Looking at our data (the whole lot) from 5/3/2010 the picture that emerges supports something I have been saying all along. The market is getting smarter all the time. This is the analysis of NSW TOTE average prices of all horses by Year and Quarters. Gone down from $8.30 to $7.70 over 4 years
Code:
Year Value Bets Wins SR Collect Avg POT Profit Outs
2010 130722 12429 9.5% $103,124.70 $8.30 -21.11% -$27,597.30 27
2011 162321 15466 9.5% $127,360.08 $8.20 -21.54% -$34,960.92 27
2012 162219 15999 9.9% $125,096.82 $7.80 -22.88% -$37,122.18 28
2013 165680 16471 9.9% $127,014.68 $7.70 -23.34% -$38,665.32 27
2014 9344 956 10.2% $7,311.50 $7.60 -21.75% -$2,032.50 23
Quarters Value Bets Wins SR Collect Avg POT Profit Outs
2010 Q1 12044 1147 9.5% $9,189.50 $8.00 -23.70% -$2,854.50 24
2010 Q2 41414 3860 9.3% $32,726.30 $8.50 -20.98% -$8,687.70 27
2010 Q3 38174 3602 9.4% $30,749.30 $8.50 -19.45% -$7,424.70 27
2010 Q4 39090 3820 9.8% $30,459.60 $8.00 -22.08% -$8,630.40 27
2011 Q1 40173 3821 9.5% $31,833.70 $8.30 -20.76% -$8,339.30 25
2011 Q2 41405 3855 9.3% $32,278.90 $8.40 -22.04% -$9,126.10 27
2011 Q3 38918 3621 9.3% $30,086.30 $8.30 -22.69% -$8,831.70 27
2011 Q4 41825 4169 10.0% $33,161.18 $8.00 -20.71% -$8,663.82 24
2012 Q1 40980 4056 9.9% $32,334.32 $8.00 -21.10% -$8,645.68 28
2012 Q2 40617 3839 9.5% $30,884.78 $8.00 -23.96% -$9,732.22 28
2012 Q3 39400 3819 9.7% $30,914.28 $8.10 -21.54% -$8,485.72 26
2012 Q4 41222 4285 10.4% $30,963.44 $7.20 -24.89% -$10,258.56 25
2013 Q1 40570 4180 10.3% $31,297.94 $7.50 -22.85% -$9,272.06 25
2013 Q2 42239 4058 9.6% $31,493.00 $7.80 -25.44% -$10,746.00 27
2013 Q3 41249 3978 9.6% $32,720.44 $8.20 -20.68% -$8,528.56 26
2013 Q4 41622 4255 10.2% $31,503.30 $7.40 -24.31% -$10,118.70 26
2014 Q1 9344 956 10.2% $7,311.50 $7.60 -21.75% -$2,032.50 23
As a side note I have never analysed 603,000 + horses. It was both great to see that Axis can do it without bogging down (took 9 min) and note that no one ever would have systems that would total even a quarter of those selections so I am happy to reaffirm that Axis is system testing 'capacity safe' for the next 100 years or more.:)