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-   -   Top 3 Plan. (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=18097)

Mancunian 3rd October 2008 07:06 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mancunian
Top 3 sels Fri 03 Oct

MRY R5 - 2/3/5
MRY R7 - 2/8
ROK R6 - 1/6/8
ROK R7 - 2/3/5
TAM R8 - 4/5/8
WMB R8 - 1/3

cheers.....Manc
Result (using simple Vic TAB divis)
for win bets - outlay $18 for a return of $19
dutching @ $10 per race - outlay $60 return $75.80.

golf tomorrow morning - see how I go doing some early races tonight before scratchings etc.

cheers ......Manc

Mancunian 6th October 2008 01:57 PM

Top 3 Plan sels - Mon 6 Oct

B'dale :
R6 - 2/3/4
R7 - 1/3/5
Ballina
R6 - 1/7
R7 - 1/4
R10 - 7/9
Morph :
R5 - 1/2/6
R6 - 3/7
W.Farm :
R3 - 4/6/9
R8 - 1/2/4

cheers...Manc

Bhagwan 7th October 2008 05:44 AM

Heres another angle.

Target the first 3 horses one comes to starting at the 3rd line of favortism in the pre post market.

Bet all 3 horses.

There could be 2-5 horses making up the 1st & 2nd fav line of betting.
We ignore all theses.

Start at the 3rd line of betting for our 3 horses.

Some good payers can be struck with this idea.

Mancunian 7th October 2008 08:56 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mancunian
Top 3 Plan sels - Mon 6 Oct

B'dale :
R6 - 2/3/4
R7 - 1/3/5
Ballina
R6 - 1/7
R7 - 1/4
R10 - 7/9
Morph :
R5 - 1/2/6
R6 - 3/7
W.Farm :
R3 - 4/6/9
R8 - 1/2/4
Results- 9 races for 3 winners
Win bets outlay $23, return $19
Dutching outlay $90, return $72.10.

Poor day but not disastrous.
will post weekend results and review of what has happened so far, shortly.

Cheers ...Mancunian

Mancunian 7th October 2008 11:55 AM

TOP 3 Plan Selections - Tue 07 Oct
 
Geelong:
R6-9
R7-4/7/8
R8-2/10/12
Kembla:
R4-4/6/9
R5-9
R6-2/4/9
R8-5
TSV:
R3-2/9/10
R6-1/4
R7-2/3/4
R8-1/8

Cheers....Manc

Mancunian 7th October 2008 12:12 PM

2nd Top 3
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bhagwan
Heres another angle.

Target the first 3 horses one comes to starting at the 3rd line of favortism in the pre post market.

Bet all 3 horses.

There could be 2-5 horses making up the 1st & 2nd fav line of betting.
We ignore all theses.

Start at the 3rd line of betting for our 3 horses.

Some good payers can be struck with this idea.
Hi Bhagwan,
Thought I'd give this a shot (on paper) while I was looking at the Top 3.
I've just used the same races i.e. fields of 9-13 and not maiden races.
From the prepost market I've left out the first 2 lines then taken the next 3 horses. Todays selections :
Geelong:
r6-9/11/12
r7-2/6/8
r8-6/7/12
Kembla:
r4-4/6/9
r5-1/3/11
r6-8/9/11
r8-4/5/7
TSV:
r3-4/6/10
r6-2/8/9
r7-4/5/11
r8-2/6/8
See how they go....Cheers...Mancunian

Mancunian 7th October 2008 02:00 PM

Weekend Results
 
Sat 04 Oct.
Only looked at Metro races -
there were 16 races for 11 winners
win bets - outlay $41 for a return of $36.60.
Dutching - outlay $160 for return of $184.20.

too many short priced favs. on the day - will consider either leaving short favourites out OR omitting those races.

Sun 05 Oct.
All Aust meetings -
there were 11 races for 8 winners
win bets - outlay $31 for a return of $35.40
Dutching - outlay $110 for return of $116.

Cheers......Manc

Mancunian 7th October 2008 10:29 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mancunian
Geelong:
R6-9
R7-4/7/8
R8-2/10/12
Kembla:
R4-4/6/9
R5-9
R6-2/4/9
R8-5
TSV:
R3-2/9/10
R6-1/4
R7-2/3/4
R8-1/8

Cheers....Manc
Results: 11 races 7 winners.
win bets - outlay $25 for a return of $31.30
Dutching - outlay $110 for return $129.90

Cheers...... manc

Mancunian 7th October 2008 10:33 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mancunian
Hi Bhagwan,
Thought I'd give this a shot (on paper) while I was looking at the Top 3.
I've just used the same races i.e. fields of 9-13 and not maiden races.
From the prepost market I've left out the first 2 lines then taken the next 3 horses. Todays selections :
Geelong:
r6-9/11/12
r7-2/6/8
r8-6/7/12
Kembla:
r4-4/6/9
r5-1/3/11
r6-8/9/11
r8-4/5/7
TSV:
r3-4/6/10
r6-2/8/9
r7-4/5/11
r8-2/6/8
See how they go....Cheers...Mancunian
Result 11 races for 4 winners
$11.30/$9.10/$5.90/$5.60 (Supertab)
Outlay $33 return $31.90 for straight $1 win bets.

Cheers.....Manc

Bhagwan 8th October 2008 05:22 AM

Not bad M. considering that there is no form study.

Much better prices would have been had using Betfair.
Min 20% better.
Some were double the price of SuperTAB.

It would be interesting to see if there is a differemce to be had if one stopped at each venue where a winner was struck.

Thanks for all your input M.
It makes for very interesting ongoing stats.

Cheers.


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