Oakleigh Plate

[Real Deal]

Just wondering if anyone had any thoughts on this race? can Fastnet Rock win carrying the 57kgs? Interested to hear peoples opinions.

[brave chief]

Taikun for me. As for FNR's 57 kg, I doubt a 3yo has ever been given top weight in this race before. Can't see him improving on his 1st up rating under these conditions. Legally Bay is a chance on her best form as well.

[Mr ed]

Legally Bay and Foreplay for me. Speed will be furious in this race with Lilando, DTT, Alizes, and Strikeline all up there, so looking towards a swooper. Legally Bay is a class act who should've nearly won the Australia Stakes last year first up. Foreplay is the fit horse of the field racing in great fashion down on the minimum.

[Raw Instinct]

I wouldnot write off Fastnet Rock in this race sure he has 57kg but I don't see alot of dangers in this race one would be Lilando he ran great in the Lightning and gets weight relief here the other would be Foreplay I amnot overly excited about anything else in the race to be honest. I still think Fastnet Rock will go extremely close if he doesn't win the race anyway he is just a class horse.

[noel]

the trainer of cape of good hope paid fastnet rock a big compliment after his horse won the group 1 at the valley last weekend ......he said cape of good hope's win showed just how good fastnet rock was when he beat him in the lightening ......

[INTERGAZE]

Alizes is a brilliant sprinter, should be on the pace if not leading, hopefully will be 2 lengths clear on the turn, hopefully Lilando gets burnt off, and she should win by 3/4 of a length in the time 1.03.01

But should rain fall, forget everything I just said

[Tenacious Spirit]

Will Fastnet Rock have the turn of foot with 57 on board?

He hasnt before with less weight.

With the rail out 6 metres, i agree with Mr. Ed, the pace should burn at the front and set up an oppurtunity for some charging runs down the straight.

I think it is a very difficult race IMO.

[maverick1993]

I tried to find something to beat the Rock but can't..he's a big horse so the weight won't be a problem..doesnt really matter where he settles either..
wouldn't be taking odds on but anything above that is value..

[Mr ed]

He will be very hard to beat Mav. $2.60 on sportstab probably the best you'll get, can't see any scratchings either so shouldn't be deductions.

[maverick1993]

Might take a nibble at that.....but with all this talk about the weight he has to carry ect..there might be a move for Lilando ..and bookies might gamble with him...so i'll save the serious stuff till i see what happens..

[maverick1993]

Scary there for a bit..but what a win....
Drinks are on me :)

[maverick1993]

watched the video just before and Legally Bay was very unlucky,,was full of running on the turn but was squeezed out of a run by the rock..still wound up again and was close up....huge run...

[zorro]

lilando apparently bled during the race - a gutsy performance to hang on as well as he did.
By the way did anyone have the confidence to take the Rock with the field in a trifecta? Invest $90 collect $3400(Unitab)!!

[Mr ed]

Yeh legally bay should have gotten closer but she paid enourmous for the place 30.00 and 6.40 was a great price, Foreplay on the other hand was drastic unders at only around $6 so i didn't even take him. Great win by the Rock, congrats Mav, but i still think Alinghi will crush him in the Newmarket, even more so after that race.

[maverick1993]

you're right Mr Ed ...the Rock never looked comfortable...Alinghi looks good...
better check the early odds,,,
always back my selection with the field plus other combos.. 1st4's, trebles and doubles if i can....usually up to $200 .. i don't in small fields though but still look at the trebles..

Exotics are seemingly taboo among pro punters but i don't see why ..there can be huge value in trifecta's and especially Trebles..i've only recently concentrated on trebles and found them huge overs,,,,especially if you have a special in atleast one of the legs....
i'm not one for place betting..but am looking at them,,especailly considering Legally bay's place price and mahtoum...

good result saturday ,,,