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-   -   Do yourself a favour, bet less but bigger ! (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=15012)

Oaksnaf 21st November 2006 07:29 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by partypooper
But we are not having just one bet, we know we are having 100 bets plus, and we know that if we back 100 x 2-1 shots about 30% will win and 70 % will lose on average (that's if they are being picked by mere mortals) so in fact we are 100% certain of losing (about 10% of total stakes)



That doesn't sound good losing 10% of my total stakes, what is the loss/win rate if I am not a mere mortal?

partypooper 21st November 2006 07:56 PM

Ah, well Oaksie, that is the question, now if you feed on Ambrosia, add a few filters and manage to tilt that % in your favour the "Goose" is cooked!!!

In fact just with a few commonsense filters, you know, the well known ones 21days, win in exposed form etc etc you can hit the break even point (which in itself is a winner, IF you know how to expliot it) it's now a matter of patience........


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