OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums

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-   -   How do you determine value ? (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=10545)

william 9th August 2005 08:34 PM

The formula for determining one’s advantage (or disadvantage) on any given wager, is as follows: winning percentage x (average winning odds + 1.0). So that when you have a 40% win expectation and average winning odds of 2-1, this becomes .40 x 3 = 1.20 over 1.0, or 20 per cent overlay. Your bet thus becomes a multiple or a fraction of the number
20 (according to the size of your bankroll). If your overlay advantage were 10 %, you would then wager by betting a multiple or a fraction of the number 10.

Sportz 9th August 2005 08:52 PM

Whatever it was you just said William, it sure sounded impressive. :D


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