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There seems to be much interest in staking plans at the moment. Can anyone help me out please? I only punt for the place. My average dividend is around the $2 mark and I have a 40-45% strike rate. Any suggestions on a viable staking plan or am I expecting too much from my low strike rate?
[ This Message was edited by: four legs on 2004-09-24 06:28 ] |
Others will have thier opinion of this but here is mine...yes your strike rate is a bit low but you could still make money....how much depends on what you are willing to start with
Example 10.000 betting 3% a selection 10 selections a week at your quoted amounts bet $300x6@$2 = $3600 profit= $600 50% of this goes back in the bank thats $300 stay at the 3% of 10.000 for the ten weeks then readjust your amount example of above would be $13.000 betting $390 thats a 33% increase in stakes resulting in an increase of profits 10 selection @$390 a selectionX 6 @$2 equals return $4680-$3900=$780 50% back in the bank leaves you $390....i know this is not exactly a weekly wage but if you could do this on a regular basis and increase your bank by 30% every ten weeks statring with that $10.000 by the end of the first year your bank is at $37.129 and you are earning $1100.00 a week and adding another $1100.00 to the bank. Now we all know things don't run as smooth as that but it does show you how small fish can lead to a bigger feed |
Hi Shaun thanks for that but I had my percentage strike rate wrong; sorry. It is just over 40%. I guess this makes a diference eh? I have edited my post and now have the correct info.
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Also look under 9/4 staking plan there is a couple of other plans there for you to look at
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Bhagwan thanks for that but still not convinced from looking at those ideas that it will overcome a long losing streak which we all get from time to time. Generally my longest losing streak is around 5 but after a win there may be another losing streak of five before getting maybe six winers in a row. Doomed huh? No good going for win bets as the strike rate drops dramatically.
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Hi Four Legs.
There is a long and interesting thread on this subject at http://www.propun.com.au/forums/vie...ic=1634&forum=7 I particularly like the Testarossa plan; but as you will see it looks, ideally, for an 80% strike rate. However he only scores about $1.30 on average. Your $2.00 is far superior. I will leave it to the maths gurus to compare! However you might like to give a few hints as to how you average $2.00 for your selections. That's a pretty good place return. I suspect it might restrict you to Saturday class races?? Cheers |
Thanks Merriguy I will have a look at that thread later on. I don't wish to give out too much information at this stage as to how I pick my bets. Firstly because my method may fall in a hole like most do and I don't want to give false hope and secondly if it is a winner then I would rather keep it to myself meantime. I will say this though that it is a combination of factors from the ratings of Tabonline.com.au and nvo.com/racing along with the "prepost" market from tabformthewest.com.au Not sure of the official names of these sites but they are the ones I use.
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Fair enough. Thanks --- and Good Luck.
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testarossa's plan included several series of all-ups which worked well with a high strike rate. It leverages your bets and increases the bank dramatically but only because the high strike rate. In this case a deadset no-no.regards Beton
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beton, quite frankly I have to agree with you. My strike rate is far too low. Cheers
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