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Sportz 28th March 2007 04:03 PM

Don't think I'll be posting the so called "value" selections any more. They're proving to be no value at all at the moment, because they've fallen in a complete hole!!! I think they're actually still showing a profit since I started posting them, but even so, they're not proving worthwhile at the moment.

All I was trying to do with this was pick out one of the top rated runners which I thought would end up being a good value each-way bet. But in many cases, by the time the race comes, it isn't any value, or one of the other top raters simply ends up being a better bet. And it was proving to be difficult in some races to choose the best value bet. For example, in R7 in Sydney today, I tossed up between Sir Interdane and Fancyfree as the "value" bet and look what happened.

In future, I WILL probably post some betting suggestions for each race, but I won't pick out just one "value" selection.

Sportz 28th March 2007 04:36 PM

As opposed to the value selections however, the multi selections have gone really well today!

Sportz 31st March 2007 10:27 AM

ROSE R1 (NEVILLE SELLWOOD STKS)
RT . ODDS . HORSE
33 . $3.0 . 2 MOLOTOV
28 . $3.6 . 1 COALESCE
12 . $8.3 . 4 AMIANAN
11 . $9.1 . 3 ZILZIE
5 . $20.0 . 12 RAHEIGHTS
5 . $20.0 . 7 AUSBRED KING
-----
3 . $33.3 . 9 PITA HAPA
2 . $50.0 . 5 RED ROBERT
1 . $100.0 . 11 PRINCE OF MIDNIGHT

C/W RT: 1 COALESCE ( 1-2-4-3 )
FRM RT: 2 MOLOTOV * ( 2-1-12-3 )

COMMENT: 2 MOLOTOV looks good here. Has top form for this. 1 COALESCE the danger. The best value runner could be 12 RAHEIGHTS.

MULTIS: ( 1,2,3,4,12 ) OR ( 1,2,3,4 – 1,2,3,4,7,12 ) OR ( 1,2 – 1,2,3,4,5,7,9,11,12 )



ROSE R2 (THE SCHWEPPERVESCENCE)
RT . ODDS . HORSE
43 . $2.3 . 11 BIG JOKER
21 . $4.8 . 4 NEW EDGE
12 . $8.3 . 2 MUSTARD
10 . $10.0 . 6 DOUBLE DARE
10 . $10.0 . 5 KING REX
-----
2 . $50.0 . 1 CATECLIPSE
2 . $50.0 . 7 SUNSET RUN
1 . $100.0 . 3 UBER

C/W RT: 11 BIG JOKER ( 11-4-5-2 )
FRM RT: 11 BIG JOKER * ( 11-6-4-2 )

COMMENT: 11 BIG JOKER is the obvious top pick here. In top form and Beadman on. 6 DOUBLE DARE could be good value. The top 5 raters look the ones.

MULTIS: ( 2,4,5,6,11 ) OR ( 11 – field )



ROSE R3 (TULLOCH STKS)
RT . ODDS . HORSE
25 . $4.0 . 4 RAHEEB
18 . $5.6 . 2 TIPUNGWUTI
15 . $6.7 . 5 VIEWED
15 . $6.7 . 1 DANEVER
8 . $12.5 . 10 RED LORD
8 . $12.5 . 11 MUSAYTIR
6 . $16.7 . 7 CARNEGIE HOUSE
-----
2 . $50.0 . 8 RULING POWER
1 . $100.0 . 13 PACINO
1 . $100.0 . 12 KING OF THE NILE
1 . $100.0 . 3 TURBAN
1 . $100.0 . 9 TURFISTE

C/W RT: 2 TIPUNGWUTI / 4 RAHEEB ( 2/4-1-11 )
FRM RT: 5 VIEWED ( 5-10-4-7 )

COMMENT: 5 VIEWED represents good value here in a very open race. 4 RAHEEB the obvious danger and 7 CARNEGIE HOUSE is a good outside hope.

MULTIS: ( 1,2,4,5,10 ) OR ( 1,2,4,5 - 1,2,4,5,10,11 ) OR ( 2,4,5 – 1,2,4,5,7,10,11 )

Sportz 31st March 2007 11:27 AM

ROSE R5 (THE BMW)
RT . ODDS . HORSE
28 . $3.6 . 1 DESERT WAR
24 . $4.2 . 2 RAILINGS
13 . $7.7 . 14 GORKY PARK
8 . $12.5 . 12 SAFWA
6 . $16.7 . 9 BLUTIGEROO
6 . $16.7 . 6 CONFECTIONER
-----
4 . $25.0 . 8 PENTANE
4 . $25.0 . 5 CASUAL PASS
3 . $33.3 . 10 SOULACROIX
2 . $50.0 . 4 GRAND ZULU
2 . $50.0 . 13 TERANABA
1 . $100.0 . 11 DESERT MASTER

C/W RT: 1 DESERT WAR ( 1-2-14-6 )
FRM RT: 2 RAILINGS ( 2-14-12-1 )

COMMENT: 1 DESERT WAR and 2 RAILINGS are the top picks here. However, 14 GORKY PARK and 12 SAFWA could both prove to be good each way value.

MULTIS: ( 1,2,9,12,14 ) OR ( 1,2,12,14 – 1,2,6,9,12,14 ) OR ( 1,2 – 1,2,5,6,8,9,12,14 )



ROSE R7 (GOLDEN SLIPPER STKS)
RT . ODDS . HORSE
23 . $4.3 . 1 MURTAJILL
17 . $5.9 . 3 SHAFT
11 . $9.1 . 9 PRESS THE BUTTON
11 . $9.1 . 12 SLEEK CHASSIS
9 . $11.1 . 2 MEURICE
7 . $14.3 . 5 ZIZOU
7 . $14.3 . 13 HURRIED CHOICE
-----
6 . $16.7 . 16 FORENSICS
6 . $16.7 . 11 CHINCHILLA ROSE
2 . $50.0 . 10 DOWNHILL RACER
1 . $100.0 . 4 DEFERENTIAL
1 . $100.0 . 14 ROSE CEREMONY

C/W RT: 3 SHAFT ( 3-1-9-2 )
FRM RT: 1 MURTAJILL ( 1-13-5-3 )

COMMENT: Very open race with many chances. No firm opinion, but if 1 MURTAJILL and 12 SLEEK CHASSIS get out to good odds due to the wide barriers, they could be the ones to back. I also think 5 ZIZOU could represent a good value bet.

MULTIS: ( 1,2,3,5,9,12 ) OR ( 1,3,9,12 – 1,2,3,5,9,12,13 ) OR ( 1,3 – 1,2,3,5,9,11,12,13,16 )



ROSE R8 (QUEEN OF THE TURF STKS)
RT . ODDS . HORSE
29 . $3.4 . 2 DIVINE MADONNA
18 . $5.6 . 4 DOUBTING
15 . $6.7 . 13 ANAMATO
12 . $8.3 . 14 CHEEKY CHOICE
6 . $16.7 . 8 STORM ALERT
5 . $20.0 . 15 ABSOLUTELYFABULOUS
5 . $20.0 . 5 REGAL CHEER
-----
3 . $33.3 . 1 REWAAYA
2 . $50.0 . 3 FASHIONS AFIELD
2 . $50.0 . 12 SHIRL PEGASUS
2 . $50.0 . 7 BEAUTY WATCH
1 . $100.0 . 10 KOSI BAY
1 . $100.0 . 16 AMORY LANE

C/W RT: 2 DIVINE MADONNA ( 2-4-13-15 )
FRM RT: 2 DIVINE MADONNA ( 2-14-4-13 )

COMMENT: 2 DIVINE MADONNA and 4 DOUBTING are the top picks here. I also feel that 14 CHEEKY CHOICE and 13 ANAMATO could both represent good each way value. Work mainly around those four.

MULTIS: ( 2,4,8,13,14,15 ) OR ( 2,4,13,14 – 2,4,5,8,13,14,15 ) OR ( 2,4 – 1,2,3,4,5,8,13,14,15 )



ROSE R9 (ROYAL PARMA STKS)
RT . ODDS . HORSE
37 . $2.7 . 2 SWICK
17 . $5.9 . 6 FLAMING
15 . $6.7 . 8 MYSTERY CITY
12 . $8.3 . 11 MR UBIQUITOUS
6 . $16.7 . 7 HASSLE
4 . $25.0 . 10 SPURUSON
-----
3 . $33.3 . 13 ACCUMULATE
3 . $33.3 . 5 PHILOSOPHE
2 . $50.0 . 9 DIAMOND SUN
1 . $100.0 . 12 A COUNTRY GIRL

C/W RT: 2 SWICK ( 2-6-8-11 )
FRM RT: 2 SWICK * ( 2-11-7-10 )

COMMENT: 2 SWICK is the clear top pick here. May end up being too short though. 11 MR UBIQUITOUS could be the better value.

MULTIS: ( 2,6,7,8,11 ) OR ( 2,6,8,11 – 2,6,7,8,10,11 ) OR ( 2,6 – 2,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,13 )

Sportz 31st March 2007 12:05 PM

DOOM R5
RT . ODDS . HORSE
19 . $5.3 . 7 CHEVRON ISLAND
17 . $5.9 . 6 PRIMAL IMPULSE
11 . $9.1 . 16 DIGGING DEEP
11 . $9.1 . 5 SAMMYS ILLUSION
9 . $11.1 . 4 SOCIALIST
9 . $11.1 . 8 SIR SUCCESS
-----
8 . $12.5 . 2 ELEGANT ROI
8 . $12.5 . 15 DAWN'S PRIDE
7 . $14.3 . 1 MR HORNBLOWER
1 . $100.0 . 14 DANCE HUNTER

C/W RT: 6 PRIMAL IMPULSE ( 6-5-2-8 )
FRM RT: 7 CHEVRON ISLAND

COMMENT: The ratings suggest this is a wide open race. I personally like the chances of 7 CHEVRON ISLAND and 16 DIGGING DEEP. I think they'll both represent value.

MULTIS: ( 4,5,6,7,16 ) OR ( 5,6,7,16 – 4,5,6,7,8,16 ) OR ( 6,7 – 1,2,4,5,6,7,8,15,16 )



DOOM R6
RT . ODDS . HORSE
36 . $2.8 . 2 TROPIQUALO
28 . $3.6 . 3 FOREVER AMEN
19 . $5.3 . 1 SAN FRANFRISCO
6 . $16.7 . 5 LION SAFARI
5 . $20.0 . 6 ALIFLY
3 . $33.3 . 10 ORRONG
-----
1 . $100.0 . 4 QUALO
1 . $100.0 . 11 SLICK OPERATOR
1 . $100.0 . 7 BUTTOUT

C/W RT: 2 TROPIQUALO ( 2-1-3-6 )
FRM RT: 3 FOREVER AMEN ( 3-2-1-5 )

COMMENT: Not really keen, but 2 TROPIQUALO and 3 FOREVER AMEN look the best of a bad lot.

MULTIS: ( 1,2,3,5,6 ) OR ( 1,2,3 – 1,2,3,5,6,10 )



DOOM R7
RT . ODDS . HORSE
40 . $2.5 . 1 TELLEM
23 . $4.3 . 13 NOBLE GAZE
11 . $9.1 . 3 WARRIOR TRADER
8 . $12.5 . 4 BIRTHDAY BASH
7 . $14.3 . 2 DAMIGOS
4 . $25.0 . 7 VOCALIC
4 . $25.0 . 10 BLOOD 'N' BONE
-----
1 . $100.0 . 8 PROUDLY AGRO
1 . $100.0 . 11 SONG TIME
1 . $100.0 . 12 CENTENN
1 . $100.0 . 6 BOHEMIAN DANCER

C/W RT: 1 TELLEM ( 1-13-3-4 )
FRM RT: 1 TELLEM * ( 1-13-3-4 )

COMMENT: 1 TELLEM is clearly the top pick here. In great form. 13 NOBLE GAZE looks like a good value bet. Keen on these two.

MULTIS: ( 1,2,3,4,13 ) OR ( 1,3,13 – 1,2,3,4,7,10,13 )

Sportz 31st March 2007 01:09 PM

M.VAL R6
RT . ODDS . HORSE
45 . $2.2 . 14 NEDIYM'S GLOW
15 . $6.7 . 6 ORANGE COUNTY
15 . $6.7 . 5 THE LANZ
7 . $14.3 . 4 ROADHOG
4 . $25.0 . 2 VOLITANT
4 . $25.0 . 10 ISANAMI
-----
3 . $33.3 . 8 JUGGLE THE BOOKS
3 . $33.3 . 13 PINIONS
2 . $50.0 . 3 COOL TRENT
2 . $50.0 . 7 HIGH COSTALANA
1 . $100.0 . 11 ISLE OF MAJORCA

C/W RT: 14 NEDIYM'S GLOW * ( 14-6-5-4 )
FRM RT: 14 NEDIYM'S GLOW * ( 14-5-6-4 )

COMMENT: 14 NEDIYM'S GLOW is the top pick here. But I feel that 6 ORANGE COUNTY could prove to be good value. 5 THE LANZ also an each way chance.

MULTIS: ( 2,4,5,6,14 ) OR ( 5,6,14 – 2,4,5,6,10,14 ) OR ( 6,14 – 2,4,5,6,8,10,13,14 )



M.VAL R7
RT . ODDS . HORSE
27 . $3.7 . 7 FEARLESS WATERS
26 . $3.8 . 11 STAR ROSE
12 . $8.3 . 5 WILDLIFE GIRL
12 . $8.3 . 9 AL ANOOD
11 . $9.1 . 3 PINSEMTOIT
8 . $12.5 . 10 DANASIERRA
-----
3 . $33.3 . 14 MISS RUBITON
1 . $100.0 . 1 RED FOR LOU

C/W RT: 11 STAR ROSE ( 11-7-3-5 )
FRM RT: 7 FEARLESS WATERS ( 1-10-11-5 )

COMMENT: All of the top 6 raters have a chance here. 7 FEARLESS WATERS the top pick, but 5 WILDLIFE GIRL and 11 STAR ROSE could turn out to be good each way value.

MULTIS: ( 5,7,9,11 – 3,5,7,9,10,11 ) OR ( 3,5,7,9,10,11 )



M.VAL R8
RT . ODDS . HORSE
29 . $3.4 . 7 BIANOMOUR
26 . $3.8 . 8 PURPLE CHOCOLATE
19 . $5.3 . 1 SARRERA
16 . $6.3 . 12 HI ON LOVE
5 . $20.0 . 5 WINTROW
4 . $25.0 . 3 LIFE'S A BOUNTY
-----
1 . $100.0 . 2 SHORT PAUSE
1 . $100.0 . 10 DOLPHIN JO

C/W RT: 7 BIANOMOUR ( 7-8-1-12 )
FRM RT: 8 PURPLE CHOCOLATE ( 8-12-1-7 )

COMMENT: An even race between the top 4 raters. Look for value. 1 SARRERA and 7 BIANOMOUR possibly the best value.

MULTIS: ( 1,7,8,12 – 1,3,5,7,8,12 ) OR ( 1,5,7,8,12 )

Sportz 31st March 2007 01:27 PM

MORP R4
RT . ODDS . HORSE
30 . $3.3 . 4 IVORTOV
20 . $5.0 . 11 VICELLO
15 . $6.7 . 1 JEUNE'S REIGN
13 . $7.7 . 2 TORA TORA TORA
12 . $8.3 . 3 ZYLVESTER
6 . $16.7 . 9 TALANTO
-----
3 . $33.3 . 12 AKRIS
1 . $100.0 . 6 LIGHTNING LILLY
1 . $100.0 . 5 CLEARVIEW BAY

C/W RT: 11 VICELLO ( 11-2-1-4 )
FRM RT: 4 IVORTOV * ( 4-3-1-11 )

COMMENT: 4 IVORTOV is the top pick here. Each way value in 11 VICELLO. Concentrate on the top 5 raters.

MULTIS: ( 1,2,3,4,11 ) OR ( 1,4,11 – 1,2,3,4,9,11 )



MORP R6 (AURARIA STKS)
RT . ODDS . HORSE
33 . $3.0 . 2 DEVIL MOON
26 . $3.8 . 9 ANNA JOY
16 . $6.3 . 1 DE LAGO MIST
11 . $9.1 . 6 ZEDAZEST
4 . $25.0 . 12 ADEQUATE
3 . $33.3 . 11 NISHA
-----
2 . $50.0 . 4 CLASSIC TRUCE
1 . $100.0 . 8 TAHNEE TANGO
1 . $100.0 . 13 CUBAN GIRL
1 . $100.0 . 15 CASUAL KISS
1 . $100.0 . 16 OLNISTTO

C/W RT: 2 DEVIL MOON ( 2-9-6-1 )
FRM RT: 9 ANNA JOY ( 9-2-1-12 )

COMMENT: Look for value amongst the top 3 raters here. They should hold the key to the race.I Like 9 ANNA JOY just ahead of the other 2.

MULTIS: ( 1,2,6,9,12 ) OR ( 1,2,9 – 1,2,4,6,9,11,12 )



MORP R7 (CLIPSAL ELECTRICAL CLASSIC)
RT . ODDS . HORSE
37 . $2.7 . 2 FLYING OBJECT
22 . $4.5 . 4 BOLD LINE
17 . $5.9 . 6 SORENSTAM
12 . $8.3 . 1 AMYJAYE POWER
3 . $33.3 . 11 TERANGO
3 . $33.3 . 12 AMICI FOREVER
-----
2 . $50.0 . 9 WILD HERO
2 . $50.0 . 14 SEBRLE
1 . $100.0 . 3 AERATED
1 . $100.0 . 10 AKHATON

C/W RT: 2 FLYING OBJECT ( 2-4-6-1 )
FRM RT: 2 FLYING OBJECT * ( 2-6-4-1 )

COMMENT: 2 FLYING OBJECT is the clear top pick here. In top form. 6 SORENSTAM and 1 AMYJAYE POWER could be worth an each way bet.

MULTIS: ( 1,2,4,6 – 1,2,4,6,11,12 ) OR ( 2,4,6 – 1,2,4,6,9,11,12 ) OR ( 2,4 – 1,2,4,6,9,11,12,14 )

Sportz 31st March 2007 01:54 PM

ASCOT R6 (STRICKLAND STKS)
RT . ODDS . HORSE
39 . $2.6 . 10 KEYTON GRACE
25 . $4.0 . 4 BELARUS
16 . $6.3 . 1 BLACK TOM
13 . $7.7 . 7 FOREST FROLIC
3 . $33.3 . 6 STORMBLITZ
-----
1 . $100.0 . 2 SCENIC ASSAULT
1 . $100.0 . 9 BEHN SCENIC
1 . $100.0 . 8 MAFEKING
1 . $100.0 . 5 CAT IN A HAT

C/W RT: 10 KEYTON GRACE ( 10-4-1-7 )
FRM RT: 10 KEYTON GRACE * ( 10-4-7-1 )

COMMENT: 10 KEYTON GRACE is the top pick here. 5 BELARUS the danger. 7 FOREST FROLIC could be good value.

MULTIS: ( 1,4,6,7,10 )



ASCOT R7 (WA DERBY)
RT . ODDS . HORSE
29 . $3.4 . 2 NEW SPICE
23 . $4.3 . 12 WESTERLY BREEZE
18 . $5.6 . 3 GUYNO
13 . $7.7 . 14 DANTE'S DASH
7 . $14.3 . 1 MANSION HOUSE
7 . $14.3 . 7 BALLACK
-----
2 . $50.0 . 13 METRO MISS
1 . $100.0 . 9 DVORYAN

C/W RT: 2 NEW SPICE ( 2-12-3-1 )
FRM RT: 14 DANTE'S DASH ( 14-3-2-7 )

COMMENT: 2 NEW SPICE is the top pick here. In top form for this. 2 horses which could represent each way value are 14 DANTE'S DASH and 7 BALLACK.

MULTIS: ( 2,3,12,14 – 1,2,3,7,12,14 )



ASCOT R8 (KARRAKATTA PLATE)
RT . ODDS . HORSE
52 . $1.9 . 5 JESTATUNE
14 . $7.1 . 3 SCENIC BLAST
14 . $7.1 . 7 CHINAMORA
6 . $16.7 . 9 ARMANJENA
5 . $20.0 . 6 SECRET VAULT
4 . $25.0 . 1 MIGHTY MAK
-----
3 . $33.3 . 10 BALEEN MAGIC
2 . $50.0 . 4 ROMAN TIME

C/W RT: 5 JESTATUNE * ( 5-3-7-9 )
FRM RT: 5 JESTATUNE * ( 5-7-3-1 )

COMMENT: 5 JESTATUNE looks close to a good thing here, but the price will probably reflect that. 3 SCENIC BLAST and 7 CHINAMORA could be good each way value.

MULTIS: ( 3,5,7 – 1,3,5,6,7,9 ) OR ( 3,5 – 1,3,4,5,6,7,9,10 ) OR ( 5 – field )

Sportz 31st March 2007 03:02 PM

As per usual, Brisbane is proving to be tough. :(

Hope perhaps someone had the trifecta and/or first4 in the BMW. Nice dividend. No good in the Slipper, but I did have the top 4 all rated under $20. So the result wasn't a total shock.

Sportz 31st March 2007 03:58 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
MORP R7 (CLIPSAL ELECTRICAL CLASSIC)
MULTIS: ( 1,2,4,6 – 1,2,4,6,11,12 ) OR ( 2,4,6 – 1,2,4,6,9,11,12 ) OR ( 2,4 – 1,2,4,6,9,11,12,14 )


:eek:


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