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-   -   To Don Scott Ratings "Disciples" (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=23238)

Barny 17th January 2012 09:24 AM

To Don Scott Ratings "Disciples"
 
Many here extol the virtues of Don Scott ratings, it all sounds very easy to follow and use one way or another to win / improve an existing system.

One thing I have NEVER seen posted here are the success rate of the TOP RATED nag, either Strike Rate or POT.

I cannot recall any evidence to back up the claims that Don Scott ratings are as good as people say. We have done the favouries S/R to death, barriers, ten thousand systems, jockeys, and on and on it goes, BUT NO analysis on Don Scott ratings.

I stand to be corrected ......

darkydog2002 17th January 2012 09:30 AM

Uselessbettor (why the name by the way) might give us some info or I suppose you could check yourself with his free data base.
As a multiple bettor I,m not partiicularly interested myself but others might.
Cheers
darky

The Ocho 17th January 2012 11:52 AM

There were 49527 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.

There were 4632 selections for the System
There were 1092 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 23.58%
There were $4510.09 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $-121.91 or a percentage profit/loss of -2.63%

Test Another System

The Rules used were : donScottRank = 1

Barny 17th January 2012 01:10 PM

Thank you The Ocho. They're impressive figures for sure, much better than I would have thought.

Stix 17th January 2012 02:06 PM

With one filter applied.....
There were 49527 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.
There were 1121 selections for the System
There were 281 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 25.07%
There were $1194.33 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $73.33 or a percentage profit/loss of 6.54%


By adding just one more filter...
There were 49527 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.
There were 940 selections for the System
There were 243 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 25.85%
There were $1048.7 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $108.7 or a percentage profit/loss of 11.56%

Reasonable results for one and two filters.... :cool:

Thanks Useless bettor!!

darkydog2002 17th January 2012 02:27 PM

What was the filter?

Stix 17th January 2012 03:54 PM

Have emailed you Darc' :D

Barny 17th January 2012 04:07 PM

There are two filters Darkydog2002, and I'm pleased they've been kept quiet. Little subtleties like this surely must convince the unwashed that there is money to be made from system betting.

I have over 100 systems (none purchased) and have developed a couple of logical ones that are doing OK. There seem to be some on here that do show a decent POT ...... Why am I bothering saying this? 'Coz I'm going to give a bit back here, not posting my 'good' systems, 'coz my good systems might turn bad and cost someone their rent money, BUT in the guise of my last couple of posts where some decent information is to be had.

Chrome Prince's avoiding mares & fillies backing up in 7 days is gold.

There are some really smart dudes who have visited this forum over the years.

cheers

Barny 17th January 2012 04:15 PM

Sorry if I offended you DD, didn't mean to. Stix, you didn't need to be so harsh either mate.

darkydog2002 17th January 2012 04:38 PM

You didnt offend me Barny.
Cheers
darky

gunny72 17th January 2012 05:55 PM

Stix, could you tell us how many of the number 1 ranking DS ratings were last start winners?
gunny72

UselessBettor 17th January 2012 07:21 PM

Guys I have been out of action with a virus infected pc the last few days. I finally got back up and running today.

Gunny72,

The stats for top rank and last start winner are below:


There were 49527 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.
There were 1146 selections for the System
There were 307 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 26.79%
There were $1090.31 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $-55.69 or a percentage profit/loss of -4.86%

Test Another System

The Rules used were : lastStart = 1 and donScottRank = 1

Feel free to use the site to do your own research. I plan on adding the last week of results onto it in the next couple of days.

Stix 17th January 2012 07:47 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Barny
Sorry if I offended you DD, didn't mean to. Stix, you didn't need to be so harsh either mate.
Me harsh? Did you read your own post? It's not what this forum is about mate.

Barny 17th January 2012 08:37 PM

Yeah I did read my own post Stix. You used CAPS to belittle me about the situation I was / and am going through.

Not nice.

Stix 17th January 2012 09:01 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Barny
Yeah I did read my own post Stix. You used CAPS to belittle me about the situation I was / and am going through.

Not nice.
If you are that fragile, shut the computer down.. You aren't doing yourself any favours.
I wouldn't suggest to an alcoholic go to a pub just to chat to his mates...
And before you think I'm being harsh, a dose of reality does more good than most think - you don't have to believe me or agree with me, I can only draw on experiences with people close to me and the sooner they face it, the earlier they deal with it....and it can be day in day out for years on end.
Remove yourself and you give yourself an opportunity for a more even approach to each day and don't purposely or otherwise cause angst to yourself or more importantly others.

End of Story...back to the forum,

Barny 17th January 2012 09:19 PM

Stix, the post that got deleted wasn't addressed to you. You just decided to poke your nose in.

BTW, there are 'fragile' people out there, and you could actually tip someone over the edge by belittling them and intentionally going after them. Nice work.

Stix 17th January 2012 09:35 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Barny
Stix, the post that got deleted wasn't addressed to you. You just decided to poke your nose in.

BTW, there are 'fragile' people out there, and you could actually tip someone over the edge by belittling them and intentionally going after them. Nice work.
It's an open forum Barny and uncalled for hence the TOU violation.

I didn't know you suffered from hoofdaphobia as well, so just in case the above is only an acronym...

Belittle and intentionally go after someone eh? Well, what was the point of your TOU'd post again??...grow up mate, stop using that crutch.

Barny 17th January 2012 09:43 PM

Sounds very much like you've had some experience with drug addicts or alcoholics. Tough love might work there, I don't know. What I do know is that you lack emotional intelligence.

Stix 17th January 2012 09:48 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by darkydog2002
What was the filter?
Sent you a couple more filters....

Using UB's data he kindly posted:

Sel 980
Win 264
S.R 27%
Profit 206u
POT 21%

Even better if stick to QLD, NSW & VIC racing...

All the best mate.

Stix 17th January 2012 09:55 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Barny
Sounds very much like you've had some experience with drug addicts or alcoholics. Tough love might work there, I don't know. What I do know is that you lack emotional intelligence.

Nope. You have no idea Barny and you've proved that a number of times, although you do appear to be a very funny man Barny.....it's a internet forum mate not a cuddle fest, you could be anyone, anywhere.....emotional intelligence is saved for the real world....

....just out of interest did you google hoofdaphobia, or did you already know the meaning!? LOL....oops i've done it again!!!

Barny 17th January 2012 10:08 PM

Had to google it Stix ..... lol

Now that is FUNNY !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Barny 17th January 2012 10:14 PM

Stix, thanks for the private email and the apology ..... All good!

Chrome Prince 17th January 2012 11:08 PM

I actually thought hoofdaphobia had something to do with Fred Nile :D

darkydog2002 18th January 2012 08:21 AM

Thanks Stix,
Much appreciated,
Cheers
darky

darkydog2002 18th January 2012 08:23 AM

Hoofdaphobia.
oo boys now you,ve tickled me fancy.

Barny 18th January 2012 10:03 AM

Mr DD02, you DO NOT have Pteronophobia ....

Stix 18th January 2012 10:12 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chrome Prince
I actually thought hoofdaphobia had something to do with Fred Nile :D
Now that is funny!

darkydog2002 18th January 2012 10:12 AM

oo.Never Barn Barn.
Do you have a proposal?

jose 18th January 2012 11:56 AM

There were 49527 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.

There were 1914 selections for the System
There were 440 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 22.99%
There were $2002 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $88 or a percentage profit/loss of 4.6%

Add 1 more filter and you get...

There were 49527 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.

There were 1362 selections for the System
There were 342 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 25.11%
There were $1532.91 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $170.91 or a percentage profit/loss of 12.55%


Not too shabby for 2 filters put over the DS Top Rater.

jose 18th January 2012 12:24 PM

Add 1 more to the above and we get...

There were 1084 selections for the System
There were 287 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 26.48%
There were $1261.01 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $177.01 or a percentage profit/loss of 16.33%

Not many bets really, but looks like it might hold up.

Stix 18th January 2012 12:32 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by jose
Add 1 more to the above and we get...

There were 1084 selections for the System
There were 287 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 26.48%
There were $1261.01 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $177.01 or a percentage profit/loss of 16.33%

Not many bets really, but looks like it might hold up.
There were 1084 selections for the System

UB can confirm the database date range, but I'm pretty sure its as of August 2011 to mid December so approx 4.5 months..... or an average of approx 250 bets per month.....in my book that is a "few".......:confused:

jose 18th January 2012 01:01 PM

Yes Stix, on reflection I suppose it is.

For those interested, the qualifiers for today are...

Wyong 2-4 Madam Nash (Yes yes I know it has just won)
Wyong 4-5 The Firehouse

Sand 5-1 Guru Bob
Sand 7-8 Chamandi

Ascot 3-9 Dark Rock
Ascot 5-9 Negra Santo
Ascot 8-4 Head For Heights

Gawler 7-3 Test Pilot
Gawler 8-4 Miners Gem

Launc 3-12 Kylie's Run

Doom 2-4 Hetty

That is a fair few bets for the day.

Stix 18th January 2012 01:10 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by jose
Yes Stix, on reflection I suppose it is.

For those interested, the qualifiers for today are...

Wyong 2-4 Madam Nash (Yes yes I know it has just won)
Wyong 4-5 The Firehouse

Sand 5-1 Guru Bob
Sand 7-8 Chamandi

Ascot 3-9 Dark Rock
Ascot 5-9 Negra Santo
Ascot 8-4 Head For Heights

Gawler 7-3 Test Pilot
Gawler 8-4 Miners Gem

Launc 3-12 Kylie's Run

Doom 2-4 Hetty

That is a fair few bets for the day.
Hey Jose

email me at stix_hotcopper at aanet dot com dot au and I'll share a couple filters, ideas with you - if you like of course :o

jose 18th January 2012 01:27 PM

Sent Stix.

Stix 18th January 2012 01:38 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by jose
Sent Stix.
Straight back at ya.

The Ocho 18th January 2012 04:57 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by jose
There were 49527 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.

There were 1914 selections for the System
There were 440 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 22.99%
There were $2002 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $88 or a percentage profit/loss of 4.6%

Add 1 more filter and you get...

There were 49527 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.

There were 1362 selections for the System
There were 342 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 25.11%
There were $1532.91 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $170.91 or a percentage profit/loss of 12.55%


Not too shabby for 2 filters put over the DS Top Rater.

I've tried a lot of different numbers on UB's site but, for the life of me, I can't find that sort of return you have found. Any hints?

jose 18th January 2012 04:59 PM

Think outside the box.

Send me an email at josefimmer62 at gmail dot com dot au

The Ocho 18th January 2012 05:08 PM

Sent :)

jose 18th January 2012 05:16 PM

Run you up a stump there Ocho.
Drop the
dot au
from that addy.

The Ocho 18th January 2012 05:29 PM

Done.


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