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-   -   Beat the Donkey (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=15593)

AngryPixie 3rd April 2007 11:34 AM

Thanks Poop.

You could write pages on risk I guess, but in the end everybody has a different perspective on how much they're prepared to take on.

Your driving left side here though aren't you? ;)

burrah 3rd April 2007 02:49 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by AngryPixie
:o
0.48% chance of success due to luck.
Wots dat?

AngryPixie 3rd April 2007 03:23 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by burrah
Wots dat?

Burrah

It's possible to assess the long term viability of a method by doing a simple Chi-Square test. The following page has some punting based examples.

http://www.0dd5.com/matharchie.shtml

In the case of my current Oz lay method I'm 99.52% confident that my results to date are due to some factor other than luck. Sounds a bit of a w_a_n_k I know but it's a great way to measure your success against other punting methods, or indeed other forms of investment.

burrah 4th April 2007 05:06 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by AngryPixie
Burrah

It's possible to assess the long term viability of a method by doing a simple Chi-Square test. The following page has some punting based examples.

http://www.0dd5.com/matharchie.shtml

In the case of my current Oz lay method I'm 99.52% confident that my results to date are due to some factor other than luck. Sounds a bit of a w_a_n_k I know but it's a great way to measure your success against other punting methods, or indeed other forms of investment.
Excellent site, many thanks.
Guess I'll have to record my bets in writing to work out some of the stats. I'll check and see if my betting history on betfair will do the trick. Normally all I do is keep an eagle eye on my current balance. When it's up = happy, when down, depresed. Using maths might be the go for my confidence.
Again many thanks.

AngryPixie 20th April 2007 09:37 PM

Selections: April 20th
 
Here's some UK lay selections for tonight using a more selective variation of last months Beat The Donkey method. Good luck. :)

THIR 2330 Coconut Queen
LING 0245 Cativo Cavallino
HERE 0330 Travello

odericko 21st April 2007 12:32 AM

jusxt a memo and just woke up am ********ed again way 2 much cab shaz gord will prob no doubt not recall this ramble...if in case i do food 4 thought ...chrome p s thread about somethin got my interest 2 day and i made a killing on the plkace and onya kenchar u r my inspire on that account>>>>>>.

AngryPixie 21st April 2007 09:09 AM

Results: April 20th
 
Great start :eek:

THIR 2330 Coconut Queen ... LOST +1.00
LING 0245 Cativo Cavallino ... WON -7.00
HERE 0330 Travello ... LOST +1.00

AngryPixie 23rd April 2007 09:47 PM

Selections: April 23rd
 
Good luck :)

HEX_ 2330 Star Fever
HEX_ 2330 Hold The Bid
PONT 0010 Sir Xaar

AngryPixie 23rd April 2007 11:15 PM

Results: April 23rd
 
Hope the rest of your punting day goes ok. :)

HEX_ 2330 Star Fever ... LOST +1.00
HEX_ 2330 Hold The Bid ... LOST +1.00
PONT 0010 Sir Xaar ... LOST +1.00

AngryPixie 24th April 2007 09:43 PM

Selections: April 24th
 
STHL 2330 Hatton Flight
FOLK 2340 Nou Camp
WOLV 2355 Fuel Cell
STHL 0005 Rudry World
FOLK 0015 Malapropism


Best of luck.


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