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-   -   GR 1 Tipping Comp Doomben 10,000 (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=13565)

crash 26th May 2006 05:04 PM

Purcer's view:
Quote:'Anyway back to La Montagna and she is Unitab fixed odds favourite for tomorrow’s 10,000 for Bazza Baldwin. Would I back her tomorrow? No, I wouldn’t have ten cents on her. Why is that? Well for starters she gets what I call “double whammy” in life in the 10,000. She goes UP in class and UP in weight. Trust me, you will go bankrupt in life if you back "double whammy" horses - they never win. She goes from a Group 3 - 3YO set weights race - to a Group 1 WFA race. She also goes from carrying 52.5 to 53.5 at the weights. This week she’s not running down a weak horse like Pasikatera whose form was 5-1-9-1 coming into the race and who drew 18 of 21 in the original draw. She only arrived just in time to nail Century Serb and Pasikatera last weekend. Would you back Century Serb or Pasikatera in a Doomben 10,000 at $6 – or even $66? No and neither would I. May I also point out that I do think La Montagna is a chance in the Stradbroke, I just don’t want to know her in the 10,000.'

Raw Instinct 26th May 2006 06:08 PM

Hoping the Kid can replenish some money i had already shelled out on him for the Stradbroke it looks completely unlikely he will run in because of the ridiculos weights which were handed out.

Show Biz Kid (Classiconi)

wesmip1 26th May 2006 06:13 PM

Red Ogg (Shania Dane)

Raw Instinct 26th May 2006 06:18 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by crash
Purcer's view:
Quote:'Anyway back to La Montagna and she is Unitab fixed odds favourite for tomorrow’s 10,000 for Bazza Baldwin. Would I back her tomorrow? No, I wouldn’t have ten cents on her. Why is that? Well for starters she gets what I call “double whammy” in life in the 10,000. She goes UP in class and UP in weight. Trust me, you will go bankrupt in life if you back "double whammy" horses - they never win. She goes from a Group 3 - 3YO set weights race - to a Group 1 WFA race. She also goes from carrying 52.5 to 53.5 at the weights. This week she’s not running down a weak horse like Pasikatera whose form was 5-1-9-1 coming into the race and who drew 18 of 21 in the original draw. She only arrived just in time to nail Century Serb and Pasikatera last weekend. Would you back Century Serb or Pasikatera in a Doomben 10,000 at $6 – or even $66? No and neither would I. May I also point out that I do think La Montagna is a chance in the Stradbroke, I just don’t want to know her in the 10,000.'


I agree totally crash she is a good horse but she would need to find atleast a couple of lengths to win this and you cannot continue to win from a mile back in races at doomben. She isnot even close to being well weighted in this race in fact if anything she is in the race terribly all of the 3yo fillies are I give them all about the same chance very small to none.

Chuck 26th May 2006 06:20 PM

nevis (star shiraz)

jim curran 26th May 2006 08:06 PM

shania dane
show biz kid

maverick1993 26th May 2006 08:29 PM

Show Biz Kid (St BAsil)

Horse Whisperer 26th May 2006 08:50 PM

MISS POTENTIAL (ST BASIL)

DCFC 27th May 2006 05:37 AM

(7) DAUNTING LAD
(18) LA MONTAGNA

feather 27th May 2006 06:24 AM

16 - FASHION AFIELD

(18 la montagna - 1 red ogg)


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