OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums

OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/index.php)
-   Horse Racing (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/forumdisplay.php?f=5)
-   -   Real Deals Trifecta System (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=12581)

Ade 16th February 2006 02:14 PM

Great system you got mate. I'll plunk $1 on this trifecta you got suggested on MR5 at Ballarat.

How much would that cost me?

Good luck to all that has invested. Good luck with your system real deal.

Real Deal 16th February 2006 02:19 PM

$42 for $1. Favourite backed off the planet.

Stix 16th February 2006 02:22 PM

doh...... always next race....... Geez the fav went well. Toyed with them a little bit... went when needed

Sportz 16th February 2006 02:24 PM

Well, it was a very easy trifecta to get, but it paid accordingly. :)

Ade 16th February 2006 02:29 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Real Deal
$42 for $1. Favourite backed off the planet.

hmmm even if it won and got up (number 6) I think I would of lost money, as the Dividend on WA TAB paid $18.80.

Real Deal 16th February 2006 02:40 PM

Well we have started off on the wrong foot.

1 selection

-$21.


I am sticking to metro meetings. Stay tuned.

Stix 16th February 2006 03:27 PM

Expectations
 
Real

What are your expectaions for the system, based on your past experience?

I guess if you are betting on a "special" or in some instances a "tip", and also considering field-field strategy, then (IMHO) a strike rate of say 25 - 35% would be acceptable.

Surely a strike rate of around 30% would produce a profit... maybe Marcus's analysis will prove this to be true or otherwise.

Anyway, good luck and welcome to the "Cauldron" that is....."posting" on this Forum

Real Deal 17th February 2006 07:01 AM

Stix, With regards to past results and expectations i would say its fair to assume that a 50% strike rate is what i am after, Anything as low 33% may still provide a profit but when i'm selecting minimal horses who i think are the best winning chances over the whole card then i am hoping to hit more often than not.

Real Deal 17th February 2006 09:04 AM

Just 2 today at Flemington.

Race 1 Number 1 Flame of sydney

$20 for $1 unit

Race 2 Number 2 Anais

$20 for $1 unit.

Betting a full unit today due to field sizes.

Merriguy 17th February 2006 09:19 AM

Interesting thread, guys --- but I can't see you getting any big returns by backing the favourite with the field in races with only six starters :( The maths simply don't work out. The fields have to be bigger; or the standout has to be other than the favourite or near favourite.


All times are GMT +10. The time now is 05:05 PM.

Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.