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[QUOTE=Crackone]47 bets on the races (had a couple on the trotts)
$127.46 return (betfair) no commission taken out 14 winners 29.78 strike rate ave. price $3.60 Longest run of outs 8 and a 7. 47 units out 50.4 unit in |
Thanks for sharing your findings & well done.
The average price is excellent. You are doing the right thing as to starting again a soon as any profit is shown. Using that $10 as a starting point with a 6/1 divisor . $10 = 1% of bank. I feel a $1000 bank should do the trick. One can go a lot of outs before bank becomes half. If bank does become halved. One idea is to rule off & start again with the remaining $500. Dont forget their argument is... eventually it will fall over , well in that case , so will level stakes betting. So if ones starting bank is $1000, whats it to be level stakes or progressional staking, chasing Favs? Cheers. |
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The only way you could back 51 SP favorites on Sunday was after the jump! Me thinks a bit of post-race back-fitted 'betting' is going on. With all the other hoodwinking going on here we don't need a 'dose' of that too. |
crash,
You can automate anything so it is very easy to place 51 bets on a sunday. Good Luck. |
Oh really? A program that places a bet on the SP favorite which is often not known [it's called market time lag] until after the jump? What program would that be? Lol Lol :-))
I think it's called the 'back-fitted favorite program' isn't it? |
I think they are referring to the Betfair fave.
Interestingly, at Ballina race 8 today there were equal Betfair faves (nos. 7 and 10) when the race began, even confirmed on BAT. As the race was one of my Lay The Betfair Fave I was able to lay no.10 at the scheduled start-time at the price of $3.85 as it was the clear fave at that time. If the Staking Plan was automated I would presume it would have bet no.10 which was beaten by the other equal-fave. But then again, - swings and roundabouts. |
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Cheers |
All forum members are free to claim/doubt anything here. So feel free to claim anything you like.
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I don't think anyone mentioned SP faves, did they?
I had 34 faves or dual faves, but they were only the ones covered by IAS and Betfair, so certain meetings were left out. |
I've done extensive research on Pre-post favs v SP favs, for preceisly that reason (you often don't know what is fav til it's too late) however I'm told that there are bookies who will accept wagers on the un-named favourite if that's the way you prefer to go.
My reasearch shows however that there's very little difference if any in the long run backing the pre-post fav instead, usually it's the same horse (some win some lose about 30% in both cases,) sometimes not and it wins sometime it loses . Boy I managed to make that sound difficult, what I'm saying is that the SP fav wins about 30% of the time, and the pre-post fav. wins about 30% of the time though the selection will differ sometimes. Phew! But taken overall theres very little in it, so to make life easier if I'm operating a mechanical plan I'll use the pre-post fav so my bets can be placed well before racing if necessary. A word of warning though ALWAYS use the same source of the pre-post fav as publications differ. |
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