Horses for Distances

[Glenno]

In any race, bet a horse if it is the only previous winner over today's distance, provided that it is also one of the first three horses named in the pre-post betting market.

12/2/2005
Randwick
Race 1: Villa Bled UNPLACED ($5.00 at 1/3 odds)
Race 5: Leewards SECOND $1.80 ($5.00 at 1/4 odds)
Race 9: Crimson Sunset UNPLACED ($15.00 at 1/4 odds)

Caulfield
Race 1: Kounthekash FIRST $1.80/$1.20 ($1.85 at 1/4 odds)
Race 3: Queen of the Hill UNPLACED ($2.80 at 1/4 odds)

Cheltenham
Race 1: Lord Exmouth THIRD $2.00 ($6.00 at 1/4 odds)

19/2/2005
Moonee Valley
Race 5: Rockford Bay UNPLACED ($15.00 at 1/3 odds)

Morphettville
Race 1: Hidden Bounty SECOND $1.30 ($2.50 at 1/4 odds)

26/2/2005
Canterbury (night)
Race 2: Carry On Cutie FIRST $2.60/$1.50 ($3.10 at 1/4 odds)

Moonee Valley (night)
Race 2: I Command THIRD $1.20 ($3.80 at 1/4 odds)
Race 7: Sunnydale SECOND $1.20 ($6.50 at 1/4 odds)

5/3/2005
Caulfield
Race 4: Stella Grande SECOND $2.90 ($13.00 at 1/4 odds)

Doomben
Race 2: Katsidis UNPLACED ($3.00 at 1/4 odds)

RESULTS
Selections: 12
Wins: 2 (16.67%)
Places (including wins): 7 (58.33%)
Win return: $4.40 (TAB); $4.95 (SP)
Place return: $11.90 (TAB); $14.06 (SP)
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[Paddy]

In any race, bet a horse if it is the only previous winner over today's distance, provided that it is also one of the first three horses named in the pre-post betting market.



Glenno, Do you need to consider track condition when won over the distance compared to today's track condition?

eg. would you back if winner distance on heavy & today's track was good?

This system does not consider track conditions when won over the distance compared to the current track condition.




And does it matter Glenno if the horse you've identified as a bet is having its first run back from a spell? Thanks.

It doesn't matter if the horse is having its first run back after a spell.


Added previous questions / responses (original post) saves anyone else asking ;)

[Glenno]

19/3/2005
Flemington
Race 8: Ballet Society FIRST $4.10/$1.70 ($5.00 at 1/4 odds)

Cheltenham
Race 3: Lions Gate THIRD NTD ($4.00 at 1/3 odds)

26/3/2005
Randwick
Race 6: Xcellent UNPLACED ($2.90 at 1/4 odds)

2/4/2005
Randwick
Race 4: Eremein THIRD $1.30 ($2.80 at 1/4 odds)
Race 8: Pantani UNPLACED ($5.50 at 1/4 odds)

Moonee Valley
Race 3: Leveller THIRD NTD ($2.05 at 1/3 odds)
Race 8: Heavenly Pun UNPLACED ($5.00 at 1/4 odds)

9/4/2005
Morphettville
Race 3: Ride the Rocket SECOND $2.20 ($4.20 at 1/4 odds)