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A good day today. There was one scratching and from the remaining selections, all Unitab 96-plus pointers, two of them won paying $5.40 and all placed paying $3.70.
One selection tomotrrow: Echuca R1 no.6 - Isa Halo. It has 95 Unitab points but is the second highest rated horse. |
Gents,
For what its worth, here is a comparison of the 2 methods for races run on Mon 9 Jun - using NSW TAB divs. CF and $ (selected night before) 3 bets for 2 winners and a 3rd Out $3 - return for Win $5.60 / Pl out $3 return $3.70. 1 x 6 - Outlay $21 Return $27.80 = 32.3 percent profit. CF and PR after scratchings (therefore only selected on raceday) using same rules as operated last Saturday. 7 bets for 5 winners a 3rd and 1 unplaced Out $7 - return for win $13.70 / Pl out $7 return 7.80. 1 x 6 - Outlay $49 Return $60.50 = 23.4 percent profit. Cheers.....Mancunian |
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Echuca R2 # 1 Echuca R8 # 10 Scone R4 # 10. MAncunian |
Great start, Michael. Congrats!!
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Yes, Merriguy - a great start, but it paid a most disappointing $1.10 for the Place on NSW TAB, yet $1.50 on Unitab.
There have now been 4 selections for 3 winners for a POT of 170% (maybe just a lucky period at the moment) and all 4 have placed for a POT of 20%. Mancunian, we have been looking at the CF method (with Unitab's 96-plus points) on another thread but yesterday I forgot to check them which your results show would have been a winning day. I'll also list the selections for the method on this thread. Three today: Echuca R2 no.1 - Araynam Echuca R8 no.10 - Tarademus Scone R4 no.10 - Carefully Chosen |
Should have kept quiet! Araynam no good.
I got $1.72 on Betfair for the place for Isa Halo; but only $3.95 for the win darn! (can never work out how to use those Smilies on this site!). Was betting 1:5 so that was O.K.. I realise to be balanced in reporting you need to stick to one Tab. While speaking of B/F I often find that they are not as good for the win. I suppose it is the small pools in Oz racing. |
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ive often found it hard to obtain value on bf with the well supported nags, seems the markets closely reflect the bookies odds, at the top end anyway, but once betting over abt $7 is where huge overs are often available |
Yes, Araynam was a disappointment.
I've noticed that all three selections today qualified because of the scratchings. There was one day where someone (Jimmy?) noticed that some selections only qualified because of scratchings and that they did not fare too well. We'll see how the other two selections go. Stugots, I've also noticed the same situation with Betfair. In fact, there have been several double-figure winners that have paid almost twice the NSW TAB divvy. |
nsw tab
just on the nsw tab michaelg, on the face of it would you agree that of the 3 tabs, it's div's are usually the lowest?
havent done any research & have never bet with nsw, just an observation after watching hour after hour, day after day, year after year of sky (note to self - must get a life!) |
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