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-   -   new system ideas (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=17410)

crash 27th March 2008 06:44 AM

The outside barrier or even the inside No1 barrier can be a blessing or equally a curse, depending on the course, distance and field size. The pace style of the horse in an outside [or inside] barrier will also be influenced by the pace style of the rest of the field. Very, very few horses ever are equally good front runners, mid-pacers or backmarkers. They either get a race to suit at the right time, pace and barrier to suit and condt. to suit, or they lose.

Any system based on barrier [any], will naturally throw up winners as at least some horses the system choses are going to suit the barrier, course and distance etc. for that particular race. The 'edge' for the outside barrier is the slightly better prices.

Nigel 27th March 2008 07:24 AM

Bhagwan, were your results taken for Metro meetings over Good and Dead tracks, ignoring 2yo, maidens and jump races, or were you looking at the bottom three horses in other races as well?

crash 27th March 2008 05:35 PM

Forget the suggestions,this is looking like a good winning system!

*rule out anything over 50/1

Bunbry
7/13
8/10
CHELTENHAM PARK
5/4 [$1.80p]
7/8
8/10
IPSWICH
4/4
5/8
7/9,14 [14 $3.40p]
8/10
SANDOWN-HILLSIDE
6/15 $30.80w $7.50p
------------------------------------
Moe
3/9,12 [9 $1.60p]
Scone
3/9 x
5/7 x
7/11 x
8/13,14 [14 $12.20w $2.80p]
10/13
-----------------------------------
GOSFORD
1/5 x
5/8,9 x
6/9 x
7/14,15 [14w $14.50w $3p]
KALGOORLIE
3/8 x
5/8 x
6/9 ? [still to run]
7/14 ? [still to run]
TOWNSVILLE
3/6 x
5/8 x
8/12 x
------------------------------------

Rules were:
3rd or 4th up
min. Weight
Ignore barriers
Ignore more than 50/1
------------------------------------

Doing very well indeed for a win system!

crash 27th March 2008 06:20 PM

KALGOORLIE
3/8 x
5/8 x
6/9 [2.30p]
7/14 [over 50/1]

Bhagwan 28th March 2008 07:38 AM

Hi Nigel,
I ran the idea over everything regardless of track conditions, class or day of the week.

One will experiience say 20 outs in a row at times then hit several big payers, one after the other.

Cheers.

Nigel 28th March 2008 07:46 AM

Thanks Bhagwan.

I had a brief look at this but when I got to a run of 26 outs I lost interest. Can it be 'tweaked' in any way?

Your time and effort is much appreciated.

Cheers,
Nigel

Privateer 28th March 2008 06:56 PM

Nice to see you guys starting to see the benefit of stats analysis. Only been what, 6 years now? since I first mentioned the lack of importance of barrier positions in the overall scheme of successful punting right here. Keep it up fellas, you'll get it in the end.

crash 29th March 2008 10:49 AM

Dropped in to do a bit of slumming have you mate?

Bhagwan 30th March 2008 04:56 AM

I'm not sure what is ment by "you will get it in the end"
Now I'm afraid... very afraid.

crash 31st March 2008 04:58 PM

These 'catch me if you can' know it all punters drop in to establish what? An ego injection?

Lets see how they would go in a comp. Of course they would never enter one. Too gutless. Preachers not punters who couldn't pick their nose, let alone winners. Come on mate, join one of the comps. and show us all up!


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