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Wes, are they the final ratings as on the worksheet, or do you use some of your own thoughts ? IMHO I think that the condition penalty for first uppers can be a bit misleading. They penalise them 6 kilos which I think gives some very false ratings on occasions. I have finished trying to work out a neurals method as it is just to hard to come up with something consistent, and have now moved back to the more traditional weight ratings. I'm going to try and post some past results using the don scott ratings but with my own style applied.
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call me a sceptical ************ but i think that web site that gives you those neural thingies is flawed ,,,i must admit i thought for a while there that neurals were a good thing but i have now seen the light?? why would they give something away for free .... my guess is in this game you dont give an edge away free therefore dont bother with them you will allways lose in the end i think.there fore iam ty..
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I like the thread title the "Don Scott Method". Sounds like some type of weight loss program. Good luck Wes, hope the weight doesn't come off the wallet first :D
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Following favorites every race on every card certainly has nothing to do with Don Scott but it's a good way to lighten the wallet [keep your rent money separate from your bet money].
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Todays results :
Colac Race 1: Miss Fiality ($2.10) - Ran at $4.00 LOST Race 2: Fingal Bay ($3.80) - Ran at $4.90 LOST Race 3: Park Ranger ($3.90) - Ran at $5.70 LOST Race 3: Spy Valley ($3.90) - Ran at $3.10 LOST Race 4: Noah's Pearl ($3.10) - Ran at $16.30 LOST Race 5: Sir Trisdan ($3.60) - Ran at $3.20 3rd Race 6: Dawnstorm ($1.90) - Ran at $3.00 LOST Race 7: Off White ($1.70) - Ran at $6.90 LOST Race 8: Sheer Vintage ($3.00) - Ran at $5.40 WIN $5.40 Grafton Race 1: Hernani ($4.00) - Ran at $6.20 LOST Race 2: Hastings Crown ($2.40) - Ran at $4.40 LOST Race 3: Spikes 'n' Spurs ($1.20) - Ran at $2.10 2nd Race 4: Medieval Countess ($2.60) - Ran at $12.20 LOST Race 5: King Of The Nile ($1.30) - Ran at $2.00 WIN $2.00 Race 6: Classy Shinko ($4.20) - Ran at $3.60 3rd Race 7: Dream Spirit ($1.90) - Ran at $30.00 3rd Race 8: Beautiful Bearing ($2.40) - Ran at $3.30 3rd Race 9: Success In Japan ($3.90) - Ran at $18.00 LOST Queanbeyan Race 1: Wilpena ($1.70) - Ran at $3.60 WIN $3.60 Race 2: Ticket To Run ($1.40) - Ran at $2.40 2nd Race 3: Absolutely Me ($1.30) - Ran at $1.90 WIN $1.90 Race 4: Gold Waltz ($2.90) - Ran at $3.90 WIN $3.90 Race 5: Chronic Addiction ($3.30) - Ran at $3.70 LOST Race 6: Cocomotion ($1.40) - Ran at $15.50 LOST Race 7: Blevaria ($4.80) - Ran at $3.60 3rd Race 8: Louisianna Flyer ($2.00) - Ran at $2.40 WIN $2.40 Rockhampton Race 1: Queen Bird ($2.80) - Ran at $2.10 2nd Race 2: Love God ($1.80) - Ran at $3.00 3rd Race 3: Beg My Pardon ($3.00) - Ran at $15.00 LOST Race 4: Wenona Rose ($2.10) - Ran at $40.00 LOST Race 5: Jewel Speed ($1.70) - Ran at $5.30 2nd Race 6: Where's The Spark ($3.40) - Ran at $3.70 LOST Race 7: Kalinga Metal ($5.00) - Ran at $15.00 LOST Race 7: Reaf Shar Baye ($5.00) - Ran at $4.50 WIN $4.50 Race 8: Danwana ($2.70) - Ran at $2.10 WIN $2.10 Sandown Race 1: Catalan Bay ($3.90) - Ran at $4.90 WIN $4.90 Race 2: Regal Summer ($5.50)- Ran at $6.00 2nd Race 2: Karikuri ($5.50)- Ran at $8.80 3rd Race 3: Our Maharaja ($3.90) - Ran at $4.00 3rd Race 4: White Diamonds ($3.10)- Ran at $6.50 3rd Race 5: Samadji ($2.40) - Ran at $2.70 2nd Race 6: Picquart ($4.60) - Ran at $9.70 LOST Race 7: Loanhead ($2.00) - Ran at $3.20 WIN $3.20 Race 8: Millie Rose ($5.00) - Ran at $6.80 3rd Today: All Selections: 44 All Return : $33.90 Higher Selections : 37 Higher Return :$27.30 Double Selecitons : 13 Double Return : $3.60 All Time : All Selections: 135 All Return : $149.80 (11% POT) Higher Selections : 112 Higher Return :$120.40 ( 7% POT ) Double Selecitons : 52 Double Return : $41.90 (20% LOT ) It seems the further the value comes into play the worse the selections perform. My guess is this is where the selections have got it wrong for some reason ( which could be bad data on the AAP site ). |
Ascot
Race 1: Prince Of Sands ($1.50) - Ran at $2.00 3rd Race 2: Danes Mystery ($1.20) - Ran at $1.90 WIN $1.90 Race 3: London Court ($5.00) - Ran at $5.00 3rd Race 4: Wingate Street($2.20) - Ran at $2.80 WIN $2.80 Race 5: Coalseam ($2.60) - Ran at $48.00 LOST Race 6: Royale Harvest ($2.50) - Ran at $3.00 WIN $3.00 Race 7: Comfortably Numb ($3.00) - Ran at $2.50 WIN $2.50 Race 8: Brokaw ($3.40) - Ran at $4.60 WIN $4.60 Caulfield Race 1: Love's Great ($5.00) - Ran at $5.70 3rd Race 1: Perelmo ($5.00) - Ran at $7.90 LOST Race 2: Okay Oky ($4.00) - Ran at $2.50 2nd Race 2: Let Loushe ($4.00) - Ran at $9.70 LOST Race 3: Bellini Rose ($2.80) - Ran at $2.90 WIN $2.90 Race 4: Manna Miss ($3.50) - Ran at $4.60 LOST Race 5: Mojo Pin ($4.40) - Ran at $3.20 2nd Race 6: Stanzout ($2.60) - Ran at $3.30 LOST Race 7: Raise A Call ($2.50) - Ran at $9.00 LOST Race 8: Mistake Creek($2.00) - Ran at $2.50 2nd Eagle Farm Race 1: Feline Hunter ($1.80) - Ran at $4.70 3rd Race 2: Stirling ($4.20) - Ran at $12.30 LOST Race 3: Regal Megan ($2.90) - Ran at $5.90 LOST Race 4: Galen ($3.60) - Ran at $3.30 LOST Race 5: Mesmerising ($5.50) - Ran at $9.20 LOST Race 5: Palace Lover ($5.50) - Ran at $13.70 2nd Race 6: Westicaro ($2.70) - Ran at $5.40 LOST Race 7: Mitanni ($2.40) - Ran at $6.30 WIN $ 6.30 Race 8: Picablu ($3.90) - Ran at $10.00 LOST Gold Coast Race 1: Every Which Way ($2.00) - Ran at $15.00 3rd Race 2: Monagetti ($3.20) - Ran at $15.00 LOST Race 3: Asituation ($3.30) - Ran at $6.80 WIN $6.80 Race 4: Little Diva ($2.50) - Ran at $7.90 LOST Race 5: In Order ($2.70) - Ran at $15.20 LOST Race 6: Never Miss ($2.40) - Ran at $5.60 LOST Race 7: Meanma ($2.60) - Ran at $6.90 LOST Race 8: Iza Comin' ($2.40) - Ran at $5.70 LOST Morphettville Race 1: Cloneen ($1.80) - Ran at $5.50 3rd Race 2: Our Currency ($4.00) - Ran at $6.40 LOST Race 3: Jaffa Jonnie ($2.90) - Ran at $3.30 LOST Race 4: Hurricane Dancer ($3.90) - Ran at $7.70 2nd Race 5: Marryatville ($2.80) - Ran at $4.50 LOST Race 6: Amici Forever($2.70) - Ran at $11.20 LOST Race 7: Family Guy ($2.50) - Ran at $2.80 WIN $2.80 Race 8: Stone Queen ($3.20) - Ran at $9.20 LOST Rosehill Race 1: Adriatic Ocean ($2.60) - Ran at $2.20 3rd Race 2: Cent Per Cent ($2.90) - Ran at $2.70 WIN $2.70 Race 3: Studio Star($2.00) - Ran at $4.20 3rd Race 4: Face Of The Earth($2.00) - Ran at $4.10 2nd Race 5: Strat's Flyer ($3.10) - Ran at $4.20 LOST Race 6: Hadaaf ($3.80) - Ran at $2.60 WIN $2.60 Race 6: Pelennium ($3.80) - Ran at $5.70 LOST Race 7: Kosi Bay ($2.90) - Ran at $2.20 3rd Race 8: Strong Choice ($2.80) - Ran at $3.50 2nd Seymour Race 1: Key Change ($3.10) - Ran at $8.20 LOST Race 2: Invincible Power ($3.30) - Ran at $4.70 2nd Race 3: Encroacher ($6.50) - Ran at $8.80 2nd Race 3: Jetsetter ($6.50) - Ran at $11.60 LOST Race 4: I'm No Fake ($2.90) - Ran at $5.70 LOST Race 5: D'argent ($3.20) - Ran at $9.80 LOST Race 6: Viognier ($3.80) - Ran at $3.00 WIN $3.00 Race 7: Etihaad ($1.40) - Ran at $2.30 WIN $2.30 Race 8: Tell Meno Secrets ($2.70) - Ran at $4.80 2nd Toowoomba Race 1: Canny Make It($2.00) - Ran at $26.50 LOST Race 2: Elate And Excite ($4.20) - Ran at $6.10 LOST |
Sunday Results:
Tamworth Race 1 : Jarred Up ($3.50) - Ran at $5.00 3rd Race 2 : Dandazoom ($2.40) - Ran at $3.70 WIN $3.70 Race 3 : Sun Vegas ($2.70) - Ran at $3.80 LOST Race 4 : Keats ($2.50) - Ran at $3.20 WIN $3.20 Race 5 : Frisco Model($3.20) - Ran at $6.40 WIN $6.40 Race 6 : Next Adventure($2.50) - Ran at $4.00 3rd Race 7 : Life's Too Short($2.40) - Ran at $4.00 LOST Race 8 : Foreshore($6.50) - Ran at $16.60 LOST Bendigo Race 1 : Ladies In Luck ($2.00) - Ran at $4.10 2nd Race 2 : Gold Chant ($2.70) - Ran at $2.60 WIN $2.60 Race 3 : Kicking Class ($2.50) - Ran at $3.70 WIN $3.70 Race 4 : Kindrate ($1.60) - Ran at $3.80 2nd Race 5 : Idria ($4.00) - Ran at $2.20 WIN $2.20 Race 5 : Young Love ($4.00) - Ran at $3.70 2nd Race 6 : Veightjuice($3.90) - Ran at $8.30 LOST Race 7 : Saki Saki($3.80) - Ran at $18.00 LOST Race 8 : Surfwatch($3.00) - Ran at $8.50 LOST Sunshine Coast Race 1 : Like Dad ($1.90) - Ran at $4.70 LOST Race 2 : Libra Magic ($2.50) - Ran at $5.80 LOST Race 3 : Frisco's In Charge($2.40) - Ran at $40.00 LOST Race 4 : Blue Fox($2.50) - Ran at $4.70 LOST Race 5 : Miss Marebelle($5.00) - Ran at $5.00 WIN $5.00 Race 6 : Just Ordained($3.00) - Ran at $3.40 2nd Race 7 : Pay Me ($3.80) - Ran at $2.80 2nd Race 8 : Gold Coast Express($7.00) - Ran at $34.00 LOST Race 8 : Bald Eagle($7.00) - Ran at $4.50 LOST Narromine Race 1 : Mr Rainbow ($1.30) - Ran at $4.60 3rd Race 2 : Mumsedd ($1.50) - Ran at $2.30 LOST Race 3 : Fling The Ding ($2.50) - Ran at $25.00 LOST Race 4 : Brisk Crown ($4.60) - Ran at $3.20 WIN $3.20 Race 5 : Carry The Dance ($1.60) - Ran at $2.80 3rd Race 6 : Chief Resident($1.80) - Ran at $4.20 2nd Race 7 : Gold Sultan($3.60) - Ran at $3.70 LOST Penola Race 1 : Our Dior ($1.30) - Ran at $2.70 WIN $2.70 Race 2 : Her Opinion ($1.70) - Ran at $3.00 3rd Race 3 : Squeaky Beach ($1.70) - Ran at $3.30 LOST Race 4 : He's Royal ($3.50) - Ran at $4.20 LOST Race 5 : Pepper And Salt ($1.90) - Ran at $2.80 WIN $2.80 Race 6 : Heavens Jester ($2.80) - Ran at $2.80 3rd Race 7 : Irkutsk($2.40) - Ran at $5.00 3rd Race 8 : Molokai's Ladd($3.80) - Ran at $5.30 LOST Race 9 : Fancy Force($4.00) - Ran at $5.10 LOST Race 10: Unite And Excite($3.50) - Ran at $10.00 LOST Northam Race 1 : Leica Steel ($1.20) - Ran at $1.80 3rd Race 2 : Shashti($1.50) - Ran at $1.70 LOST Race 3 : Artillery Prince($2.90) - Ran at $3.30 3rd Race 4 : Oroya Gold($1.60) - Ran at $1.60 WIN $1.60 Race 5 : Vixen Minx($3.50) - Ran at $11.30 LOST Race 6 : Brocky's Ace($3.60) - Ran at $6.70 LOST Race 7 : Double Bay($4.00) - Ran at $30.00 LOST Race 8 : Danish Sea($8.50) - Ran at $3.80 LOST Race 8 : Do The Timea($8.50) - Ran at $15.00 LOST Hobart Race 1 : Tibooburra Travis ($2.20) - Ran at $3.00 LOST Race 2 : The Boardwalk Boy ($1.80) - Ran at $11.50 LOST Race 3 : Maywyn's Pride ($1.50) - Ran at $2.70 LOST Race 4 : Daneland ($2.60) - Ran at $2.10 2nd Race 5 : Bay Ritz($4.20) - Ran at $3.40 WIN $3.40 Race 6 : Arapeho($2.10) - Ran at $2.30 2nd Race 7 : The Real Article($3.30) - Ran at $4.30 LOST Race 8 : Stormy Youth($2.90) - Ran at $6.70 LOST |
becoming tougher wesmip?? results to date?
interested in overlay favs mainly (greater on tote/tab/ias than rated odds) ...played around with a while back, and top 4 in market overlays only. find it too hard to keep data, well accessing data actually. cant go further back than a week or so. |
These ratings seem to work better mid week then weekends.
Cessnock: Race 1 : Summer Raid - Ran at $8.80 LOST Race 2 : Fine Dane - Ran at $5.10 3rd Race 3 : Grondie - Ran at $4.80 2nd Race 4 : Spurnover - Ran at $3.70 LOST Race 5 : Booboo - Ran at $9.40 LOST Race 6 : Del Amore - Ran at $3.50 LOST Race 7 : Mercurial Miss - Ran at $4.50 3rd Race 8 : Snowstream - Ran at $5.50 LOST Race 8 : Dulcina - Ran at $8.10 WIN $8.10 Wangarratta Race 1 : Bells All Round() - Ran at $5.00 WIN $5.00 Race 2 : Portiere () - Ran at $2.40 2nd Race 3 : Leuwin Star () - Ran at $6.10 LOST Race 4 : Firetime () - Ran at $3.90 WIN $3.90 Race 5 : Darn Good Singa () - Ran at $5.30 WIN $5.30 Race 6 : Heartpouring () - Ran at $2.90 LOST Race 7 : Our Causeway () - Ran at $3.30 WIN $3.30 Race 8 : Gala Evening () - Ran at $4.20 2nd |
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Couldn't agree more Dr Ron. 6 kilos is not accurate to apply across the board, some horses are better first up than others. |
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