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pengo 13th December 2007 10:28 AM

Good idea, will give that a try

Where race is not maiden and top rater is 51> and weight =<56kg bet else no bet :)

pengo 13th December 2007 10:44 AM

Bendigo 13/12
PLACE BETTING
Race 5: 8 <--- Has a rating of 50, I'm gonna select it even tho its below 51!. As it has a nice weight, odds & barrier.
Race 7: 6 & 10
Race 8: 5



I've been a bit lax with my rules today, only so I could pick some horses. :)

I've picked two horses for Race 7 as I like 10 and he is the next highest rated horse and has the lowest weight. It will be interesting to see who out of the two places (if not both) or if it even wins.

Lets see how we go.

Sportz 13th December 2007 07:04 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by westman
Just lengths beaten, nothing else?


No, the ratings are based on the class and time of the race. They work out a rating for the winner, then they go back from there. 20 ratings points equals one length, so let's say the winner rates 500. If a horse finishes 5 lengths behind, it's rating will be 400.

pengo 13th December 2007 08:36 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
No, the ratings are based on the class and time of the race. They work out a rating for the winner, then they go back from there. 20 ratings points equals one length, so let's say the winner rates 500. If a horse finishes 5 lengths behind, it's rating will be 400.


So, a higher or lower value is better? There are some values of like -47 etc..

pengo 13th December 2007 08:40 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by pengo
Bendigo 13/12
PLACE BETTING
Race 5: 8 <--- Has a rating of 50, I'm gonna select it even tho its below 51!. As it has a nice weight, odds & barrier.
Race 7: 6 & 10
Race 8: 5


Race 5: Placed, 1st.
Race 7: Placed, 2nd & 3rd.
Race 8: DNP

3 out of 4 paid.

Not bad.

Sportz 13th December 2007 09:46 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by pengo
So, a higher or lower value is better? There are some values of like -47 etc..


Definitely the higher the better.

pengo 14th December 2007 10:37 AM

Moonee Valley 14/12
Race 1: 4
Race 2: 6
Race 3: 8
Race 4: 10
Race 5: 8
Race 6: 5
Race 7: 5
Race 8: 4

pengo 14th December 2007 11:33 AM

Scratch Race 3 (Moonee Valley) not enough runners.

Correction, Race 8, Selection change: 3.

pengo 14th December 2007 01:13 PM

FYI

Race 4 10
Race 5 8
Race 6 5

Those three horses are the highest rated and have a weight equal to or less than 56.5kg.

For my other selections they are the highest rated horse in the race that is 56.5kg or less in weight (not the highest rated horse for the race; regardless of weight).

It will be interesting to see how I go, for instance will I get 3 for 3 for Race 4-6 by being really strict with my selection rules? Or can I be successful relaxing the rules somewhat and selecting the highest rated horse in the race with a weight of 56.5kg and lower.

NB: Selections are for a place, like yesterday.

Sportz 14th December 2007 08:44 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by pengo
Moonee Valley 14/12
Race 1: 4 WON
Race 2: 6 WON
Race 3: 8 WON
Race 4: 10 WON
Race 5: 8 ???
Race 6: 5 ???
Race 7: 5 ???
Race 8: 4 ???


Hmmm, perhaps you should be looking at win betting? :eek:


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