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-   -   Favourites Plan??? (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=1162)

Equine Investor 12th July 2002 08:43 PM

Yes becareful, this is SuperTAB dividends.

But beware, as this is only a relatively small sample, but I am working on a larger sample as we speak!

Equine Investor 12th July 2002 11:33 PM

My eyes are weary,
My fingers numb,
My friend's idea sucks,
Now I am glum!

Seriously, this was looking great til I ran it over 1,000 races...has taken me most of the afternoon, evening and night!

33% win rate only.
Average Dividend $2.67.
Level stakes loss - 11.89%

Ho Hum...back to the drawing board.

Maybe with filters, but I dunno.

Maybe I'll shout him a beer, looks like he's gonna need it when I break the news.

:sad: :sad: :sad:



hermes 13th July 2002 12:39 AM

I know the experience of getting excited about a small sample and working tirelessly on a bigger one only to find what you feared all along.

I note there are services that test systems. Ridiculously expensive for just testing out an idea.

Is there nowhere you can buy a ready-made data base of a decent sample of past races with TAB prices etc so you can test a theory without the thumb work? There are a lot of punters testing a lot of systems all the time. Someone must market a database.

Or is having dozens of old form guides spread out over your loungue room floor for whole afternoons a commonplace throughout the country?

Hermes

Bhagwan 13th July 2002 12:07 PM

Heres a filter you can try.
Last start winners who happen to be Favs today have a 35% strike rate .

20% of winners, regardless of price ,were last start winners.



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