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-   -   Makybe Diva WILL win the Melbourne Cup (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=11323)

Sportz 6th October 2005 07:47 PM

Chuck, for exactly the same reason, God's Own will win the Guineas and Super Kid will win the Toorak. :o

Chuck 6th October 2005 07:47 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Raw Instinct
The only early bets I have had have been involved in doubles nothing massive bet wise but the odds were not to bad at the time I think one I had was Vouvray to win the Caulfield Cup and Railings to win the Melbourne Cup at $465-1 for $10 obviously if that by some miracle gets up then I will be ecstatic. The same bet right now sits at $170-1 so I guess if nothing else I also got some great value compared to now but only if both horses end up starting in the cups that is the chance you take. I also had $5 e/w on Railings for the MC at $61-1 he is now $17-1 that looks alright to the ting that worries me about Railings is the fact that I don't think Hawkes has ever trained a cup winner might be wrong there I also doubt he has really had a horse that could win certainly recently anyway.


mate i had the same bet but @ $451..... i had big bets on railings in both cups before the carnival started so plusses there as well. I notice you and me were the only two people in the Fantasy racing comp that had railings in their 1st stable lol

mad 6th October 2005 07:52 PM

Don't forget Dizelle, me thinks she deserves as much of a mention as anything else.

BORDI 6th October 2005 07:52 PM

hey chuck,


what u mean left it out of ur stable?

does ne1 have ne solid tips on the thousand guinneas. i dont know much about this rewaaya but i know mnemosyne is a big chance. has anyone got sectionals and recent class ones etc. on the two??

cheers

matt..

mad 6th October 2005 07:58 PM

Rewaaya is good Bordi, real good. I took her on recently at Moonee Valley and she absolutely blew them away. My suggestion is that she'll be too good for mnemosyne.

Raw Instinct 6th October 2005 08:06 PM

Rewaaya is still improving possibly headed for the Oaks has one of the best turn of foot I have seen being out of an At Talaq mare it would suggest she should get over a bit of ground atleast. Mnemosyne on the other hand looks asthough it might be on the way out this prep I would think that her Thousand Guineas run will be her last regardless of whether she wins or not I would back Rewaaya out of either of those and that is saying something I usually will not touch favs.

Sportz 6th October 2005 08:11 PM

Raw,

I'm normally dead against betting early on the cups as so much can go wrong. That's why I decided to only bet a grand total of just $20 for a bit of fun on four horses I thought were value at that early stage.

I actually liked the chances of Accumulate, so I had him and Vinnie Roe for the Melbourne Cup. And I picked out Matras and Tick By for the Caulfield Cup. I can sure pick 'em, cant I? :rolleyes:

Sportz 6th October 2005 08:16 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by BORDI
hey chuck,

what u mean left it out of ur stable?


He's talking about the Fantasy Racing game that I'm running on this forum.

At the last minute, I left God's Own and Super Kid out of my stable as well. That's why I reckon they'll probably win this week too. :o

Raw Instinct 6th October 2005 08:21 PM

I usually have a bit of a go at the doubles early on but rarely anything else unless it is above 50-1. I got the Cox plate Melbourne Cup double there a couple of years back with Fields of Omagh and Makybe Diva. Got the Double with St.Basil and Portland Singa in the Straddie and Brisbane Cup this year other than that though nothing mind you for $20 worth of bets there I was lucky enough to get just under $2000 worth in return.

Sportz 6th October 2005 08:32 PM

For some reason, I don't usually go for the double. I really don't know why because I usually take out a couple of single bets on both cups in the week leading up to Caulfield and I have a pretty good record with them. A few times recently, I could have actually got the double if I had taken one. For example, Ethereal's year and also with Mummify/Makybe Diva and Elvstroem/Makybe Diva. Never mind, the single wins have been okay.


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