Coincidence
 

Out of interest I've looked at barrier draws to see if there's any merit in them.

The rules I used are:

1) 12 to 14 starters.
2) No odds-on races.
3) Back the inside barriers. (For example, if 13 runners we back the inside 7)

I checked the past 7 days from Wed 15 July to yesterday, I exclueded Saturday because of the better class of horses. The results are:

Wed 15 Jul
16 wins from 22 races.
Outlay of $144 for a return of $150.

Thurs 16 Jul
6 wins from 12 races.
Outlay of $78 for a retun of $48

Fri 17 Jul
11 wins from 13 races.
Outlay of $85 for a return of $120

Sun 19 Jul
17 winners from 29 selections.
Outlay of $187 for a return of $181

Mon 20 Jul
11 winners from 14 selections.
Outlay of $93 for a return of $138

Tues 21 Jul
5 winners from 9 races
Outlay of $61 for a return of $64

Wed 22 Jul
10 winners from 12 races
Outlay of $75 for a return of $99.

By my calcs there have been 76 winners from 111 races which is a strike rate of 68%. The outlay has been $723 for a return of $800 which is a POT of 10.6% - and these results are based on Unitab divvies.

If only it was this easy!!!

Take long slow breaths michaelg,,,,the nurse will be along shortly....

I hope she's a hot blonde!

Let's see how they go today...

Wyong
R3 nos. 6, 7, 9, 10, 12, 13.
R7 nos. 2, 3, 5, 7, 8, 10

Northam
R2 nos. 2, 5, 8, 9, 10, 14, 15
R3 nos. 2, 3, 4, 6, 9, 11, 13
R4 nos. 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 14
R5 nos. 1, 2, 4, 5, 7, 12, 14
R7 nos. 3, 7, 8, 9, 10, 12, 13
R8 nos. 2, 4, 7, 9, 11, 13, 14

Townsville
R3 nos. 1, 5, 7, 8, 10, 12

Morphetville
R6 nos. 2, 3, 8, 9, 10, 11, 13

Bendigo
R8 nos. 1, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12.

11 races for an outlay of $73.

Even though I did very well yesterday with the system I think I'll leave it alone today whilst I'm in front.

There were only 5 wins from the 7 races. However, the outlay was $77 for a return was $106.

Well done Michael & thanks for sharing your findings.

I feel a few days of low divs may be its undoing long term but the SR is certainly there.

Well done.

Cheers.

Yes, Bhagwan, I think you're right, I think so far its been lucky. However I'll still privately monitor it...you never know. Pity I didn't back the method today - however, if I did they would probably then have lost.

Interestingly, when I was testing the method I discovered it had been more profitable to omit barrier no.1 and substitute it with the next barrier past the mid-point number, but decided not to proceed with it as there had only been slightly over 100 races. If I had done this today then it would have selected no.11 at Townsville race 3 which paid $55.00.

By the way, there were 11 and not 7 races today - my mistake.

I have noticed that barrier one cops a a lot of bad luck in races of this size for what ever reason.

The ones that seem to get up are the shorter priced better classed horses but even then , they cop interference, I guess they don't call it the squeeze box for nothing.

So I feel it would be safe to delete it for one of greater potential & value.

Cheers.

Thanks, Bhagwan.

I'll give it a go. From the 111 races tested I think there was only one that won from the inside barrier.

Because of the high strike rate (68%), I decided on Wednesday to apply a loss-chasing stakings plan for mainly the buzz - I had an amazing day. But to persue with it would be dangerous.

Anyway, I'll continue to monitor without barrier no.1. During the testing period there were some huge quinellas which I might now also record.

I've decided if the fave is drawn in an inside barrier then to substitute it with the lowest barrier past the half-way mark.

Out of interest, in the previous post I mentioned that the method snares some large quinellas. Today at Goulburn R2 the method snared the winner of $53.10, the quinella of $190 and the trifecta of $16,000, and also the First Four. Sadly (?) I only had it to win.

That sounds amazing.

Make it do it again .