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-   -   Off Crash's cuff (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=14049)

crash 18th July 2006 05:52 PM

r2/4 Joe's Memory $2.20p
r6/1 Champion's League $1.90p

No winner but a nice overall profit at 1x6 ew.

crash 19th July 2006 09:07 AM

wed. 19th.

Gawler [good 3]
r4/1 It Ain't Easy

Ipswich [good]
r7/7 Monaseeci

Sandown Lakeside [slow 7]
r4/3 Extreme Makeover
r7/6 Violet Ponds
r8/2 Whittier Miss

crash 20th July 2006 11:26 AM

Monaseeci $4.90w $2p was the only good news yesterday.

ROCKHAMPTON Thurs. 20th.
r3/2 Gloriosa Honey
r7/5 Our Young Emperor

crash 21st July 2006 12:32 PM

Only a pineapple yesterday. Lets see how these go.

TOWNSVILLE Friday, July 21
r2/3 Pyramid Raider
r5/4 Barron Hunter
r6/1 Scutt

crash 22nd July 2006 12:23 PM

A $2.20 p yesterday.


Saturday, July 22
Cheltenham [good3]
r2/3 Chilli Stoush
r6/7 Toast To Lenny
r8/6 Sweet Julia

Caulfield [dead 4]
r2/1 Kingston Bird
r3/2 Future Analysis
r6/1 General Conclusion
r7/2 Canary Islands
r8/1 Evil Master

Eagle Farm [good]
r4/9 Our Private Jet
r5/10 Lady Of Courage [ew longshot]
r6/1 The Jackal
r7/5 Bohemian Dancer [ew longshot]
r8/1 Step Right In

Good luck.

Sportz 22nd July 2006 12:25 PM

Are you going to put your tips in for the new punting comp?

crash 22nd July 2006 05:05 PM

A good day. I hope few got on-board.

Saturday, July 22

Chilli Stoush $1.60p
Sweet Julia $11.90w $3.50p
Evil Master $2.10p
Canary Islands $2.80p
Our Private Jet $4.70w $2.10p
The Jackal $1.90p
Step Right In $8.90w $3.40p

crash 23rd July 2006 10:22 AM

Sunday 23rd.

Hawksbury [dead5]
r8/1 Fuji Lad

Scone [good3]
r3/9 Nordic Princess
r5/1 Spock
r8/7 Lyn's Money

Casterton [good3]
r6/8 Foxes Folly

crash 24th July 2006 09:30 AM

Sun. result:
Nordic Princess $4.20w $1.50p
Foxes Folly $1.60p

Monday, July 24th.
DUBBO [transfered from Dubbo to Wellington. Dead 5]
r6/6 Bold Fiona
r9/4 Worondi

MILDURA [slow 6]
r4/2 Glogettum
r5/3 Georgie Rae
r6/2 All Pressure
r7/2 Tactical Jack

crash 24th July 2006 11:51 AM

From The start of the thread on the 12th. July to Saturday 22nd. Figures for Running total win and place for 58 bets are:

RTW: w/outlay 58 w/return 68.7 w/profit +10.7 [18.4%POT]

RTP: p/outlay 348 p/return 384.6 p/profit +36.6 [10.5%POT]

Obviously we would have been better off ignoring the 1x6 ew betting ratio I originally suggested and betting straight win bets. If all the above bets were bet 7 units the win instead of 1x6 ew the result would have been:

ALL TOTAL WIN ONLY [7 units win only] w/ol 406 w/r 480.9 [68.7 x 7] w/pr 74.9 total profit, instead of 47.3 total profit betting 1x6 ew ratio. A big difference!

The problem for the place bet here is the place price value for most runners that are above short prices and that is most of my bets. For those targeting favourites the place value would be worthwhile, as it is often 50% and sometimes more than their win price. Favourites make up a very small percentage of my target bets, so I'm dumping the 1x6 ew strategy here and recommending straight win bets.

Cheers.


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