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-   -   Place System (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=15752)

michaelg 18th April 2007 11:32 AM

Yesterday the four selections placed.

Today's selections:
Canterbury R4 no.9 - Simurgh
Dombeen R3 no.1 - Atillas Dane
Dombeen R8 no.1 - Final Crunch
Balaklave R5 no.4 - Romany Lady

13-plus starters:
Balaklava R1 no.1 - Giant Killer

michaelg 19th April 2007 12:09 PM

A bad day yesterday - one placegetter from the 4 selections. Two of the losers were just outside the placegetters so maybe there might be some merit??? We'll see how today goes.

Wyong R4 no.1 - Regal Celeb
Mornington R2 no.8 - Miss Meerkat
Townsville R8 no.2 - High Mountain
Naracoorte R2 no.8 - Gay Designer
Naracoorte R6 no.3 - Well Acted
Naracoorte R7 no.5 - Fancy Force
Naracoorte R8 no.4 - Sandhill Brave.


Applying the same rules but substituting neural CF with CP has performed quite well over the past few days. Let's see how it goes today:

Wyong R4 no.1 - Regal Celeb
Mornington 2 no.8 - Miss Meerkat
Townsville R4 no.1 - Expecting
Naracoorte 8 no.4 - Sandhill Brave

Stix 19th April 2007 06:10 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
A bad day yesterday - one placegetter from the 4 selections. Two of the losers were just outside the placegetters so maybe there might be some merit??? We'll see how today goes.

Wyong R4 no.1 - Regal Celeb
Mornington R2 no.8 - Miss Meerkat
Townsville R8 no.2 - High Mountain
Naracoorte R2 no.8 - Gay Designer
Naracoorte R6 no.3 - Well Acted
Naracoorte R7 no.5 - Fancy Force
Naracoorte R8 no.4 - Sandhill Brave.


Applying the same rules but substituting neural CF with CP has performed quite well over the past few days. Let's see how it goes today:

Wyong R4 no.1 - Regal Celeb
Mornington 2 no.8 - Miss Meerkat
Townsville R4 no.1 - Expecting
Naracoorte 8 no.4 - Sandhill Brave
Impressive WIN strike rate today..... ;)

michaelg 19th April 2007 07:53 PM

Yes, especially with the CP system - 3 winners from 4 selections whilst the CF system had a couple of good-priced winners - $4.20 and $5.00.

When I prepare the system which is usually before mid-day there are no WA selections on Radio TAB yet when I look later they list them. Why are they so late? - the scratchings are shown on Unitab at least an hour before they show the Radio TAB selections.

West Indies to beat Bangladesh in tonight's match - Brian Lara to score a double-century.

michaelg 20th April 2007 11:35 AM

CF Method.

From yesterday's 7 selections there were 6 successes for a profit of $1.80.

There have now been 14 successes from 18 selections for a profit of $1.70 (9% POT).

Today's selections:
Dubbo R2 no.6 - Omadarlin
Goulburn R5 no.5 - Graceful Act
Goulburn R6 no.4 - Dizzy Rocking
Goulburn R7 no.4 - Then Again
Ipswich R2 no.1 - Couples Of Three
Ipswich R7 no.4 - Southern Sister


CP Method.

Yesterday's 4 selections placed for a profit of $0.80.

Today's selections:
Goulburn R5 no.5 - Graceful Act
Goulburn R8 no.3 - Robure.

partypooper 20th April 2007 11:47 AM

michaelg, this ones doing well, did I read somewhere that you were quoting NSW divies? if so I'm sure that the POT would be significantly higher using Sportsbet, BEST TOTE (where available) and Country best (i.e. best of NSW and supertab) have you looked at that?

michaelg 20th April 2007 12:07 PM

Partypooper, yes I'm using NSW TAB divvies foe the sake of being conservative.

I don't have an account with any of those betting agencies you quoted, but I do with Mark Read. I would not be surprised if his Place divvies are better because I've often seen some beat all 3 TAB's, more so with the exotics.

Kiwis to lose tonight. Hayden to get a ton.

partypooper 20th April 2007 01:16 PM

michaelg, that's interesting will have another look at Mark Reed again, I seem to remember that he(they) were paying unitab divies for place betting but maybe that's changed, anyone know for sure??

partypooper 20th April 2007 01:30 PM

That was easy,

Bet IASbet SuperPrice and be guaranteed that the payout will exceed at least 2 Australian TABs, in fact SuperPrice often exceeds all Australian TABs for Win, Place, Quinella, Exacta, Trifecta and Multi-betting.

So probably better IAS if betting Country Best (best of NSW & Supertab) though not necessarily: eg. NSW $1.04, Supertab $1.40c, Unitab $1.10, so you are paid maybe $1.11c, whereas Sportsbet would have paid $1.40.

So it all depends on what has happened over a long period of time, does anyone have archived details on this??

michaelg 20th April 2007 04:03 PM

I think IAS erases their prices at the end of each day, and as far as I'm aware they don't archive them where they can be assessed but I could be wrong. You'd hope they'd be available for comparison just like Betfair Advantage.


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