Equine Investor
23rd May 2002, 02:25 AM
Here is a useful system I use for handicapping races.
MAIDEN
1st 3 points
2nd 2 points
3rd 1 point
Class 1
1st 6 points
2nd 4 points
3rd 2 points
Class 2
1st 12 points
2nd 8 points
3rd 4 points
etc
you can use this method right up to Open, Listed Races and Group Races.
Run some sample results and you would be amazed how close you can get. Pick the top selection in points. The points must only be allocated on recent last three starts and must not be used when resuming from a spell or when there is a dramatic change in track conditions....e.g. fast to slow/heavy. Very useful when comparing horses running in say a class 4 race against horses going up in class and others down in class.
Here is another little thing that works for me. In maiden races where there is little or no exposed form, look for horses where the trainer is part owner of the horse. Often a trainer will buy shares in a horse where they consider it has some ability or bred to win. You may have to follow this horse for a few starts.
When looking at place bets often you can back horses that have won by 2 and a half lengths last start if they are not rising in class and they are sometimes not favourite....they start as second or third favourite. These horses have a sensational strike rate if they are not rising in class, coming back from a spell and the track conditions and distance suit.
Happy punting.
<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: Equine Investor on 2002-05-23 02:38 ]</font>
MAIDEN
1st 3 points
2nd 2 points
3rd 1 point
Class 1
1st 6 points
2nd 4 points
3rd 2 points
Class 2
1st 12 points
2nd 8 points
3rd 4 points
etc
you can use this method right up to Open, Listed Races and Group Races.
Run some sample results and you would be amazed how close you can get. Pick the top selection in points. The points must only be allocated on recent last three starts and must not be used when resuming from a spell or when there is a dramatic change in track conditions....e.g. fast to slow/heavy. Very useful when comparing horses running in say a class 4 race against horses going up in class and others down in class.
Here is another little thing that works for me. In maiden races where there is little or no exposed form, look for horses where the trainer is part owner of the horse. Often a trainer will buy shares in a horse where they consider it has some ability or bred to win. You may have to follow this horse for a few starts.
When looking at place bets often you can back horses that have won by 2 and a half lengths last start if they are not rising in class and they are sometimes not favourite....they start as second or third favourite. These horses have a sensational strike rate if they are not rising in class, coming back from a spell and the track conditions and distance suit.
Happy punting.
<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: Equine Investor on 2002-05-23 02:38 ]</font>