Great system you got mate. I'll plunk $1 on this trifecta you got suggested on MR5 at Ballarat.
How much would that cost me? Good luck to all that has invested. Good luck with your system real deal. |
$42 for $1. Favourite backed off the planet.
|
doh...... always next race....... Geez the fav went well. Toyed with them a little bit... went when needed
|
Well, it was a very easy trifecta to get, but it paid accordingly. :)
|
Quote:
hmmm even if it won and got up (number 6) I think I would of lost money, as the Dividend on WA TAB paid $18.80. |
Well we have started off on the wrong foot.
1 selection -$21. I am sticking to metro meetings. Stay tuned. |
Expectations
Real
What are your expectaions for the system, based on your past experience? I guess if you are betting on a "special" or in some instances a "tip", and also considering field-field strategy, then (IMHO) a strike rate of say 25 - 35% would be acceptable. Surely a strike rate of around 30% would produce a profit... maybe Marcus's analysis will prove this to be true or otherwise. Anyway, good luck and welcome to the "Cauldron" that is....."posting" on this Forum |
Stix, With regards to past results and expectations i would say its fair to assume that a 50% strike rate is what i am after, Anything as low 33% may still provide a profit but when i'm selecting minimal horses who i think are the best winning chances over the whole card then i am hoping to hit more often than not.
|
Just 2 today at Flemington.
Race 1 Number 1 Flame of sydney $20 for $1 unit Race 2 Number 2 Anais $20 for $1 unit. Betting a full unit today due to field sizes. |
Interesting thread, guys --- but I can't see you getting any big returns by backing the favourite with the field in races with only six starters :( The maths simply don't work out. The fields have to be bigger; or the standout has to be other than the favourite or near favourite.
|
All times are GMT +10. The time now is 05:05 PM. |
Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.