OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums

I haven't had the time to do this for quite some time I'll have a bit of a dabble today.

Race 1: Not interested in betting much in this race however I don't mind Bourgogne didn't have much luck at all last time out when camped on the inside of a shocking track bias at flemington with a bit of luck can give this a shake other chances Try This and maybe Frangelico.

Race 2: I like Blacken here nice run a couple of starts back behind Pure Beauty Childs on board from a good gate might be able to settle around mid field here and hoefully finish off over the top of them. alot of other chances in this race should get nice enough odds about anything you like here.

Race 3: No interest at all in this race

Race 4: Villain very hard to beat here his turn of foot last start was devastating he will be to short for my liking however Littorio is one i have a little bit of time for might be an e/w bet will wait till race time to determine that however.

Race 5: Vormista should win this however this is why they run the race, I could be interested in something small on Miss Fantabulous here certainly not shelling out alot in this race.

Race 6: Let Go Thommo was awesome last start he flew to the line whether or not this might be just a bit sdhort for him now is my main concern I just have a feeling he is looking for the 1200 a hot speed would help his chances, Tebury Jack is a very good horse not sure about him 1st up but he can run some great time and is drawn to get a bit of galloping room which he needs more than anything, the other i don't mind a bit here is Cocinero should be improved from his 1st up run and wouldn't shock me at all here. There are plenty of other chances here including Our Maharaja who drops alot of weight on last start but you can't pick everything.

Race 7: On A Jeune looks ready to win again not real interested here though should get around the double figure odds about him, Hoffmeister, Dracs Back & Trick of Light all chances.

Race 8: Interesting race this will give my comments on each horse.

Tawqeet: Not sure here they say he is working well and they have been saying that all spring so far, I just have a feeling he just had his day in the sun last spring I cant be talked into him.

Blue Monday: If it wasn't for david hayes noone would be talking about this horse here, IMO he had every single chance last start and plenty of other chances put in better runs in the race.

Bluetigeroo: I didn't mind the way he hit the line last start he did finish off ok and the distance should suit him ok and Oliver does have a good record in the race, however there are reports he has had some problems eating this week and you really don't want any setbacks leading upto this kind of race. He is a horse who I can't tip but he wouldn't shock me at all if he ran in the top 6.

Railings: He was oh so good to me 2 years ago I won a stack on this horse that spring however since then his form is gone apart from a couple of runs, his last run wasn't awful but he is drawn in the car park and weighted to his best, He has a stack against him and it would be hard to see him doing much in this he falls into the same boat as Tawqeet hard to have but loves the distance so that alone creates a little interest into both of them but I can't have either of them.

Maybe Better: All I am hearing is he won't win this race his run last start was great he didn't get warm until the final furlong the extra 400m is only going to help and there does look to be pretty solid speed in this race which will suit him to a tee. I love this bloke the only thing that worries me is that they just might not try and win the race I will be having something on him today it just won't be as much as I would like for that reason alone I am sure he will be steaminghome anyway.

Black Tom: Not really interested here 2 miles might suit better but Idoubt he as the class these days to be a big chnce in hat either.

Purple Moon: I really doubt he has a show in this McEvoy doesn't hurt it's chances either but this would shock the hell out of me if it was anywhere near them in the finish.

Maldivian: All the so called experts have this thing across the line and although he has been impressive in his last couple of starts go back 3 starts and Duoro Valley sat off the track at almost equal weights with no cover and beat him, Maybe I am the only person who hs a problem with this until the last could of weeks or so I considered Douro Valley no chance at all in this race and I have always had a bit of a soft spot for it. The last 2 runs have been very good but for me there is doubt that he will run the trip out especially if he fires up a bit from the inside, he won't be able to get it all his own way here and at the extra 400m on last week just might make this a query, he is a good horse who has the chance to take the next step today he won't be doing it with my cash on him that is for sure to many questions for is odds.

Cinque Cento: I have to say she is no hope at all best of luck to all involved but I think she is very questionable at the trip.

Mandela: Not a bad little horse this bloke and drops alot of weight from the Kelt is that form good enough? very hard to say I am leaning to saying he is possibly the best of the roughies in the field because he can take a forwardish position and his geelong cup win last year was a good one I would keep him safe in this as it is not a strong field.

Scenic Shot: Great run last start form before that was ok his record at the trip is good and he should finish this off full of running with a better draw I would imagine alot more people would have been on this guy now it is hard to tell how far back he will get or if he gets in if they try to go forward early sped would help his chaces alot, I wouldnt leav himout of anything you do.

Annenkov: No chance at all as far as I am concerned.

Anamato: nice run last start not sure if she might be a run short Maybe Betters run last start IMO was alot better and he gets in 1kg better than her he will run the trip right out I amnot convinced she will yet, I give her a chance but I can't put my money on her.

Duoro Valley: I am still shocked that I have him in there as a chance to win this race it is laughable really, don't get me wrong he isn't a bad horse and his form warrants him being in the discussion probably even as the top pick can he win ? on form yes he can and if he is still at double figures this arvo then I would suggest he is worth a savor bet as he can take a position and will run the trip out.

Sirmione: He has issues this guy has some ability but there is a reason why he has only won 2 out of 19 I can't have him here but I don't want to talk anyone out of backing him if they want to as he has probably burned me more than anyone hence that porbably enhances my opinion of him.

Eskimo Queen: will go forward here and she showed in the QLD Oaks she can sprit off of that type of run however that isnot his type of field, I want to tip her and she is obviously a quality horse and she should get the perfect run to be the chance here to get over the leaders late whethwe she can hold off he swoopers late I don't know I have a feeling she will hit the lead at some point though.

Princess Coup: she is a good horse and can motor late but she will be doing it from the tail here and I feel she will be just giving up to much ground here she might be able to run a nice 6th or maybe a bit closer if she wins she is a better horse than I think.

Master O'reilly: Didn't like his last run at all in fact haven't liked his last 2 that much to be honest with you, he gets a good weight from a good gate I just question he is good enough to be in the finish here I can see him running on nicely but he would shock me if he won.

Cup Tips (I don't have Maldivian in here say what you will I amnot convinced yet)
1. Maybe Better
2. Scenic Shot
3. Eskimo Queen
4. Duoro Valley
5. Mandela
6. Princess Coup

9: I love Roman Squire aparently everyone else does these days to I amnot convinced we will see his best today not because of the break between runs but the track and speed of the race just might be against him. hard race but

10: Not all that interested.

Good luck today guys tough day we will all need it.