Warrnambool Hurdle/SteepleToday
 

The first four races at Warrnambool today make up a pick-4 on AmericaTAB for us yanks and Canadians betting Australian racing. There is a decent amount in the pool which carries over 100% from day to day if no one correctly picks it.

We have very few of these hurdle/steeple races here, so I haven't much to go on in trying to find a winner in races 1 and 4. Any handicapping insight or selections would be much appreciated.

Regards,

Glenn

Thats a bit sad having 2 jumping races in your pick 4. These hurdles races today are hard as so maybe go as wide as you can. anyway for what is worth in the 1st race i like numbers 4,5,8. and in race 4 i like 1,5. The 2nd race is a maiden so thats hard too like defiantly no 2 as well as 10,15,16. Race 3 small field should be able to get the winner here, like numbers 2,3,5. Hope these are ok for you mate. As I said its very hard meeting and geez you poor yanks are going to have to have a lot of luck today go your way. Good luck in whatever you do today Avenger.

Cheers Breadman.

At least now I have some chance to score.Thank you very much Breadman, for taking the time to have a look.

The Australian racing site in the U.S. prints daily ratings and actually likes the #5 in race 1 and the #3 in race 3 as specials in the six races we get from there today. The only other special today is the #7 horse in race 2 at Coff's Harbour. It looks like they use some kind of neural system to generate their ratings.

Good luck to you today.

Regards,

Glenn

No Barker Lad???

For what it's worth Glenn, I decided to try out my ratings on these races and this is what they came up with:

RACE 1
80 . $2.1 . 5 . SANDERS LEGACY
47 . $3.6 . 3 . POKER FACE
12 . $14.3 . 4 . TRAVELLING BOY
12 . $14.3 . 1 . WAARIA
7 . $25.0 . 7 . AETOLUS
5 . $33.3 . 6 . SHERBORNE
2 . $100.0 . 13 . ATONE
RACE 2
67 . $2.5 . 10 . JERRYMAC
30 . $5.6 . 2 . CORRUPT JUDGE
25 . $6.7 . 5 . HYPED
22 . $7.7 . 1 . BIKKIE BARREL
22 . $7.7 . 14 . YENALED
RACE 3
70 . $2.4 . 1 . BARKER LAD
52 . $3.2 . 3 . CLOUDS OF COGNAC
28 . $5.9 . 6 . LIKABLE WILL
13 . $12.5 . 2 . SUNBOAT
3 . $50.0 . 4 . TANTRALITE
RACE 4
47 . $3.6 . 2 . CAPTAIN'S KEY
42 . $4.0 . 4 . MAXIMISATION
28 . $5.9 . 1 . ALOBAR
28 . $5.9 . 3 . NOAH YARN
15 . $11.1 . 5 . DINNA LATAR
3 . $50.0 . 7 . JIMMY CASINO
RACE 5
47 . $3.6 . 1 . BOURBONSTREETBLUES
22 . $7.7 . 6 . XSPARKX
18 . $9.1 . 7 . FLASH AFFAIR
17 . $10.0 . 4 . BEAU SABREUR
13 . $12.5 . 2 . EDDIE'S EAGLE
13 . $12.5 . 5 . JANERICDESNIK
10 . $16.7 . 12 . TRESTINA
8 . $20.0 . 10 . CHEVANTY
8 . $20.0 . 3 . LANDSLIDE VICTORY
7 . $25.0 . 15 . LE DELUGE
RACE 6
60 . $2.8 . 6 . CAMPASPE RIVER
43 . $3.8 . 8 . SPINNING RED
27 . $6.3 . 11 . KELCHER
18 . $9.1 . 5 . YOU GO FOR HUGO
13 . $12.5 . 1 . METHODICAL BOY
5 . $33.3 . 3 . RURAL LAW
3 . $50.0 . 4 . SURFIE PETE
RACE 7
57 . $2.9 . 2 . WHY NOT WORK
38 . $4.3 . 1 . FLYING DE LAGO
38 . $4.3 . 5 . HOWQUA
18 . $9.1 . 6 . WINE BUFF
7 . $25.0 . 7 . CONCEPTS
2 . $100.0 . 3 . LEMONADE PARTY
RACE 8
75 . $2.2 . 2 . GREAT STEPS
42 . $4.0 . 4 . HANDSOME IS
25 . $6.7 . 11 . AUSSIE HUMOR
20 . $8.3 . 7 . ARE EFF GEE
10 . $16.7 . 8 . SUPER PINS
10 . $16.7 . 1 . TEARINUPTHECOUNTRY
2 . $100.0 . 3 . PRINCE JEUNE

Thanks Sportz. It's a tough day there. I like the looks of your system and the numerical values it assigns each runner.

Regards,

Glenn

This is what my prediction are for your first 4 races

Race 1 : Will go for 3, 5 and 9.
Race 2 : 5 and 10. Interested on 5 as the rating is high with just returned from spell
Race 3 : 1
Race 4 : 1 and 4

So far so good

Glenn

Hmmm, unfortunately I didn't have Brother Jim in my ratings at all, but Sanders Legacy got there, and by my ratings, he was the best bet of the day.

I had Brother as my 4th pick and nailed the quinella even though I don't know what the Hell I'm doing on a hurdle race.

Glenn

It's a rating out of 100. Almost never get a score of 100 though. As a rule, any horse that scores 70 or more is a big chance and a score of 80 or more usually indicates a special. Those ratings are then converted to odds. I guess you'll have to double that figure to equate with US Tab dividends though. Your divs are based on $2 bets, aren't they?

Geez, race 5 looks damn hard. You're probably lucky that race isn't in your pick 4.