OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums

OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/index.php)
-   Horse Racing (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/forumdisplay.php?f=5)
-   -   CRASH'S PLACE PLACE (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=12918)

crash 25th March 2006 07:53 AM

I've put most races in but the ones marked * are stakes races [only 1 out of 7 placed last week].
I haven't looked at days since last ran so the list can be reduced further if you like [ For Saturdays I'm changing the Days since last start rule to 7 or 14 days to improve fitness and to make sure it was a Sat runner last start].

I'm also using a bit of race reading so the rules are bendable a bit for my selections. No point in just putting down only the exact system tips. Anyone can do that themselves but I would keep the barrier and 16 days since last start rules in if you do. The rules are guide only for me especially on Sat. I chuck in some handicapping.

ROSEHILL
R1/4*, R2/3*, R3/2*, R4/4* R5/4*, R6/2*,R9/9*
R7/10 Prisoner of Love
R9/9 Picket Fence

DOOMBEN
R1/5 Saints Glory
R4/4 Leica Launch
R5/7 Any Suggestion
R6/2 Massai Pride
R7/5 Video hits
R8/8 Myndos

MOONEE VALLEY [barriers are important here for a lot of horses. Also some just don't like this track]
R1/4 Swinging Babe
R3/2 Final Express
R4/4 Miss Lyrebird
R5/4 De Capo [Zipping should easily win this but looking for a bit better place odds]
R6/4 Emerald Jack
R7/3 Fullazz
R8/9 Millie Rose

MORPHETVILLE [trick track. Inside draw very important at almost any distance, except for VERY strong back markers]

3/2 Finness Sea [strong back marker with a bit of class edge on this lot and might beat Wildlife Girl the Fav. and win this].
R4/6 Solitas [If he jumps cleanly he might win this. Has trouble at the gate but the much better jock might help here]
R7/12 The Hammer
R8/7 Brocco and Ice

We'll see how this little lot goes :-)

crash 25th March 2006 08:26 AM

Dump the Rosehill bets ....a SLOW track !!!

crash 25th March 2006 01:36 PM

DOOMBEN is 'dead'. Revised bets if anyone interested in Brisb.

R4/4 Leica Launch
R5/7 Any Suggestion
R7/5 Video hits

R4 Melb. Original selection scratched. Replacement is No.2 Hillfa

crash 25th March 2006 06:24 PM

I did not include rain affected tracks in my own bets [would have been a bad betting move after just checking results, especially the stakes races in Syd.]
I supplied the info for those interested only. Wet tracks and PP odds just don't go together.

MORPHETVILLE
3/2 Finness Sea [w $9.41 / p$2.37]
R4/6 Solitas [p $3.22]
R7/12 The Hammer
R8/7 Brocco and Ice

MOONEE VALLEY
R1/4 Swinging Babe
R3/2 Final Express
R4/ 2 Hillfa
R5/4 De Capo [p$2.17]
R6/4 Emerald Jack
R7/3 Fullazz [w $10.95 / p$3.03]
R8/9 Millie Rose

Moonee Valley proved very tough. Some close 4ths. all over the meetings.
I did take Finness Sea and Solitas e/w though but not Fullazz, so not a bad day [wins not included in totals].

Outlay today place 11 units. Return 10.79 units. Loss 0.21
Overall outlay 22 units. Return 25.19. Profit 3.19 units.

Can have a lot of fun with this method and not do much damage it seems.
I'll wring a profit out of this I think with a bit more experience.

crash 26th March 2006 07:20 AM

These are just straight handicapped place bets as it's a system rest day.

Cranbourne

R5/1 Itsamonty
R7/1 Palias
R9/7 Governor Macquarie
R10/7 Generals Command [might be worth an e/w bet].

crash 26th March 2006 06:11 PM

Should have left Sunday a rest day:-)

R5/1 Itsamonty [p$1.63]
R7/1 Palias
R9/7 Governor Macquarie
R10/7 Generals Command [Lost by a nostril. p$1.53].

Won 3.16 units. Loss 0.74

crash 27th March 2006 12:08 PM

After going over about 100pp race results again. I'm ignoring the weight rule and first up rule but keeping the no second up rule. If the PP fav. doesn't fit I ignore the race. Moving to the 2, 3rd, or 4th. fav. for a fit looked good, but in practice isn't.

Only 'good' track meeting from the 2 today is:

MON. 27TH. TATURA

R5/1 GENERAL MACKJOSH
R6/2 SHERBORNE
R7/5 CHIMINERA
R8/6 DONE AND DUSTED

crash 27th March 2006 05:53 PM

MON. 27TH. TATURA

R5/1 GENERAL MACKJOSH [w $1.96/ p$1.11]
R6/2 SHERBORNE[unp] This is the one I would have left out. 3 tries at this distance for zero. I just wanted to go back and stick to some set rules and take things from there so I left him in].
R7/5 CHIMINERA [p$1.21]
R8/6 DONE AND DUSTED [p$1.64]

Total return 3.96 units. Crap odds today for a loss of 0.04. We'll improve on that I think and start making money soon, rather than treading water.

crash 28th March 2006 11:28 AM

Only one 'good' track today.

TOWNSVILLE

R2/1 ZIPSNIP
R7/7 DANCING NIGHT

The R3 selection has been removed at 11.50am. [r3 only has 6 runners].

crash 29th March 2006 06:48 AM

For those who picked up the scrubbed tip, you did well.

------------------------------------------------------------------------

BR3 RACE 3 HANSON BRICKWORK CLASS 6 1630m
12:13pm [PP prices yesterday morning]

1 2041 EAGLE REIGN ta 3 B YOUNG 58.5 $2.80 *

2 8x64 SETO STAR td 1 N DAY 58.5 $3.00

3 6425 STRIDERITE t 6 A COX 58.5 $3.80

4 7353 GIVE AND TELL 4 MS T BANNON 57 $8.00

5 1472 POWER OF NOW tcm 2 I TOWARD 55.5 $4.20

6 4321 WINAQUA c 5 D GREEN 52.5 $7.00
-----------------------------------------------------------------------

Eagle Reign was obviously unwanted [weight?] and won paying: IAS [w$11.11/p3.32].

R2/1 ZIPSNIP [w$2.27/p1.40]
R7/7 DANCING NIGHT [unp]

Loss today 0.6 units.
Overall Outlay 32 units. Return 33.38. Profit 1.38 units. Needs a bit of a lift.


All times are GMT +10. The time now is 08:30 AM.

Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.