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-   -   2006 TIPS (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=12223)

Stix 17th January 2006 04:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Stix
Think it looks that kind of day fella. That's why I'm a little nerous about today - because it feels like one of those days where the "standout" could quite easily get rolled..... it's not logical, but it's the ol' "gut feeling".... let's hope I'm wrong for your sake ;)

Never doubted you Sportz.... well done !

Sportz 17th January 2006 04:58 PM
Well, the number 1 that I was least confident about was Incinerator and he missed out. All the others got up, so a good day for the topweights.

It pays to take notice of the unitab ratings. Mister Cav in the last race at Rocky had awful form, yet they had it rated 2nd behind Browns Plains. It duly finished 2nd.

Sportz 18th January 2006 01:09 PM
CANT R4 - 3 GEELONG MAJESTIQUE, 2 MONSOON SUNRISE (3,2,5,6 - 4,8)
CANT R7 - 1 EASTWEST SUCCESS (EW) (dangers 3 & 4) (1,3,4,6 - 2,7)
CRAN R6 - 2 CAN LAGO, 5 RUBITON RAIDER (2,5,1,7 - 3,10)
CRAN R7 - 3 MAHR
CRAN R8 - 8 PERFECT FEELING, 2 SATIN CHOICE (8,2,5,4 - 7,3)

Also backed All Black Gold at Canterbury, but having it's first start, I wasn't quite confident enough to list it here.

Sportz 18th January 2006 03:52 PM
Not much in the way of value today. I didn't expect Mahr to be odds-on. She wasn't any value at that price. Looks like Perfect Feeling might be short too.

Sportz 18th January 2006 04:03 PM
********** day today. I'll just write this off as one of those days. :rolleyes:

Stix 18th January 2006 04:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
********** day today. I'll just write this off as one of those days. :rolleyes:
Good to see you are mortal..........!! :D

Sportz 18th January 2006 04:24 PM
Yes, can we just pretend today never happened. What a shocker! :o

Sportz 19th January 2006 12:27 PM
A very ordinary day's racing today and I'm not too keen.

I think perhaps you could look at Ballarat R8 as a good betting race. My ratings have 2 Deign To Dance & 9 Mrs Pike on top. I think they both could be good value today. Was impressed by Deign To Dance last time. The main dangers I think will be 1 & 3. If you concentrate around those 4 horses, hopefully you should be close to the mark.

Ratings:
43.5 - 2 DEIGN TO DANCE
43.0 - 9 MRS PIKE
40.5 - 3 Namibia
39.0 - 1 Wyndham Fortune
39.0 - 6 Aelstreet
38.0 - 4 Nyneleven
37.5 - 5 Octavelent
35.5 - 10 Nouveau

Tips:
BALL R8 - 2 DEIGN TO DANCE ($3.00) & 9 MRS PIKE ($4.00) (dangers 1 & 3)

A few other races I'm looking at, but I think they might not be value:
BALL R2 - 4 JOCK O' THE SIDE ($2.50) (danger 2)
TOWN R3 - 2 PREMIUM DRY ($2.20) (danger 1)
GRAF R6 - 1 ASHBURY ($2.80) (dangers 2 & 3)

Sportz 19th January 2006 03:21 PM
Perhaps I should have concentrated on R6 at Ballarat instead. I had them rated this way:

46.0 - 7 Damos Rose
45.0 - 3 Destina
43.0 - 9 Moonlight Bandit
42.5 - 6 Sexy Lady
34.5 - 2 Flying Grange
33.0 - 1 Karikuri

Meanwhile, it's now a slow track at Grafton, so I'm not as confident about my selections in Race 6 there. These changing track conditions are a real pain.

Stix 19th January 2006 04:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
A very ordinary day's racing today and I'm not too keen.

I think perhaps you could look at Ballarat R8 as a good betting race. My ratings have 2 Deign To Dance & 9 Mrs Pike on top. I think they both could be good value today. Was impressed by Deign To Dance last time. The main dangers I think will be 1 & 3. If you concentrate around those 4 horses, hopefully you should be close to the mark.

Ratings:
43.5 - 2 DEIGN TO DANCE
43.0 - 9 MRS PIKE
40.5 - 3 Namibia
39.0 - 1 Wyndham Fortune
39.0 - 6 Aelstreet
38.0 - 4 Nyneleven
37.5 - 5 Octavelent
35.5 - 10 Nouveau

Tips:
BALL R8 - 2 DEIGN TO DANCE ($3.00) & 9 MRS PIKE ($4.00) (dangers 1 & 3)

A few other races I'm looking at, but I think they might not be value:
BALL R2 - 4 JOCK O' THE SIDE ($2.50) (danger 2)
TOWN R3 - 2 PREMIUM DRY ($2.20) (danger 1)
GRAF R6 - 1 ASHBURY ($2.80) (dangers 2 & 3)

Well done Sportz.


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