The field thursday is not strong and i think the horse has a v.g. chance to win but it is a maiden so i suggest an E/W or straight out Place bet.

Cheers ED

[steve baret]

I THINK THE BRONCOS AT $2.10 ARE A GREAT BET AND MAYBE ITS TIME FOR THE DRAGONS TO TO GET A WIN UP

[Mr ed]

That was an extremely dissapointing run, sorry if anyone followed. She was very well backed, obviously hard to get a smoky in this game but never gave a yelp. That happens though and i wont let it get me down.

Tommorow Bendigo Rc 2 No 1 Correct Amoondoo E/W or Place bet.

This horses two runs at Cranbourne and Mornington have both been quite good, after drawing horribly in both (has done so again tommorow but small field) he has jumped well and ambled up to take a forward position in the breeze and battled on well both times. It looks as if the 1600 should suit as he settled much better last time then his first run when he pulled his head off, and was very strong @ the end of 1400. There doesn't appear to be much speed in the race so expect him to either cross for the lead or sit outside the leader. His main danger looks to be Roccabarocca who has been racing in better grade but is still a miaden after 12 starts and is starting to get expensive for followers, he will be short again tommorow. Another in the market will be Rapid Girl who ran 4th in a good race @ Bendigo last time, but had all the favors coming from last in a crajerjack speed race and not going around a horse, could be unders for mine. Correct Amoondoo looks a place certainty in this weak race and a good chance to win.

[Floydyboy]

Well I had a friday night double and was wrong on both counts ....so the tip of the day is....Stay clear of whatever Im backing this weekend

[Jack Daniels]

Okay, I have to say it. My league tips are running hot this weekend!! 4 from 4 and 3 games with the correct margin and the nearest exact margin in the Storm V Broncos game. :)

Also did well getting a nice little multi up at tabsportsbet Friday night too.

Hurricanes x Highlanders +5.5 x Parramatta +4.5 x Essendon +7.5 Odds = $9.10 (I don't mind letting you know that when the Bombers blew their 28 point lead in the 4th 1/4 I nearly shat myself).

I recommend a multi bet for you guys to get some $$ back if you've lost on the footy this weekend.

Warriors 13+ $2.50
x
Roosters 13+ $1.90
x
Man Utd Win $1.20
x
AC Milan Win $1.20
x
Udinese Win $1.75
x
Schalke Win $1.33
x
Barcelona Win $1.40
x
Clijsters Win $1.57

Odds: $34.99

Good Luck!!

[Jack Daniels]

Stoopid Man U could only manage a nil all draw with Blackburn. I was sooo close to putting Arsenal in that bet instead of Man U, but I considered Arsenals penchant not to win when they have a UEFA cup game on during the week. Wish I had forgotten the UEFA cup game as Arsenal beat Norwich 3-0. :(

While I am at it what happened to Newcastle's so called form beaten at home by Aston Villa 3-0.

Schalke got up o/night as did Kimmy Clijsters.

I still reckon the Roosters and the Warriors should both win easily today.
together with the remaining soccer bets will still get $13+.

[Floydyboy]

I did the same last night Munich or Hamburg ...took hamburg and it cost me but I had a couple of good single bets on chelsea and middlesborough which squared me up for the whole weekend

[Floydyboy]

Pretty poor eh I would of thought a draw at worsrt for Newcastle ,......I read at gooners that after villa scored the third goal 2 Newcastle players got into the fisticuffs (with eachother ) and got sent off ...and evidently carried on up the tunnel....

[Mr ed]

I agree - great pick Mr Ed but bad luck. I would like to have a look in slow motion at the corner and straight.

Do you think its worth following?

Ta
Karla

Two starts since for two wins @ $3 and $5, hope you've all been on!

[Mr ed]

Well Correct Amoondo did the right thing by us hopefully this one can aswell.

One from my blackbook resuming today is;

Geelong Rc 5 No 7 Activation, to be placed

From the Graeme Rogerson Yard, he was entered for the Harrison Cup last week and i think he nearly would have won it with his racing style. This son of Zabeel has shown a good deal of potential but has always been a bit of a gunna horse, however he put the writing on the wall with a stong win at Werribee at his last start beating only 3 home but some quality such as recent city winner Rockford Bay. He goes forward in his races and from two will just about lead here. The fact that he's first up over 1400 in a C3 showcase when he's a C1 tells both he's fit and in form. A couple with good city form Garbo's Storm and Pinions, as well as some good country form like Message Bank and stong last start winner Keldanite, should ensure a decent price, but i think anything over $3 for the place, he is a must have.

[Betsy]

I believe Vijah Singh to beat Westwood and Campbell in a 3ball shootout at (1.75) represents value


This has shortened immensely since it was put up yesterday where i got Singh at $2.00 - it is now around the 1.50 - 1.70 mark at the majority of online bookies, however you can get 1.75 at TAB Sportsbet (VIC). This will not last long after Singh's very good performance in the first round of the masters. He is currently the best of the 'Big Four' in this tournament


Westwood is at +6 and Chad Campbell is at 1 over par five shots behind the inform Singh


Anyway, if keen don't wait - get in quick as price on offer at TAB sportsbet will shorten

Happy Punting
Betsy

[Betsy]

Singh 73
Campbell 73
Westwood 72 (after finishing round 1 at 6 over par)

Dissapointing round by Singh shooting a 73 - I thought this was a two horse race between Campbell and Singh and did not expect an (what appeared to be) out of form Westwood to mix it with Singh or Campbell, in the end Singh was pipped by 1 shot and i hope no one followed my tip

Been a dissapointing week, after a 13 bet streak I've had 3 relativley big losses, but thats gambling for ya :)

[Sportz]

Geelong Rc 5 No 7 Activation, to be placed


Well done. He placed, but not as big a div as you were hoping for though.

[thefan]

Tip of the day. Back a home team in the NRL...

[Floydyboy]

Well Fellas wish me luck Ive emptied my accounts ..a little under $450.... on the Broncos and win lose or draw Im off the punt for a while The max bet for me for a month or so will be 2.50 on the odd acca on the televised matches so I can watch my hard earned go round.....Ive lost bugger all since Xmas in fact Im a liitle in front thanks to the soccer but Im just not enjoying making decisions and being so far of the mark that it aint funny .....anyway all the best with your punting and Ill see you in a month or two ........

[thefan]

well goodluck to you buddy. Ive got $50 running on broncos -7.5 and raiders +4.5

And abit of money on Essedon to bt Hawthorn.

[Floydyboy]

well i hope they more than cover the HCP for ya ...of course thatll mean a more comfy afternoon for me ... but who knows cheers game on

[Jack Daniels]

Off to a good start 6-0 after 3 minutes. :)

Make it 10-0 after 10 mins

Go the Broncos.

I am trusting them with my $$$$ too.

Cause nuthin else I have done has been any good this weekend. Even Chelsea could only manage a draw and Man U got beat 2-0 by Norwich :(

[Jack Daniels]

Make that 16-0, well it will be when they kick the conversion.

[Floydyboy]

Yeah well i didnt go near Chelsea or Manu I backed arsenal but juve killed a few mults for me....AGAIN

[thefan]

whos backed the broncos this afternoon? smell money with the -7.5 already

i better not get too excited.still 40mins to go

[Floydyboy]

Me me me

[thefan]

NRL home wins 7 from 7

happy with todays results

[Mr ed]

[QUOTE=Sportz]Well done. He placed, but not as big a div as you were hoping for though.

Cheers Sportz, race didn't pan out as i expected with him getting back a little, and i probably would have cancelled my bet half-way through the race if i could've. But he did the right thing and got home well for third and a $2.30 collect is better then a kick in the arse. Probably the Williams, Rogerson, Nikolic factor entered the odds aswell, but why not their strike rate is phenomonal.

[Mr ed]

Well i've got a smoky for Cranbourne Thursday, only me and Sportz know about it!

Rc 8 No. 2 Sonic Royal, to win if even money or better.

He has won his last three in superb style, I have been on this guy his last two starts, which have paid very well @ $12 and $5 respectively. I was going to tell ya's last start to get on but unfortunately my tip that day was Chronic Addiction, who ran like he needed to be addicted to something.

All Sonic's runs this prep have been impeccable, and he has carried decent weights in each, probably his best run was two starts back in a C1 showcase, where he sat 3 and 4 wide the whole way, was forced to cart himself into the race and finish very strongly to score over the talented A Tad Cool.

Next start he blew a C2 Showcase field away by 4 1/4 lengths working wonderfully through the field he was home 500m out. The 58kg wont bother him, and the field he meets Thursday is as weak as they come, with nearly half the field either Jumpers or average stayers resuming, and the rest aren't even near this horses quality. Perhaps main dangers Amoroof, Dunvegan, Sir Galaway and Silver Lining to a lesser extent, but Sonic Royal should be winning in the city by now.

From barrier one, with not much speed on i can see him settling in the first half-dozen make his move about 600m out, as he can sustain a great long sprint, and career away.

I know the ship has sailed and the odds are gone but i really expect him to win easily here, might actually struggle to get even money, but don't take much shorter as shit can always happen.

Cheers ED

[Chuck]

I like the following bets wuth basketball today:

LA Clippers vs Utah - Over 189.5 ... ($1.85)

San Antonio vs Portland - Over 184.5 ... ($1.85)

New York vs Toronto - Under 203.5 ... ($1.85)

Phoenix vx New Orleans - Under 208.5 ...($1.85)

I did a very simple method of checking how to bet on these - Get the average of the points score in each of their games (using for and against) added them together and matched it up against the line tabsportsbet were using.

[Sportz]

Well i've got a smoky for Cranbourne Thursday, only me and Sportz know about it!

Rc 8 No. 2 Sonic Royal, to win if even money or better.


Yes, apart from ourselves, I think perhaps just a couple of other people might be waiting for this one! :D

[Chuck]

;);):nudge: :nudge:

[Mr ed]

Maybe 2 or 3.

But this is a sports-betting thread so the punters here know how to take short quotes.

[Chuck]

I like the following bets wuth basketball today:

LA Clippers vs Utah - Over 189.5 ... ($1.85)

San Antonio vs Portland - Over 184.5 ... ($1.85)

New York vs Toronto - Under 203.5 ... ($1.85)

Phoenix vx New Orleans - Under 208.5 ...($1.85)

I did a very simple method of checking how to bet on these - Get the average of the points score in each of their games (using for and against) added them together and matched it up against the line tabsportsbet were using.

1 down, 3 to go...New York and Toronto racked up 198 pts, and my little spreadsheet calculated them as scorning 198.4!!! :eek: i might be onto something here :D

[Mr ed]

Heavy track for Sonic Royal, still think he will win but am halving my original stake, as anything can happen in the bog especially with big weights.