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evajb001 15th November 2012 12:43 PM

Gosford - Race 8

No.
8 Lady Gazerra

evajb001 15th November 2012 06:43 PM

Bunbury - Race 8

No.
2 Riverbend Cowboy

The Ocho 15th November 2012 08:28 PM

Well done evajb001. Like a Riverbend cowboy.

What's the running total like?

evajb001 15th November 2012 11:47 PM

Hi ocho,

it's been up and down the last few today's but with the protest being upheld at bunbury tonight it means its set a new max slightly above the previous so new unit size. new account size is $224.69 so unit size is now $2.24 rather then $2.23. In 8 days to be up with a strike rate of only 23.40% makes me semi-happy. Testing showed that in the long term the strike rate was about 36% so hopefully there are a few more winners around the corner soon.

On a side note i'm hitting 65.38% on NBA at the moment and up about 8.26 units.

The Ocho 16th November 2012 06:13 AM

That's great evajb001. To be below your expected S/R and still producing a profit has got to be a beautiful thing. Well done.

AngryPixie 16th November 2012 07:17 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Ocho
That's great evajb001. To be below your expected S/R and still producing a profit has got to be a beautiful thing. Well done.


Expected or observed? The 36% is a historic observed strike rate. The expected strike rate would be the sum of each starting price expressed as a percentage. Being below your expected strike rate could be bad in the longer term. Being below your historic observed strike rate is of much less significance as strike rate is a function of the price accepted.

If your strike rate is down your selections starting at longer odds may be an answer amongst a few.

evajb001 16th November 2012 04:55 PM

All at new unit size of $2.24

Geraldton - Race 3

No.
1 Kneedeep

Geraldton - Race 4

No.
6 Bernina Heights

Geraldton - Race 5

No.
1 Bali Cruiser

Moonee Valley - Race 2

No.
5 Orbicat

Moonee Valley - Race 4

No.
8 Halle Rocks

Moonee Valley - Race 6

No.
6 Arctic Flight

Canterbury - Race 4

No.
5 Animoso

Canterbury - Race 6

No.
11 Inventive

Canterbury - Race 7

No.
4 Ingham Magic

evajb001 17th November 2012 11:25 AM

Plays for today, new unit size after some success last night ($2.30)

Sandown-Hillside - Race 2

No.
1 Angelic Light

Sandown-Hillside - Race 3

No.
6 Verdant

Sandown-Hillside - Race 4

No.
4 Star Of Giselle

Sandown-Hillside - Race 5

No.
2 Raspberries

Sandown-Hillside - Race 7

No.
2 Lunar Rise

evajb001 17th November 2012 12:51 PM

Morphettville Pk - Race 3

No.
7 Off The Map

Morphettville Pk - Race 4

No.
4 Waratone

Morphettville Pk - Race 7

No.
6 Almighty Bullet

Morphettville Pk - Race 8

No.
3 Thorny Devil

Rosehill - Race 4

No.
2 Scouting Wide

Rosehill - Race 7

No.
4 Censor

Eagle Farm - Race 7

No.
6 Bribie

UselessBettor 17th November 2012 12:57 PM

good luck today.


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