OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums

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-   -   My Lays of the Day (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=14480)

Mr. Logic 30th September 2006 10:20 AM

I'd be interested in seeing at what odds you consider each horse is a lay.

Because on my understanding of racing and wagering, and how I make money, each of your lays has the chance of not being a lay, but a good bet.

Eg you might want to lay one of your horses at $3.00, where it must win 33% of the time to break even, but that same horse might NOT be a lay but a good bet at $5.00 where it only has to win 20% of the time to break even.

Chuck 30th September 2006 11:34 AM

racing to win is a big lay for mine, i'd take $3.00 and under, very confident

i don't think it is a real miler - it only just got there in the doncaster with a feather weight and a dream run, and now is at WFA and 7 kgs more, facing some quality horses and should not be odds on. All the other horses have done well over the mile. o'shea couldn't split him and primus and hes a big risk

cateclipse i'd probably lay at $3.50 and under, didn't beat much last start, raced 4 times at the distance for no wins, and 6 times at the distance for 1 win, meets my pick the rising safwa who looks promising.


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