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-   -   Neural Selections (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=18311)

Try Try Again 20th December 2008 08:59 AM

Selections for 20th December are :-

Doomben R3#3 Our Lucas
Doomben R6#3 Sir Breakfast
Doomben R7#10 Cocktail Supreme
Doomben R8#1 Mr Slick
Flemington R7#4 Immortality
Morphettville R3#2 Miss Razzle Dazzle

A mixture of a shortie and some longer priced selections.

Good luck and bring on the Christmas Turkey!

Try Try Again 20th December 2008 06:35 PM

Again we are thereabouts but no doing any damage (either way)!

Doomben R3#3 Our Lucas 2nd -/$1.50
Doomben R6#3 Sir Breakfast 3rd -/$3.30
Doomben R7#10 Cocktail Supreme
Doomben R8#1 Mr Slick WON $1.50/$1.30
Flemington R7#4 Immortality
Morphettville R3#2 Miss Razzle Dazzle WON $3.10/$1.20

Update:
26 bets 5 winners 16 places
Outlay $26
Collect $49.60
POT 90.7%

For anyone looking purely at the place bets
Outlay $26
Collect $49.54
POT 90.5%

Bring on next Saturday!

Try Try Again 27th December 2008 09:52 AM

Here we go for Saturday 27th December. Only 2 selections both at Doomben.

Doomben R7#1 Rags To Riches
Doomben R8#4 Borsha's Mark

Try Try Again 27th December 2008 05:24 PM

Not quite the result we wanted today with both horses running 2nd. One (Rags to Riches) tried to lead all the way but got "nutted" near the line and the other (Borsha's Mark) chasing hard but didn't quite pick up the leader!

Doomben R7#1 Rags To Riches 2nd -/$3.00
Doomben R8#4 Borsha's Mark 2nd -/$1.70

Update:
28 bets 5 winners 18 places
Outlay $28
Collect $49.60
POT 77.1%

For anyone looking purely at the place bets
Outlay $28
Collect $54.24
POT 93.7%

As I am away for a week there will not be any selections next Saturday (3rd Jan). Bring on the 10th January!

Have a Great Profitable New Year to everyone.

Try Try Again 10th January 2009 11:27 AM

Well we're back after a freshen up.

Selections for 10th January 2009 are :-

Caulfield R4#4 Annesong
Caulfield R5#3 Mind Your Head
Caulfield R6#1 Itsamonty
Caulfield R8#2 Go Missy
Cheltenham R5#7 Jest For Fun
Gold Coast R5#5 Satsang
Gold Coast R8#5 Voice Commander

Good luck to all!

Try Try Again 10th January 2009 05:47 PM

Not bad today with 3 winners and a 3rd from the 7 bets (one race only having 4 runners so no place pool - fortunately we got the winner!).

Caulfield R4#4 Annesong WON $4.80/$1.70
Caulfield R5#3 Mind Your Head WON $4.40/npp
Caulfield R6#1 Itsamonty
Caulfield R8#2 Go Missy WON $2.40/$1.40
Cheltenham R5#7 Jest For Fun
Gold Coast R5#5 Satsang
Gold Coast R8#5 Voice Commander 3rd -/$2.60

Update:
35 bets 8 winners 22 places
Outlay $35
Collect $61.20
POT 74.8%

For anyone looking purely at the place bets
Outlay $34
Collect $59.94
POT 76.3%

Until next Saturday good luck to all!

crash 10th January 2009 06:26 PM

Nice going mate!

Try Try Again 11th January 2009 09:26 AM

Thanks Crash,

I know I'm a long way from the holy grail but maybe I'm at least heading down the right path! Time will tell. Small steps followed by small steps.

cairnspunter 11th January 2009 10:00 AM

Mate, your strike rate and POT on place betting only is outstanding, based on the 35 bets. It will be interesting to see if these results continue once the data set becomes larger (hopefully it does!).

Try Try Again 11th January 2009 10:19 AM

Hi Cairnspunter,

We would all be dreaming if we thought we could maintain those sort of return on investment long term. The figures I am quoting here are from the first day I put up the selections (22nd November 2008).

I have been following this Neural method of selections since 26th July 2008. the results since then has been:-

Selections 144
Wins 44
Win S/R 30.6%
Places 79
Place S/R 54.9%
Win Outlay $144.00
Win Collect $242.40
Win POT% 68.3%
Place Outlay $143.00 (one race had only 4 runners so no place pool)
Place Collect $174.14
Place POT% 21.8%

144 selections is still a very small data set but since it is currently paying dividends I'm enjoying the adventure!


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