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-   -   Staking Plans (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=15015)

Oaksnaf 22nd November 2006 12:24 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by crash
Have 1 $20 bet a day for 5 days. If 2 of them win your looking good!

Dont you bring maths back into this you bugga.

Effectively if my first selection wins (that would be my *one bet per day*) then I could be looking alright aswell. As I start the day betting with my main selection, irrespective of what race that might be in.

Oaksnaf 22nd November 2006 12:37 PM

First selection: $10 WIN - Return $35.

Just $5 shy of my target.

crash 22nd November 2006 02:17 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Oaksnaf
First selection: $10 WIN - Return $35.

Just $5 shy of my target.


Could have been $20w = $75

TARGET + $35 !!!!

Oaksnaf 22nd November 2006 03:28 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by crash
Could have been $20w = $75

TARGET + $35 !!!!

The benefit of hindsight.

Second selection lost.

Out :$20
In :$35

Third selection is now $5 win.

The plan is, as the months tick by, decrease selections and increase bet size. But to do that, I feel I need to be able to make a profit over a period of 200 selections. Well that is my target figure.

But of course I am still trying to think of other staking plans that only involve one selection per race. And a maximum spending of $20 on a given day.

crash 22nd November 2006 03:38 PM

Oh, it's all down hill for you now mate [it's in the maths] !

Oaksnaf 22nd November 2006 03:46 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by crash
Oh, it's all down hill for you now mate [it's in the maths] !

But remember partypoopers post, its ok if we are not mere mortals. Maths don't apply then.

darkydog2002 23rd November 2006 08:23 AM

A COUPLE OF RACES FOR CRASH.
 
I will go for these 2 races today CRASH (winnerinsix )

Will bet all 4 IF a profit can be made .FIXED price .

ROCKHAMPTON

Race 5 Horses 1 - 3 - 4 - 6

CRANBOURNE

Race 8 Horses 1 - 2 - 4 - 7

Cheers.
darky.

crash 23rd November 2006 09:22 AM

I think one of your runners in r5 Darky will be odds-on and one in r8 close to it.

I'll have it all on [the 8 units] from both races on r8/2 Estermate [about 3rd. fav.].

darkydog2002 23rd November 2006 12:22 PM

If any of them end up odds on I will bypass the race.
With odds on horses saluting the judge roughly 58 % of the time I would be bucking too much of the odds BUT will wait and see.

Cheers.
darky.

Oaksnaf 23rd November 2006 01:49 PM

Yesterday Selections 2 to 6 lost.

IN: $35
OUT: $30

There are three systems (alonside manual selections) that are being trialed with this staking plan at the moment. But this brings another dilema, if System 1 profits during Month 1, do you stick with it, or switch....? Judging the best time to jump ship, is another interesting debate I guess.


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