AFL Round 6

[Rock Steady]

My model's prices BEFORE Tribunals and injury news.

Carlton 1.65 Hawthorn 2.50
Adelaide 1.33 Kangaroos 4.00
Essendon 1.90 Brisbane 2.11
West Coast 1.20 Swans 6.00
Melbourne 1.20 Fremantle 6.00
Geelong 1.40 Bulldogs 3.50
Collingwood 7.67 St Kilda 1.15
Richmond 2.50 Port Adelaide 1.66

[BJ]

Do you accept bets.....
I would love to back a few of those longies....

[Rock Steady]

Looks like being a quiet week again with my model being similar to the early lines.
The only one that stands out is ADELAIDE at $1.60 with GLOBALSPORTSBET.
Apart from that there doesn't appear to be any other "value" plays. Will be keeping an eye on Essendon - currently $2.05.

[mug punta]

I think WCE will win, but I reckon the swans with a 30 pt start is probably not to bad a bet.
I think they are a still a reasonable side and will give a pretty good account of themselves.
Maybe WCE 1-39 is a reasonable punt.

[Sportz]

Will be keeping an eye on Essendon - currently $2.05.

$2.20 at Sportingbet.

[rabbitz]

SPORTODDS OPENING PRICES
Melb $1.14 (look the Goods)
Dockers $5.35(the G!)

Crows $1.58(home advantage???)
Kangaroos $2.30(bubble burst?)

West Coast $1.14(too good surely)
Swans $5.35(if only they could kick straighter)

Cats $1.25(home advantage)
Dogs $3.80(they're sneaky

Pies $5.50(should be double that quote)
Saints $1.13(would you like sauce with that)

Richmond $2.35(maybe they could do it)
Port $1.57(cant back them with your money)

No openers on other games but UNITAB have lions $1.65,Ess $2.10

Will be taking Melbourne and St Kilda,in some form or other,probably west coast too!

[Sportz]

Here's an unusual statistic.

I would have thought Geelong would be very safe bets at home against the Western Bulldogs this week, but I've just checked the stats and the Bulldogs have actually won 6 of the 7 games they've played there.

[rabbitz]

O.K. Where did you get the stats?
Cameron Mooney returns for Geelong which will help,but I just dont trust them dogs,remember about 5 years ago Essendon had won about 20 straight then the bulldogs beat them by three.geelong are $1.25 which could be a risk.It really pisses me off that sportodds have wimped out with no pick your own starts.i cant believe that there is no interest in that bet type.I still reckon they got belted last year.
St Kilda And Melbourne are the safe options with West Coast probably as well,how do Sydney fair at subiaco
cheers

[Sportz]

O.K. Where did you get the stats?
http://www1.bestbets.com.au/sport/


It really pisses me off that sportodds have wimped out with no pick your own starts.i cant believe that there is no interest in that bet type.I still reckon they got belted last year.

Perhaps it has something to do with the fact that many more points are on offer in an AFL match compared to League and Union and it would be easier to do the pick your own starts for League and Union.


St Kilda And Melbourne are the safe options with West Coast probably as well,how do Sydney fair at subiaco
cheers
4-2 in favour of West Coast. Overall, Sydney have won 7 of the last 10 matches between the two teams. Having said that, I really think West Coast should win this.

[rabbitz]

SPORTODDS OPENING PRICES
Melb $1.14 (look the Goods)
Dockers $5.35(the G!)

Crows $1.58(home advantage???)
Kangaroos $2.30(bubble burst?)

West Coast $1.14(too good surely)
Swans $5.35(if only they could kick straighter)

Cats $1.25(home advantage)
Dogs $3.80(they're sneaky

Pies $5.50(should be double that quote)
Saints $1.13(would you like sauce with that)

Richmond $2.35(maybe they could do it)
Port $1.57(cant back them with your money)

No openers on other games but UNITAB have lions $1.65,Ess $2.10

Will be taking Melbourne and St Kilda,in some form or other,probably west coast too!
Melb out to $1.17,Dockers in$5.10
Crows out to $1.60,Kangas steady
West Coast out to $1.15,swans steady
Cats out to $1.27,Dogs in $3.70
Saints out to $1.14,Pies steady
Port in to $1.55,Richmond out to $1.55
Lions $1.72,Essendon $2
Carlton $1.80,Hawks $1.90

[rabbitz]

SPORTODDS OPENING PRICES
Melb $1.14 (look the Goods)
Dockers $5.35(the G!)

Crows $1.58(home advantage???)
Kangaroos $2.30(bubble burst?)

West Coast $1.14(too good surely)
Swans $5.35(if only they could kick straighter)

Cats $1.25(home advantage)
Dogs $3.80(they're sneaky

Pies $5.50(should be double that quote)
Saints $1.13(would you like sauce with that)

Richmond $2.35(maybe they could do it)
Port $1.57(cant back them with your money)

No openers on other games but UNITAB have lions $1.65,Ess $2.10

Will be taking Melbourne and St Kilda,in some form or other,probably west coast too!
Melb out to $1.17,Dockers in$5.10
Crows out to $1.60,Kangas steady
West Coast out to $1.15,swans steady
Cats out to $1.27,Dogs in $3.70
Saints out to $1.14,Pies steady
Port in to $1.55,Richmond out to $2.45
Lions $1.72,Essendon $2
Carlton $1.80,Hawks $1.90

[marko]

I cant see the hawks staying on $1.90 .With HAY in and FEVOLA out the Hawks must be a huge chance to win this one surely.If not they deserve the spoon .

[mug punta]

Rumor floating around that the Hawks team may be quite different to the one announced. Be careful

[blackpantha]

okie dokie bit of a blind bet...i dont bet on footy very often

Carlton under 39.5 - $400 @ $2.50
Hawthorn under 24.5 - $100 @ $3.75

If:
Carlton win <39 $500 profit :D
Carlton win 40+ i'm fuked :p
Hawthorn win <24 $125 loss :(
Hawthorn 24+ i'm fuked :p

[blackpantha]

okie dokie bit of a blind bet...i dont bet on footy very often

Carlton under 39.5 - $400 @ $2.50
Hawthorn under 24.5 - $100 @ $3.75

If:
Carlton win <39 $500 profit :D
Carlton win 40+ i'm fuked :p
Hawthorn win <24 $125 loss :(
Hawthorn 24+ i'm fuked :p

woot!!!