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View Full Version : Any stats help?


BJ
24th February 2005, 11:39 PM
Just wondering if anybody with the means can let me know what would happen if:
You backed every favourite above $2 to return $1000.
You layed every odds on favourite for a payout of $1000.

eg: $1.50 favourite would be layed for stakes of $666.67 with a liability of $333.32.

partypooper
25th February 2005, 01:43 AM
Bj is that 7 days a week trots included???

BJ
25th February 2005, 05:25 PM
Whatever stats anybody can provide. 7 days a week, and yes for the trots. Preferably seperate though.

La Mer
25th February 2005, 06:04 PM
Whatever stats anybody can provide. 7 days a week, and yes for the trots. Preferably separate though.

BJ - There would be a problem on the 'lay' side as you would have to do this via Betfair and therefore on most occasions offer better odds than the SP, so any conclusions drawn re results based on SP's could be totally misleading, in fact I would say that it could well turn a notional profit into an actual loss (for the layer).

partypooper
25th February 2005, 07:03 PM
Bj according to stats, on the betting side you would lose approx 10% on T/O, this adds up to a very big loss very quickly. By applying filters it is possible to convert this into a small profit at levels around 2-3% on T/O, which in turn with the use of a staking plan can be turned into around 10% POT. But it is no mean feat, a 'lot" of hard work and concentration. I am new to the + side of the leger, and I can tell you that my previous notion of the "Professional Punter" is completely shattered!

BJ
4th March 2005, 12:02 PM
Just straight stats from home tote required. As far as laying on BF, yes you would have to give greater odds, but if you back there you get greater odds also.

As far as filters go, I don't rate them. Unless all professional punters use filters and don't bet on certain race types, I don't see any reason to presume us punters know less about these races.