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-   -   Mo's AFL roll-your-owns,2004 (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=5401)

rabbitz 5th September 2004 04:04 PM

Onya Rabs

erikson 5th September 2004 04:09 PM

Well done young Rabs
So next week we have
Essendon v Geelong then v Brisbane
St Kilda v Sydney then v Port Adelaide
So the most obvious scenario would be
Geelong beat Essendon
St Kilda beat Sydney
Brisbane beat Geelong
Port Adelaide beat St Kilda or other way round
Brisbane to crush either Port or St Kilda
Cheerio

mug punta 5th September 2004 04:34 PM

Well done Mo. Nice collect.
I ended up only betting small on the cats because I was well up for the weekend, but, im glad to see most punters on this forum seemed to have cleaned up this weekend.
I still have ? marks over Port. Cats had stage fright early but after half time had a lot more run than Power.
Final margin isn't a real reflection because the cats gave up in the last 10 mins when it became obvious they couldn't win.
Swans will be very hard to beat this week and ill be really looking 4ward to the prelim between Port and swans. Would be a great game.
Cats will give my bombers a touch up this week so im having something on the cats and swans to win the flag.
Reckon they will both be silly odds.
All you mugs out there can take the $1.58 about the Lions winning the flag. They're not even there yet and the cats will put up a much better show at the 'g then what the saints did at the Gabba.

erikson 5th September 2004 04:41 PM

No hope the cats,sorry mugs

mug punta 5th September 2004 04:44 PM

Its all about looking 4 value.
I reckon ill get 15-1 about cats and 10-1 about swans.
If they get through to the final 4 those odds will be looking ok to me.
Then if one of those 2 knock off the faves I cant lose cos ill lay off.

erikson 5th September 2004 04:52 PM

Yes I understand that but 15-1 and 10-1 may as well be 150-1 and 100-1,because there will be no return for your pocket,whereas Port and Brisbane will give a return,well one of them will.You might be better off taking 3 or 4 all up bets tredrea-Brisbane,Port,Riewoldt-Brisbane,Port,Judd-Brisbane/Port
Black-Brisbane/Port etc

moeee 5th September 2004 06:35 PM

Thanks Mugs.
You know.I love reading your stuff because much of it is full of ********.The rest is quite interesting.
It's the full of ******** bit that makes me feel confident.Like what the Power done today.
What they done was what they done and they are certainly capable of doing it again and again.Of course the Cats are better than that,but not much.
I'm surprised you are going against the Bombers.I agree with the tip but am surprised you can see it.
Money down the drain on those roughies.Suggest you take them in Quinellas with Brisbane.
And the biggest mistake you have made since tipping Melbourne that day,is flushing the Saints down the toilet.
What happened to them Friday night would have happened to any opposition that night.
Heed He Who Knows.

moeee 5th September 2004 08:07 PM

So back to $1134.60 and with St.Kilda and Geelong quite possibly starting the underdogs next weekend makes for more good value bets coming up.
And one to bear in mind is the St.Kilda - Brisbane Quinella.
Think it is about a $4 chance.
The other big danger of course is the Port - Brisbane Quinella.Think it should be about $2.15,but you won't get that.

moeee 7th September 2004 09:35 AM

Only 2 races to bet on makes it awkward to find value.
Fortunately the consensus of opinion has it wrong in both games.
Looks like I will go $70 straight out on St.Kilda.
And a $50 double straight out again with Geelong.
But thinking back to last weeks game with Melbourne,may take the security in both games of a 6 point head start.JUST IN CASE.
Especially as the punting season is almost over.Be nice to go out on a winner!

moeee 10th September 2004 04:10 PM

Well that's it then.

$70 on St.Kilda @ +4.5 points Returns $140

$50 Multi
St Kilda +4.5
Geelong +7.5
Returns about $170

Put $20 on Barry Hall to run a place in the Count.
And put $25 on NRL.
Can't remember what it was but Maverick said it is over the line.
2 short favourites plus the Storm in a threesome.

Total of $165 makes Bank about $969.


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