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-   -   Testing another Place system. (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=18390)

michaelg 26th December 2008 09:23 AM

Tuesday's selection won paying $1.90 and $1.20.

One selection today:
Randwick R4 no.6 - Koblenz.

michaelg 27th December 2008 08:26 AM

Yesterday's selection ran second paying $1.20.

Two selections today:
Gold Coast R4 no.12 - Star Of Ombra
Kembla R1 no.5 - Fille Majestique.

I've been testing another Place system with good results so far. The rules are:
1 ) A gap of at least 3 points between top and second selection on R & S EST ratings.
2 ) Must be placed last start.

Today's selections are;
Ascot R1 no.6 - Aria Magic
Ascot R8 no.4 - Proud Falcon
Dombeen R6 no.9 - Paprika
Gawler R6 no.6 - Artacus
Gold Coast R4 no.12 - Star Of Ombra
Kembla R3 no.6 - Baabaric
Moonee valley R4 no.4 - Musigny
Rosehill R1 no.3 - Indian Ocean

crash 27th December 2008 08:36 AM

Paprika hasn't missed yet but might be around $2 the win and $1.10 the place. Phelan Ready [3rd. last start] in the same race might be a better place option. It could win too!

xanadu 27th December 2008 08:42 PM

G'day crass,
howyagoin mate.......?
Havagoodun.

michaelg 28th December 2008 08:54 AM

Yesterday's two selections placed for a return of $3.60.

There have now been 8 placegetters from 10 selections for a POT of 16%.

Today's selections:
Hobart R8 no.3 - Conquering


EST method.

Yesterday there were 7 placegetters from the 8 selections for a POT of 23.7%.

Today's selections:
Hobart R2 no.2 - Big Cruiser
Hobart R8 no.3 - Conquering
Kilmore R4 no.4 - Lumiere Rouge
Naracoorte R2 no.7 - Danindi
Naracoorte R4 no.5 - Morpenny Miss
Naracoorte R5 no.3 - Havanotherone

Bhagwan 29th December 2008 12:44 AM

Well done Michael.

Cheers.

michaelg 29th December 2008 11:42 AM

Thanks, Bhagwan.

Both methods are doing quite nicely so far, even though there was a minor hiccup with the EST method yesterday and it suffered a loss of $0.06. One of the selections was not a true one because of a scratching - it was unplaced, otherwise it would have been a winning day.

No selections today for either method.

wesmip1 29th December 2008 12:19 PM

Quote:
I've been testing another Place system with good results so far. The rules are:
1 ) A gap of at least 3 points between top and second selection on R & S EST ratings.
2 ) Must be placed last start.

1437 selections for 917 placings. Loss of 6%.

michaelg 29th December 2008 02:17 PM

Thanks, Wesmip1 even though its not the result I'd be hoping for.

A loss of 6% might show a profit on Betfair. The strike rate of 64% does seem somewhat low.

As there are not many selections per day I don't know if there would be any worthwhile filters for the method. But I might have a look at it, or something else based on the EST rankings as a 6% loss shows not too much inaccuracy.

crash 29th December 2008 03:23 PM

Place betting has to be the hardest punt of all. Mainly because of the lousy unders for the place compared to the win. Amazingly though, some place odds are way above what they should be and the astute punter can take advantage of them.


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