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-   -   The New Tipping Comp (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=8374)

Chuck 22nd May 2005 06:48 PM

BTW have you read "Weights Right" yet?

Duritz 23rd May 2005 05:03 PM

Thanks all for posting your results like that, really helps out my job. New table to come in a few mins.

Cheers.

Duritz 23rd May 2005 05:15 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Well kids, there's a mere 8 days remaining in the first New Tipping Comp, and right now, if we were framing a market on the inaugral winner, Testarossa would be very short, for while he soars high like an eagle, the rest of us - with the exception of Raw - are gobbling around on the ground like turkeys.

Merc and Sirpent are going well too, I must admit, however Testa's lead is a good one and is going to be very hard to catch. Chuck has the right idea, trying to find a roughie to get him over the line. It's the only way someone can win, and even then it might not be enough. And in the meantime, Testa might find a roughie himself and soar higher!

The weekend was a bit of a fizz, with no-one ending up in the black on Saturday except for Mercurial. He did well, tipping two from three on Sat. The rest of us were all loser's to varying degrees, no-one had a wipeout, generally we all just lost a few units.

Below is the table as it stands right now, and attached is the file. Also I've done a little market, what true odds I reckon everyone is right now to win:

player Profit/loss odds of winning
testarossa $32.2 $1.42
raw instinct $14.0 $12
mercurial $7.2 $21
sirpent $6.6 $21
Duritz $0.3 $34
zorro -$8.0 $50
Goldcoaster -$12.2 $67
Chuck -$18.9 $101
Heavyweight -$19.4 $101
feather -$25.3 $151
Sportz -$26.3 $151
Seeker11 -$30.4 $151
bl4dez -$30.5 $151
Svenvlad -$33.3 $201
Random -$40.2 $334
kiwi -$43.4 $334

feather 24th May 2005 10:15 AM

KYNETON
RACE 1 - 2 RAISE THE CURTAIN
RACE 2 - 11 SUPER SEREN
RACE 4 - 12 TACTFULLY
RACE 6 - 2 AIR COOLED
RACE 7 - 4 COUNT THE BITES
RACE 7 - 4 SCARFACE CLAW

TESTAROSSA 24th May 2005 01:26 PM

Wouldn't mind putting a few bucks on Raw at $12 Duritz, very generous odds especially if i just "Accidentally" tip 50 losers from now :D

Duritz 24th May 2005 11:08 PM

LOL yeah well I guess that just goes to show - if someone's betting on it, someone's rigging it.

Raw Instinct 25th May 2005 05:43 AM

I'll have to post my tips for Saturday on friday night try and find some roughies this time going to need to I wouldn't mind backing myself at those odds either but it isn't like I can rig it for myself.

mecurial 25th May 2005 09:41 AM

SR02 No. 1 Another Adam
SR03 No. 3 Sarasota
SR07 No. 1 Force Apollo
MR03 No. 1 Reef Beach
MR08 No. 1 Bella Corona

Go the toppy's!

Duritz 25th May 2005 11:14 AM

That's the spirit Raw!!

Today for me:

Canterbury
6-5

Belmont
2-2

Raw Instinct 26th May 2005 05:13 AM

QR 7: #2 Tycoon Ted

Duritz 26th May 2005 12:12 PM

OK will tally the results tonight and post new ladder then, but I'm having a crack today. Look out Testa, the 11's are comin to getchya!!!

WYONG
3-11
4-11
6-11
8-11

Go 11's!!!

GEELONG
3-4
4-2
5-2

Duritz 27th May 2005 11:43 AM

Wish I'd tipped the 11's at Rockhampton, one won at 80/1......

I'll do a ladder tonight after all, so we all know where we are pre tomorrow.

I'm having another crack today, roughies galore I hope.

Canberra
4-4
5-1
6-4
7-1

Casino
3-6
4-8
5-6

kiwi 27th May 2005 12:28 PM

NOTHING TO LOSE PIG-ROOTERS

BENELLA

R.5 6
R.61
R.72
R.89
R.97

SUNSHINE COAST

R.55
R.67
R.78
R.87
R.912


CANBERRA
R.62
R.71
R.813

Chuck 27th May 2005 04:51 PM

Okay, i've got a few massive longies tomorrow that are SURE to get up i wish

Rosehill:
4-1
7-3,11
8-8
9-17,18

Doomben
1-3
2-3
3-19
4-2
5-12
6-16
7-9
8-1

Cheltenham
2-16
3-11
4-11
5-5
6-9
7-17
8-14

Flemington
1-9
2-7
3-11
4-14
5-15
6-13,14
7-16
8-10

Raw Instinct 27th May 2005 06:29 PM

BR 2: #3 Poetic Papal
BR 3: #18 Cha Cha D'Amour
BR 4: #10 Street Smart
BR 5: #15 Bosworth Field
BR 6: #17 Step Ahead
BR 7: #3 Raw Instinct
BR 8: #6 Roving Owl

MR 4: #16 Salsa
MR 6: #9 Songs of Vienna
MR 7: #9 Live in Vain

SR 3: #4 Miss Mooney Mooney
SR 8: #11 Burning Sands

Duritz 27th May 2005 09:47 PM

OK all with this being the final SATURDAY in this comp, here is the ladder as we are now. Remember, you can still tip till Tuesday. That's the final day. We all have until then to catch Testa, or conversely Testa has to respond to his own whip until then, pulling out plenty hopefully in the drive to the line.

I have re-framed the market slightly too for the odds of winning overall. Raw instinct has shortened a bit due to huge public support. :)

Good luck all.

player Profit/loss odds of winning
testarossa $32.2 $1.38
raw instinct $13.0 $8.5
mercurial $7.7 $21
sirpent $6.6 $21
Duritz -$4.2 $51
zorro -$8.0 $67
Goldcoaster -$12.2 $81
Chuck -$18.9 $101
Heavyweight -$19.4 $101
feather -$26.2 $151
Sportz -$26.3 $151
Seeker11 -$30.4 $151
bl4dez -$30.5 $151
Svenvlad -$33.3 $201
Random -$40.2 $334
kiwi -$43.4 $334

mecurial 27th May 2005 10:15 PM

SR04 No. 3 Vachere
BR02 No. 4 Grecolo
AR02 No. 1 Road Worker
AR06 No. 1 Taos Pleasure
AR08 No. 2 Perchance to Dream
MR02 No. 1 Jiang
MR06 No. 10 McCarthy's Bar
MR08 No. 5 Bruges
PR05 No. 2 Don't Put Me Down
PR07 No. 6 Nick 'N' John

Duritz 28th May 2005 10:38 AM

And here comes Kingstown Town, he might win yet the champ...!!

Melbourne
3-3
3-7
5-5
6-3
6-5

Doomben
6-5
6-9
7-2
7-13

feather 28th May 2005 10:41 AM

BR4 - 2 DIAMONDSONDINSIDE
BR4 - 4 GRECOLO
BR6 - 8 BALLET SOCIETY
BR6 - BOLD MATADOR
BR8 - 1 EREMEIN
BR8 - 15 AQUA D'AMORE
VR5 - 5 ZEJTUN
AR3 - 5 ROAD TO DAMASCUS
CR6 - 1 CORBETT KING
PR7 - 4 JUST A KISEKI
PR7 - 11 MAFEKING
SR1 - 1 SUMAC
MR1 - 1 SPANISH AYNBOL
MR8 - 4 OAMARU STORM

TESTAROSSA 28th May 2005 11:01 AM

Rosehill

R3 (2) Our Highlander
R4 (10) Inatin
R8 (8) Loftily
R9 (4) Terrace
R9 (18) Spinjester

Flemington

R2 (11) Testatude
R4 (2) Country Lodge
R4 (5) Kalashani Star
R5 (3) Pretorius
R8 (5) Bruges

Doomben

R2 (10) Octanee
R3 (10) Daunting Lad
R4 (2) Diamondsondinside
R4 (7) Fourwinners
R8 (1) Eremein
R8 (4) Lords A Leaping

Cheltenham

R1 (5) Jeune Royale
R5 (3) Oahu
R5 (4) Satara
R6 (5) Mt Billy
R7 (4) Civil

Good Luck Everyone!!!!

kiwi 28th May 2005 01:15 PM

CHELT
4. No 3

5.No 4

6 No 8

7 No 3

8 No 2

Doom

5 No 8

6 No 3

7 No 12

8 No 1

FLEM

5 No 3

6 No 9

7 No 13
13

8 No 4

Rosehill

6 No 2

7 No 6

8 No 8

9 No 18

Duritz 29th May 2005 10:27 AM

OK here's me for the day, I'll post a new ladder soon. Still time to win peoples!

Nowra
2-1
4-1
5-10
5-15

Mildura
2-6
3-1
5-1
6-10
8-3

SCst
1-10
5-1
7-3

Duritz 29th May 2005 10:55 AM

1 Attachment(s)
OK well yesterday was a bit of a fizz, some might suggest, but not me. I don't think it was a fizz at all. I think everyone's just saving their run for the final stretch! Well, punters, we're now officially in the final stretch, so get busy!! Tip!! Tip!! TIP!!!!!

Sirpent - you're the dark horse of the field but you haven't tipped yet this week. Are you merely waiting to burst through on the rail like Dane Ripper? Or are you gone like Sky Channel? :)

Raw - you're still there, still a chance. One 14/1 winner and you're level! Find that elusive winner!!

Testa - you're still going beautifully. You don't have to do anything if you don't want to. You can leave it up to us to see if we're good enough to catch you, and if not, happily accept the glory and the subsequent fame, accolades and large breasted women that will no doubt follow.

Everyone else - we can still win, but we're fast running out of time. So, what are you waiting for.

FIND THEM WINNERS!!!

player Profit/loss odds of winning
testarossa $26.2 $1.42
raw instinct $11.0 $6.5
sirpent $6.6 $14
mercurial -$2.3 $21
zorro -$8.0 $67
Goldcoaster -$12.2 $101
Duritz -$13.2 $101
Heavyweight -$19.4 $151
Sportz -$26.3 $151
feather -$26.7 $201
Seeker11 -$30.4 $201
bl4dez -$30.5 $201
Svenvlad -$33.3 $334
Random -$40.2 $334
Chuck -$44.2 $501
kiwi -$58.9 $1,001

Raw Instinct 29th May 2005 08:33 PM

Actually if I had known Bosworth Field was scratched I would have backed Wishart but hey thats the risk I had to take when I was flying to brisbane at 6.30am should be a close finish anyway when are we finishing this comp up Duritz.

Duritz 31st May 2005 11:39 AM

TOMORROW!!!

Tomorrow will be the LAST day of the comp punters, your absolute and utter LAST chance to catch the tearaway Testarossa, so get studying kiddies, we're in the red paint on the rail!!!

Stix 31st May 2005 12:01 PM

is there a new comp starting up.... ?

Duritz 31st May 2005 12:19 PM

Watch this space...

Sportz 31st May 2005 02:17 PM

I've got a real doozy of a competition planned for the Spring Carnival. Should be good.

Raw Instinct 31st May 2005 04:50 PM

I don't normally even look at midweek races at all unless there are some big races on so this is just one last shot to try and catch Testa

Ipswich
Race 10: #8 Plannagram

Randwick
Race 3: #7 Thunderclap
Race 6: #4 Radio Song
Race 8: #1 Burning Sands

Sandown
Race 1: #1 Opio Miss
Race 4: #6 Aliandra
Race 5: #8 Hurricane Gust
Race 6: #1 Kingify
Race 7: #5 Valashka

Chuck 31st May 2005 06:38 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
I've got a real doozy of a competition planned for the Spring Carnival. Should be good.


i'm loving it already

Sportz 31st May 2005 06:54 PM

You're easy to please Chuck. I haven't actually said anything about it.

If you know anything about 'Fantasy' sports, that'll give you some idea of what I'm planning.

luv2bet 31st May 2005 06:55 PM

Yep ill be in the next comp.
Springs the best part of the year, look forward to it sportz.

Raw Instinct 31st May 2005 08:14 PM

I have been playing NFL Fantasy Football for about 8 years or so now that and Baseball so this does sound exciting mate and to be honest is there ever a comp that I don't get into.

feather 1st June 2005 10:14 AM

Br7-4 jaegers
Mr2-2 satinspin
Mr3-5 this is me
Mr3-1 februarytwelve
Mr5-8 hurricane gust
Mr6-2 general conclusion
Mr8-5 rural law
Mr8-2 physique
Ar3-1 check lotto
Ar8-1 kaseh

Duritz 1st June 2005 11:37 AM

On this, the final day, good luck to all. Here are my last ditch, desperate attempts to find a roughie to nail Testa. I have chosen Strath as the likeliest venue for a bolter:

STRATH

r2-2,5,9,10
r3-1,2,3,10
r4-1,2,4,7
r5-1,2,3,5
r6-3,4,5,6
r7-1,4,5,6
r8-1,2,3,6

I haven't checked odds though, just taken my computer's top 4 picks and hoping for the best.

In advance, well done Testa.

Duritz 1st June 2005 01:11 PM

Oh-oh.... don't look now, but Duritz just got a $35 winner in the third at Adelaide.....

He might win yet the champ!!!......

come on you Strath roughies!!

Duritz 1st June 2005 03:18 PM

Oh Geeez......

With one race left to go at Strath, I have a profit for the day there of 38.50, INCLUSIVE of the last race. That means that if the last race bombs out, I'll profit $38.50 on the day. Before the day's trading action I was $39.40 behind Testa. So, if I don't get the winner of the last, I'll fall behind Testa by 90 cents, but if I do get the winner, and assuming that it pays more than 0.90 cents for the win, I'll be the new leader!!!!!!!

BUT THERE'S STILL TIME FOR ANYONE TO WIN!!! We have LOTS of races left at Belmont, TESTA if you're there, PAY ATTENTION, and TIP!!!!

This one's going right down TO THE WIRE!!!!!

Sportz 1st June 2005 04:34 PM

IT'S RIGGED! :D

Raw Instinct 1st June 2005 05:12 PM

one last crack mate

PR 9: #3 Tribal Warrior
PR 9: #9 Blacktave

TESTAROSSA 1st June 2005 05:53 PM

Oops i thought Tuesday was the last day, but anyway well done Duritz!!!!


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