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-   -   Two 1 rule systems that make a profit (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=18482)

wesmip1 16th January 2009 07:45 AM

Two 1 rule systems that make a profit
 
Here are 2 one rule systems:

Barrier 20 or up before scratchings :

Selections : 377
Profit : 76.70
Place Profit : 78.60

Barrier 18 or up before scratchings :

Selections : 1600
Profit : $197.90
Place Profit : LOSS of $174.60


No Form, No Analysis, No Ratings .... just Value - 1600 selections is more than most people use to analyse most systems.



Good Luck.

Stix 16th January 2009 11:12 AM

Metro Only
>19 Barrier

783 Runners
41 Winners
Profit 115+
POT 14.71%
Av. Div $21.91
Max Div $112.60 :eek:

Stix 16th January 2009 11:20 AM

All Metro Winners 32,815

Barrier <11
Winners 27,806
85% of all Winners
$7.75 av Price of winner

Barrier >10
Winners 5,009
15% of all Winners
$11.48 av Price of winner


Races with <11 Runners
Races 16704
50.9% of all Races
$6.64 av Price of winner

Races with >10 Runners
Races 16,111
49.1% of all Races
$9.94 av Price of winner

stugots 16th January 2009 11:46 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Stix
Max Div $112.60 :eek:


now why am i not surprised!:)

stugots 16th January 2009 11:50 AM

im sure a similar 'system' could be achieved by selecting the nag that finished furthest from the winner last start...

wesmip1 16th January 2009 12:30 PM

Quote:
im sure a similar 'system' could be achieved by selecting the nag that finished furthest from the winner last start...

Nope didn't work it showed a huge loss.

wesmip1 16th January 2009 12:31 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Stix
Metro Only
>19 Barrier

783 Runners
41 Winners
Profit 115+
POT 14.71%
Av. Div $21.91
Max Div $112.60 :eek:

Glad to see your figures also show a profit. Its a much higher Max dividend if you bet on betfair !!!!.

Good Luck.

Stix 16th January 2009 01:35 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by stugots
im sure a similar 'system' could be achieved by selecting the nag that finished furthest from the winner last start...
How about this one........

1. Finished worse than 7 lengths last start from winner
2. Career Place % >70%
3. > 2 Career Starts
4. Not First Up


Selections 644
Wins 73 S/R 11.4%
Plc 192 S/R 29.8%
WProfit +29 POT 4.6%
PProfit -90 LOT 13.9%
Av WIn Div 9.22
Av Plc Div 2.88
Min Win Div 1.6
Max Win Div 58.5

Add one onther rule and you get:


Selections 339
Wins 46 S/R 13.6%
Plc 123 S/R 36.28%
WProfit +131 POT 38.7%
PProfit -16 LOT 4.8%
Av WIn Div 10.2
Av Plc Div 2.6
Min Win Div 1.6
Max Win Div 58.5

stugots 16th January 2009 06:42 PM

not bad stix

or how abt last start winners unitab rated <94 such as nr6 bifarr $30+ today

Stix 16th January 2009 07:01 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by stugots
not bad stix

or how abt last start winners unitab rated <94 such as nr6 bifarr $30+ today
Pass....... don't have unitab stats


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