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-   -   4th up system! (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=17894)

haveadip 5th August 2008 12:58 PM

Just for interests sake, a similar molded system but for third up horses.


* Must be third up from spell
* Must have finished fifth at best two starts ago
* Must have finished fourth at best last start
* Must have had at least 7 career starts
* Must be in the top 5 for average prizemoney per race.
* Field size must be at least 8 horses prior to scratchings.

This system will probably throw up a lot more selections leading to a lot more donkeys, but i think with some tinkering this system could have moderate success. Also as bhagwan said before I guess if you had time to watch the race you could Blackbook some horses for a 4th up start if they have no luck or run on strongly.
Maybe you could possibly say that any horse who has been unplaced from 3 or more 3rd up runs is ruled out???
Todays 3rd up system selections:

Townsville
Race 2 #3 and #8
Race 3 #1
Race 4 #4
Race 7 #7
Coffs Harbour
Race 4 #1
Wodonga
Race 7 #1

crash 5th August 2008 03:22 PM

I'd love someone to do the stats on the 'original' system which didn't mention 7 or less horses. It was 7 or more before scratchings and 4th up. not third up.

haveadip 5th August 2008 04:32 PM

Post edited.
Flaming.

Please avoid giving ulterior motives to forum members.
Moderator.

Crackone 5th August 2008 05:17 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by crash
I'd love someone to do the stats on the 'original' system which didn't mention 7 or less horses. It was 7 or more before scratchings and 4th up. not third up.
Who would have the DFS ratings? Not many if anyone and did notice that one of the selections today on Unitab had it second up.

crash 5th August 2008 05:22 PM

Agreeing with a flaming post is a flame. Last warning.
Moderator.

Stix 5th August 2008 09:06 PM

Please do not retaliate. There is a TOU button to press.
Moderator.

haveadip 5th August 2008 11:45 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Stix
Don't understand where you guys are coming from, try and do a favour and get this childish dribble. All the best.
Come again mate??
Results for Tuesday the 5th
2 selections:
Wodonga Race 5 #2 Won paying $6.80 s-tab
Townsville race 8 #11 DNP

On a side note:
7 selections for the third up system:
Two winners paying $9, $5.50
Townsville Race 2 #8 and Race 3 #1
One third Race 2 #3 $1.80
Four unplaced including two black bookers
Phase one
: Was blocked for run, will be at juicy each way odds next start, in similar race/
Emmooki Street: Ran on strongly will be right in it next start!

haveadip 5th August 2008 11:50 PM

Wednesday 6th August selections
4th up
Sandown
Race 2#4
Race 7 #3 (last win was this exact race last year, will be massive overs, great place bet)
Belmont Race 3#10
Doomben Race 5 #1

3rd up - small change(must have placed at least once in the distance range)

Kembla Grangeeeee Race 2 #2

Doomben Race 7#1 (poor third up record)

Morphetville
Race 6 #9
Race 9 #7

Belmont
Race 2 #14

Race 9 #13

haveadip 7th August 2008 01:25 PM

Yesterdays selections resulted in one scratching two unplaced and a third at Doomben paying $1.90
Todays selections are:
Coffs Harbour: Race 5 #4 and Race 6 #3
Gosford Race 7 #5
Bendiigo Race 6 #4
Rockhampton Race 7 #2


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