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savage 2nd May 2007 02:01 PM

wE DO
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by AngryPixie
Guys

How will you know who's method is the best?

WE ALL WIN!!!!

savage 2nd May 2007 02:34 PM

Good one
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by savage
Morning

Balaclava
r 5/ catskin
Bunbury
R 1/ live our dream

Only 2 races same selections. This will be interesting to see what happens as I have only 9 selections

good luck to you

SAME SELECTIONS

Races 2 Win 1 Places 2

may be worth following

wesmip1 2nd May 2007 07:23 PM

A good day today ... A $19 winner although it didn't fall into the rules of under $5.00 on the tote.

Overall, still up and going with a very high percentage.

Balaklava
Race 1 : Damigar - LOST
Race 2 : Moctezuma - WIN (t)$1.90/$1.20, (bf) $2.06/$1.25
Race 5 : Catskin - 2nd (t) $1.20 / (bf) $1.14
Race 9 : Ullrich - Not a Selection as over $5.00 on tote. Not Placed

Bunbury
Race 1 : Live Our Dream - WIN (t)$3.40/$1.90, (bf) $3.80/$1.44
Race 2 : Upgrade - 3rd (t) $1.90 / (bf) $1.42
Race 5 : Lexicon Gold - WIN (t)$2.30/$1.40, (bf) $2.22/$1.26
Race 8 : Princess Hannah - 3rd (t) $1.70 , (bf) $1.81

Canterbury
Race 1 : Up'n'doing - Not a Selection as over $5.00 on tote. Not Placed
Race 2 : Swat - WIN (t)$3.30/$2.00, (bf) $2.88/$1.76
Race 4 : Letmeentertainyou - LOST
Race 6 : Sway Me Now - 3rd (t) $1.60 / (bf) $1.68

Doomben
Race 1 : Encosta Tszyu - 3rd (t) $1.10 / (bf) $1.28
Race 4 : Costa Complete - WIN (t)$2.30/$1.10, (bf) $2.60/$1.34

Kempsey
Race 6 : Casino Bob - LOST
Race 8 : Likazyrtec - Not a Selection as over $5.00 on tote. 2nd

Launceston
Race 1 : Socrates - WIN (t)$3.40/$1.90, (bf) $3.65/$1.91
Race 5 : Adamageo - Not a Selection as over $5.00 on tote. WIN $19.50

Warnambool
Race 9 : French King - SCRATCHED

Today :
Selections : 13
Wins : 6 (46%)
Placings :11 (84%)

Results:
Selections : 15
Wins : 8
Win ROT : (t) $23.60 (bf) $24.51
Win strike rate : 53%
Placings : 13
Place ROT : (t) $20.00 (bf) $19.62
Place Strike Rate : 87%

Please note (t) = best tote price available (bf) = betfair price on BAT.

savage 2nd May 2007 07:32 PM

NICE ONE
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by wesmip1
A good day today ... A $19 winner although it didn't fall into the rules of under $5.00 on the tote.

Overall, still up and going with a very high percentage.

Balaklava
Race 1 : Damigar - LOST
Race 2 : Moctezuma - WIN (t)$1.90/$1.20, (bf) $2.06/$1.25
Race 5 : Catskin - 2nd (t) $1.20 / (bf) $1.14
Race 9 : Ullrich - Not a Selection as over $5.00 on tote. Not Placed

Bunbury
Race 1 : Live Our Dream - WIN (t)$3.40/$1.90, (bf) $3.80/$1.44
Race 2 : Upgrade - 3rd (t) $1.90 / (bf) $1.42
Race 5 : Lexicon Gold - WIN (t)$2.30/$1.40, (bf) $2.22/$1.26
Race 8 : Princess Hannah - 3rd (t) $1.70 , (bf) $1.81

Canterbury
Race 1 : Up'n'doing - Not a Selection as over $5.00 on tote. Not Placed
Race 2 : Swat - WIN (t)$3.30/$2.00, (bf) $2.88/$1.76
Race 4 : Letmeentertainyou - LOST
Race 6 : Sway Me Now - 3rd (t) $1.60 / (bf) $1.68

Doomben
Race 1 : Encosta Tszyu - 3rd (t) $1.10 / (bf) $1.28
Race 4 : Costa Complete - WIN (t)$2.30/$1.10, (bf) $2.60/$1.34

Kempsey
Race 6 : Casino Bob - LOST
Race 8 : Likazyrtec - Not a Selection as over $5.00 on tote. 2nd

Launceston
Race 1 : Socrates - WIN (t)$3.40/$1.90, (bf) $3.65/$1.91
Race 5 : Adamageo - Not a Selection as over $5.00 on tote. WIN $19.50

Warnambool
Race 9 : French King - SCRATCHED

Today :
Selections : 13
Wins : 6 (46%)
Placings :11 (84%)

Results:
Selections : 15
Wins : 8
Win ROT : (t) $23.60 (bf) $24.51
Win strike rate : 53%
Placings : 13
Place ROT : (t) $20.00 (bf) $19.62
Place Strike Rate : 87%

Please note (t) = best tote price available (bf) = betfair price on BAT.
Fantastic result. I hope others are enjoying this as much as I am


SAME SELECTIONS
1/5/07 Races 2 Wins 1 Places 2
2/5/07 Races 3 Wins 2 Places 3

TOTAL Races 5 Wins 3 Places 5

Wins 60%
Places 100%

michaelg 2nd May 2007 08:35 PM

Well done, Savage.

It's interesting that the small Place divvies ($1.20 and under) were higher on Betfair, except only with one selection.

It might be worthwhile to keep in mind that sometimes when the TAB pays a Place divvy on first and second only, that Betfair can pay on the first three - it depends on the amount of horses originally entered for a particular race. In such an instance it would be highly unlikely Betfair divvies would be higher than the TAB. Out of interest, I remember an occasion when 8 or more horses had been entered in a race and because of mass scratchings there were only 4 runners that actually started - Betfair paid out on the first three placegetters.

Manchester United 3 - A C Milan 1

wesmip1 2nd May 2007 09:50 PM

Selections for Tommorrow :

Hawksberry
Race 3 : On Potential
Rockhampton
Race 4 : Revolva
Race 5 : Drop Of Hennessy

Warrnambool
Race 4 : Campaspe River

Wagga
Race 2 : Xaar's Jewel
Race 4 : Stagolee
Race 5 : Mr Brightside
Race 6 : Hannel's Spur


Savage Only 1 selection the same :
Wagga Race 4 : 1 Stagolee


Good Luck

savage 3rd May 2007 06:10 AM

Same Selections
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by wesmip1
Selections for Tommorrow :

Hawksberry
Race 3 : On Potential
Rockhampton
Race 4 : Revolva
Race 5 : Drop Of Hennessy

Warrnambool
Race 4 : Campaspe River

Wagga
Race 2 : Xaar's Jewel
Race 4 : Stagolee
Race 5 : Mr Brightside
Race 6 : Hannel's Spur


Savage Only 1 selection the same :
Wagga Race 4 : 1 Stagolee


Good Luck
SAME SELECTIONS

Races 3 Wins 2 Places 3
WINS 60%
PLACES 100%

wesmip1 3rd May 2007 07:49 PM

Only ended up with 4 runners today.

Hawksberry
Race 3 : On Potential - LOST

Rockhampton
Race 4 : Revolva - 3rd (t) $1.20 (bf) $1.36
Race 5 : Drop Of Hennessy - 2nd (t) $1.60 (bf) $1.68

Wagga
Race 2 : Xaar's Jewel - WIN (t) $2.50/$1.40 (bf) $3.50/$1.53

Non selections and Reasons:
Race 4 : Stagolee - SCRATCHED
Race 5 : Mr Brightside - SCRATCHED
Race 6 : Hannel's Spur - Not a selection as not under $5
Race 4 : Campaspe River - Not a selection as not under $5

Savage Only 1 selection the same :
Wagga Race 4 : 1 Stagolee - SCRATCHED


Today :
Selections : 4
Wins : 1 (25%)
Placings :3 (75%)

Results:
Selections : 19
Wins : 9
Win ROT : (t) $26.10 (bf) $28.01
Win strike rate : 47%
Placings : 16
Place ROT : (t) $24.20 (bf) $24.19
Place Strike Rate : 84%

Please note (t) = best tote price available (bf) = betfair price on BAT.

wesmip1 3rd May 2007 08:12 PM

I just ran this system for the last 9 days through the retirement staking plan.

Starting with a $1,000 Bank
Longest losing run was 5
Biggest Drawdown was $141
End Bank was $1460 after 9 days. Profit 46%
Level Stakes ($10) was a $167 profit. Profit 16.7%

I looked at an alternative system that is very similar but using a slightly less restrictive set of rules. The results were

Starting with a $1,000 Bank
Longest losing run was 8
Biggest Drawdown was $311
End Bank was $2788 after 9 days. Profit 179%.
Level Stakes ($10) was a $465 profit. Profit 46%.

Just posting this as it all relies on the same initial seleciton method - just slightly different rules for filtering the final selections.

Good Luck.

savage 3rd May 2007 10:52 PM

Results
 
Hi Wesnip

Results To - day

Hawkesbury
R6 / N7 Scratched
Wagga
R4 / N1 Scratched
Warnambool
R9 / N2 Placed at $2.90

RUNNING TOTAL FOR MAY
1/05/2007 1 1
1
2/05/2007 9 4
9
3/05/2007 1 0
1






TOTAL 11 5 45% 11 100%

With the retirement plan you used what was your Divisor, average Dividend, % of bank & did you apply a brake?


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