The Meadows
 

RACE 6

2 NO JUSTICE $4.5
3 ECHELON $6.5
1 PEDRO'S FINEST $7
7 BLING IT ON $7.5
4 MIDNIGHT ECLIPSE $9
8 MCDOOM $9.5
6 ROBERT ANDREW $12
5 PHIL LE CHEF $20

As Open as they get.
Do you still bet?
I know I will , just don't know what as yet.
Probably something to do with #2 No Justice , because it will be up there for a long way.

RACE 8

4 AMAKLER GIRL $4.2
5 HUTMAKER $4.6
3 SMOKE HOME $5.7
1 TONNELI BALE $6
7 ALLEN LENNOX $10
2 SHIRAZ POINT $20
8 IN HIDING $25
6 MAMIE BALE $50

My reputation as a judge is tested here with the Red Runner.
I really can't see it running down these speedy animals.

Meadows Race 1
 

1 5.226
2 5.202
3 5.264
4 5.204
5 5.302
6 5.149
7 5.131
8 5.159
To me the #8 is poor value at the fixed odds, its worst two runs have been from wide off the track, it has only won when its been 1-2 at the first turn.
Has raced much better when light in the weights.
The leading bunch could be in two groups, 2,3,4 - 6,7,8 I'm leaning to the 2,6,3 as leading and the winning chances.

Woof43.
How do you decide how much money to invest in a Race?

I'm not betting in the first 3 Races.
That leaves 8 Races.
My study methods leave me with a Market framed and my wagers are based on that Market.

Should I be betting a larger amount when I find a Large Overlay.
Or should I bet a larger amount depending on how confident I am about the accuracy of My Market.

Or do I need to keep records of my Markets and then back test on what sort of Wagers would have been most profitable , and try to find some sort of pattern regarding race distances , tracks and Grade?

I find the researching incredibly tedious and boring.
Maybe I don't want to know what I may find :(

Meadows Race 2
 

1 5.194
2 5.137
3 5.203
4 5.188
5 5.142
6 5.226
10 5.204
8 5.207
#5 to me looks like getting a nice run early, and possibly leading , the other 4 dogs inside of it need to be 1 at the first turn to win, leaves the #6 with the best 2nd sectionals looking a very good chance of finding some luck. #2 is the better of the inside 4 dogs, and has run well of the inside so its got to be included in any wagering mix, but it's not great value.

Basically you need to find your edge for each runner that you identify as a winning chance, then using that edge you can compute your average the Optimum % for those identified runners and you will have a basic threshold it will need to be over, say 10% for the total avg optimum % if this criteria is not met you may leave that wager type alone, and move to the next wager type.

you need to classify races based on how the Favourite became the public favourite, then you'll understand Joe Public because they will play that type of favourite over and over again and thats when you can doing some wagering analysis .

Never group races by grade, track etc unless you have classified the favourite first

Why do I keep asking you questions that I don't want to know the answer to? :(

How are you Woof43?
The wife - kids?
You travelling okay lately? - I am.

Good Luck tonight if your having a splash.

Race 4
 

1 5.097
2 5.107
3 5.183
4 5.175
5 5.158
6 5.158
7 5.121
8 5.149
#8 is the outstanding dog of this field,its has run some outstanding 2nd sectionals, but! this is a race where there is so much early speed its going to be a real challenge, for it to get into a competitive position, its only hope is the #1 tangles with the #2 as it tries to move off the rails

you don't remember that's why you keep asking, its that gold fish thing.