r1-1,4,5,10 main chances
r2-pit lane,motonari r3-new kid in town r4-3,8,9,10,11 main chances looking for value r5-weekend hussler will treat this like a barrier trial..will probably lead with a throttle hold then let down and win by 4 untouched r6-devil moon will lead until clocktower and get run down by a swooper like zipping to finish top 3 r7-everyone thinks Marching is home in a hand canter but think Kibbutz could trouble it..like stockade,littorio and bammagera to fill first 4 0r 5 r8-like blessed to lead all the way with cinque cento on her hammer...divine madonna just missing on line :D r9-weak salinger this year SWICK gets his chance today over cocinero,stickpin and catechuchu r10-royal ida,roman squire,annas choice |
R1 - Guessing Exceedingly good
R2 - Electromotive E/W R3 - The Fuzz R5 - Scenic Blast (supremely confident) R7 - Villain R8 - DM nearly unbeatable at 1600, Translate at value should have the rest covered easily R10 - Lord of the Dance / King Johannes |
Pit Lane/Motonari/Teskara - quinella
The Fuzz - win Masked Assassin - place Penceleron - place Royal Ida - win good luck boys |
Well thankfully my punting career has gone well the last couple of weeks and have managed to walk the tightrope and keep going again into this week.
Race 1: Not betting but I don't mind Reaan by Hussonet out of Ribe who was a nice mare on the track and I would say this would be her 1st foal to race interesting race to watch anyway. Race 2: This is a wide open race hard to really narrow in on anything I don't mind Motonari & Lucky Duke both look like they will be decent odds Lucky Duke hit the line nicely with Littorio last start so that form could turn out ok. Race 3: I only like Pacino here a repeat of his last run wins this race IMO he will stay and the track conditions will not worry him seems to ike the cut out of the ground, Desert Master was another at odds I could make a case for been improving each run this prep could be ready to peak today. Race 4: I love Serious Speed won a stack on her recently but she is vulnerable here today, Diana's Secret is the one I like a bit here at nice odds been racing well drawn well good jockey form against a good orse last start, The roughie I don't mind if it gets a run is Marjorie. Race 5: I'll sit an watch this one Race 6: Going to have something on Maybe Better probably stupid money but I think there a few grously over rated horses in this race that continue to be short every single week, I would love to see how much the bookies have made out of Haradasun and Miss Finland it would be stacks. Race 7: Alot of chances in this race I will try and narrow this down, Marching was a nice run last start but to winthis he will be defying his pedigree completely, Villain I feel has enough stamina out of Carnegie to be a massive chance here I probably won't back him but I won't leave him out of anything I do, Kibbutz I saw his last race for the 1st time this morning it was a massive run he was about 16 wide round the turn to even get close to Marching last start and Flemington will suit him to a tee don't leave him out, Best Beware is a roughy I could give a small hope for, Galaxy Lad was a good un at Geelong last start he carted the field up to them not sure what Rodd thought he was doing he could go a bit ore forward today he is one paced but they will have trouble getting past this bloke if he goes forward, Littorio is the one I have liked for awhile now great run last start the trip the only worry for me and I am happy to gamble on that. My Picks Littorio, Kibbutz, Villain & Galaxy Lad. Race 8: No Bet Race 9: Not all that keen here Cocinero is one i could slightly entertain, Typhoon Zed nice effort last start still question how good he is, Honalee a monster run last start but he rarely backs it up good luck with this one is all I can say. Race 10: Roman Squire although he has drawn the wide gate he can win his a bit of speed in the race would help as will the cut out of the ground and the wide open spaces of flemington, Count to Zero is the other I don'tmind in this. Good Luck today guys should be a good one. |
Enjoying the tropics today and checing out some beach front land,,,dream of mine to retire on the beach and fish all day..(yes spending my elsegundo money before i give it all back)
I'm a bit gunshy today as i'm not sure what to expect from the track..but its still a great days betting.. Race 2, Thought with improvement Teskara at the 14's was a nice e/w bet,,,a very open race but i'll take those overs.. Race 3, The Fuzz should be to good but dont forget it was a weak Geelong cup field he beat..i'm sure Pacino dislikes the wet surface and he'd be a special if the track holds up,,,,better of waiting till after the 1st and seeing if you can get any guide from it...Sentire suited here and likes the give ,at the 15's hes nice e/w value Race 4, Extension of Time did very well last start in the wrong part of the track,,i like her here and had a big go at her thursday morn..Riva san should appreciate the distance and serious speed the obvious,, Race 6 Haradasun looks well suited,,,no elsegundo , no wonderful world, had Finland and Devil covered last start,,gets a way better run here than last start and will stalk devil and beat her...,,the only danger i see is Zipping ,,i'll be on both.. Race 7, Kibbutz was huge last start,,bred to run forever,,i'm happy enough with the 4's ,,,thought Husonic could jag a place at odds,,,got alittle on at 26's. Race 8, I couldnt take Divinne Madonna at those odds here,,,shes never backed up after a 2000m race before and i'd be alittle worried about her ,,,..thought Blessed an interesting roughie worth a couple of bucks on..but a race i'm not confident enought to lay DM,, love the mare and she's all class.. Race 9, I agree with Ra,,thought Honalee was very good last start and proven performer down the straight,,,she mixes her form but at the 15's she's nice value,,,Shadoways running into peak form the big fellow likes room and time to balance up,,,7.50 is ok value,,should get around that close to the start.. Race 10, 11's about Amerryking ,,thought his run was good last start and if theres some give in the ground it will suit,,will see how the track is going.. Best bets, Extension of Time, Kibbutz Best e/ws , Teskara , Sentire , Zipping , Shadoways Ascot, Calico Blue Taralgon , Iron leige Adelaide, Silk Wind Rocky , Mersey beat, Cockaigne, Cinnamon RD (allup ?) Good luck all :) |
r1. Nato [b9] to turn the tables on Exceedingly Good [b1] down the straight.
r2 Pit Lane or Motonari r3 Tricky race this one. I'll bet around the fav. and go for Desert Master and Cholula (NZ). r4 Can Serious Speed win in shock-shod shoes? Get serious! And this is not 1600m again, but 2000m. I'll chance he won't win and go for the odds on Extension of Time and River San. r5 Shrewd Rhythm e/w r6 Zipping ew [don't do ya' dough again on the bookies best friends, MF and Haradasun!] r7 Lotterio at this venue and 1/2 x 1/2/3/4 tri r8 1/2 x 1/2/3/4/6/7 tri r9 Shadoways / Honalee win. 6/10 x 1/2/6/10/11 tri r10 Lord of The Dance and 2/5 x 2/5/7/10 tri Good luck and hope the track is racing true! |
thank god for Count to Zero keeping the punting career alive amazing with the last bet of the day.
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tough day for me,,won a stack on Kibbutz but gave it all back on some ordinary runs....extension of time fought the jock the whole way,,Zipping was only going around for a barrier trial,,,Shadoways ?? honalee just wont win another race...
Teskara a good run ,,,Sentire a frustrating 4th.. Stilll some work to do Tuesday,,,track condition will be interesting,,, Heres hoping On A Jeune or MAster Orielly can take the cup home.. |
I should become a place punter for the rest of the carnival. Everything I tipped placed [I backed most of them only for the win], except one. I did score a lucky win on Zarita after a change of heart about Zipping. Apart from that, I had 2 place collects from e/w bets. Tough punters day!
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