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The idea is you go back through the form and convert the odds to percentages.
So a horse starts at $1.80 previously, this equates to 55.55% A horse that scores at this price receives 55.55 points. So if we look at say the past five runs on horse A for example, the form might look like this $1.80 - unplaced $3.50 - 3rd $8.00 - won $1.60 - 2nd In this example Horse A only won at odds of $8.00, so $8.00 converted to percentage is 12.50% - this horse scores 12.50 points Horse B might look like this: $1.80 - WON $3.50 - 3rd $8.00 - 2nd $1.60 - WON This horse won at odds of $1.80 and $1.60 previously. Convert these odds to percentages in the same way as above. 55.55% plus 62.50% = 118.05 points. If these two horses are in the same race this start, it shows that Horse A is a weak bet, Horse B is a strong bet. Horse A only managed to win when not really fancied that well, and when it had the support of the public and very poor opposition by contrast, failed twice. Horse B won as expected when well supported, lived up to opinion and ran as expected at longer prices. It's just a guide to value...or lack of it. Good horses keep winning, poor horses keep getting well supported and the money is always left with the bookie. Hope this clears it up a little. |
For those who don't know how to convert price to percentage it's done like this...
Say $1.80 horse 1 divided by 1.80 (press % key) = 55.55% Say $3.50 horse 1 divided by 3.50 (press % key) = 28.57% This is an interesting idea Chrome, thanks for sharing it. Cheers |
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