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-   -   The Paretto Principle (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=24511)

Researcher 7th July 2012 05:29 PM

Beton and Star
Good results for both of you. I don't know what rules you used. I have been searching for Privateer's Pareto Principle but can't find it. I did come across a post where I said that I had been following his information and had been making a profit. I don't know why I stopped. Here is some of his information that he shared based upon his stats analysis. ( I found this on a piece of paper that I have kept for at least 10 years)
1. 88% of winners have a place SR of > or = 40%.
2. 69% have a place SR of > or= 50%.
3. 72% are at 10/1 or less.
4. 72% are in the top 5 average prize money.
5. 58% 1 or 2 last start.
6. 83% 1-5 last start.
7. 75% not more than 2kg rise from last start.
8. TAB nos 1 - 6.
9. Winners in the top 5 Prepost
10. 92% of winners ????? He would not devulge this. ( It could have been LS within 21 days. Someone else might know?)
At around the same time as this info was given out Topper, Mr Magic, and Gunner were doing something very similar.

beton 7th July 2012 05:47 PM

Researcher.
You have the missing link. The post the Privateer posted and then edited when the naysayers gave their 0.00001% worth of nothing. He has spelt out all the rules but they are in about 50 different posts. Beton

beton 7th July 2012 06:40 PM

Quote "10. 92% of winners ????? He would not devulge this. ( It could have been LS within 21 days. Someone else might know?)" Unquote
This could well be true, however he is contradictory in that if the LS was in the top 2 he would still back it this time even if it was first up from a spell. It seems the only logical stat. It is also one stat that is not spelt out and he does not bag. I would say his terminology would be recently raced (2.5 weeks) Maybe someone can have a quick check on winners in <21 days. Beton

UselessBettor 7th July 2012 07:25 PM

Quickly from testyoursystem.000space.com

With no rules:
There were 10400 races for the System
There were 10418 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 10.4%

With 1 to 21 days

There were 10274 races for the System
There were 6892 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 10.78%

So its probably not that stat as it only makes it 66%.

UselessBettor 7th July 2012 07:28 PM

92% ... Could be anything. It could be a prepost rank, ratings rank, etc.

Top 10 TAB number (ie saddle cloth 1 to 10) wins 93% of the time. Mind you it probably makes up 93% of all runners.

Researcher 7th July 2012 07:37 PM

Re: 92% unknown
 
I did have Poll? also written against the 92%. This was probably my own guess as he did only bet on Saturdays.

beton 7th July 2012 08:06 PM

Quote "Top 10 TAB number (ie saddle cloth 1 to 10) wins 93% of the time. Mind you it probably makes up 93% of all runners." Unquote
Not this one. He had TAB #s 1-6 and later increased to #s1-7. Poll? Got me there.

garyf 7th July 2012 08:31 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by beton
Quote "Top 10 TAB number (ie saddle cloth 1 to 10) wins 93% of the time. Mind you it probably makes up 93% of all runners." Unquote
Not this one. He had TAB #s 1-6 and later increased to #s1-7. Poll? Got me there.
Maybe a tipsters poll from a paper,
If only betting on a Saturday that,
Would be freely available on that day.

Also it's not mentioned in post=91,
Of Researchers listed stats.

The problem here
is how far do you go,
Down the list to acquire 93%

Top 6-7 etc.

Cheers.

beton 7th July 2012 08:34 PM

One post mentions running this distance before, another mentions having carried this weight before. Both do not logically say 92%. He makes no mention of gender anywhere that I have seen. Entered in the race, started and ridden by a jockey are all 100%. There I have bared my intellect.

Lord Greystoke 7th July 2012 09:24 PM

Hows about...

10. 92% of winners open shorter than their pre-post quote?

LG


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