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-   -   Lay Outsider System (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=23710)

michaelg 29th March 2012 01:43 PM

Lay Outsider System
 
I've returned to one of my faves - that is laying outsiders.

This one is different to my other ones because it provides much more action.

Over the past seven days there's been 127 selections for 127 smiles which is an average of 18 per day, and it doesn't interfere with my laying the field method.

I'll list the selections and hope the Forum Curse does not attack it.

Toowoomba
4/7
6/12
7/13
8/5

Hawkesbury
2/12

Geelong
6/3
7/3

Albany
4/1
6/10
7/11

The Ocho 29th March 2012 02:33 PM

Good luck with it MG.

But outsiders :eek:

michaelg 29th March 2012 03:05 PM

I know, laying outsiders can be heart-attack material.

But doing this has made me a fair bit of money. On Monday I transferred $8,000 from my Betfair to my bank account. Maybe I've been very lucky, and that could now easily change.

The Ocho 29th March 2012 03:07 PM

O man. That's a nice transfer. I think I transferred $200 once. :(

Raven 29th March 2012 03:54 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Ocho
O man. That's a nice transfer. I think I transferred $200 once.
LOL!

michaelg 29th March 2012 09:23 PM

Not a bad start. After one scratching there were 9 selections for 9 smiles. One of them ended up at the maximum price of $1,000 yet it was only $168 on the TAB. I've never come across any TAB divvy (winner or loser) to pay around $1,000 or even remotely close to it. Maybe for more of a level playing-field Betfair could consider reducing their max price of $1,000 to $500 or whatever, even though a $1,000 winner would be a very attractive promotional tool.

Laying each of today's selections for a liability of $33 produced a profit of $3.88.

michaelg 30th March 2012 11:55 AM

Today's selections are:

Ipswich
3/4
6/17
7/9

Coffs
3/2
4/8
5/14
7/12
8/4

Mornington
5/10
6/8
7/8
8/15

Canberra
2/9
6/14

Cranbourne
5/5
6/1

michaelg 30th March 2012 09:22 PM

Not a bad day. There were 16 smiles from the 16 selections for a profit of $17.02.

norisk 31st March 2012 08:47 AM

I seem to remember a winner in a pommy race many many years ago @ $1000 on BF.

Probably a once/twice a decade type scenario which is still probably often enough to retire the layer, psychologically if not financially;), not one to mention to your mates about down the pub I would have thought.

Merriguy 31st March 2012 09:39 AM

Michael,

I'm not sure of the logic of your 'outsiders' picks.

Why is it that you choose only one in the races you are going to operate on? For instance in yesterday's Canberra Race 6 you chose one horse (14) whereas there were horses 3, 9, 13, and 15 all over 30 to 1 too (and none of them got even a place).

I realise that this means you have 5 horses against you instead of 1 (if you lay them all); but they were all as unlikely to salute as the one you chose (given the prices). After all there were 15 horses in the race anyway!

In the other Canberra race (race 2) there were only 8 starters (so 6 to oppose your choice); and I can see the wisdom of not choosing more than the one in that case.


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